Venados FC vs Monarcas

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Venados FC and Monarcas enter this one evenly matched on recent form, so we're leaning on 1X at odds of 1.44 (69% probability) to edge the Liga de Expansión MX clash.

Mexico: Liga de Expansión MX
Wed, 4th Nov, 2026 Quarter-finals
Venados FC

Venados FC

6th in table

W D D W D
FT
1 - 2
Monarcas

Monarcas

3rd in table

D D L W L
6' Jesus Moreno
17' D. Tejeda
23' Josecarlos Van Rankin
32' Mauricio Aguilar
39' Edgar Martínez
44' J. Van Rankin
56' Santiago Montiel
61' Santiago Naveda
86' Jesus Moreno
88' Alejandro Andrade
90' A. Flores
Prediction: 1X (1.44 Odds)
Double Chance 69% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 3.15

Venados FC

2.05

2.05 – 1.10

Monarcas

1.10

Estadio Carlos Iturralde Rivero, Merida E. Miranda

Venados FC

2.30

40% implied

Draw

3.70

25% implied

Monarcas

2.70

34% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

Double Chance Free

1X

Odds 1.44 69%

Match statistics

Match Statistics

Venados FC vs Monarcas

42%   Possession   58%

2   Shots on Target   6

0   Pass Accuracy   0

4   Corner Kicks   8

14   Fouls   13

1 4 1
4 2 0

Head to head

Last 8 meetings
8 games

4

Venados FC wins

2

Draws

2

Monarcas wins

3.3

Goals / game

88%

Both scored

75%

Over 2.5

26 Sep 2026
Venados FC
2-1
Monarcas
15 Feb 2026
Monarcas
2-1
Venados FC
05 Sep 2025
Venados FC
2-2
Monarcas
03 Mar 2025
Monarcas
1-0
Venados FC
14 Sep 2024
Venados FC
2-1
Monarcas
29 Mar 2024
Monarcas
3-4
Venados FC
10 Nov 2023
Monarcas
1-1
Venados FC
20 Oct 2023
Venados FC
2-1
Monarcas

Liga de Expansión MX table

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1
CA La Paz
15 9 3 3 36:18 18 30
2
Leones Negros UDG
15 9 3 3 34:20 14 30
3
Monarcas
15 8 2 5 26:19 7 26
4
Piratas
15 7 4 4 27:15 12 25
5
Cancún
15 7 4 4 28:18 10 25
6
Venados FC
15 7 4 4 31:25 6 25
7
Durango
15 7 3 5 21:15 6 24
8
Tlaxcala
15 6 4 5 29:27 2 22
9
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
15 7 1 7 15:25 -10 22
10
Mineros de Zacatecas
15 5 3 7 26:26 0 18
11
Tapatío
15 5 3 7 25:28 -3 18
12
Correcaminos Uat
15 4 5 6 21:24 -3 17
13
Dorados
15 4 4 7 23:32 -9 16
14
CDS Tampico Madero
15 4 3 8 15:25 -10 15
15
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
15 3 5 7 17:24 -7 14
16
Tepatitlán
15 2 1 12 11:44 -33 7

Top scorers

Liga de Expansión MX
# Player Team Goals
1
J. Múñoz
Durango
3
2
S. Hernández
Leones Negros UDG
2
3
Óscar Gil
Leones Negros UDG
1
4
Á. Robles
CA La Paz
1
5
J. Van Rankin
Monarcas
1
6
C. Fernandez
Piratas
1
7
M. Barragán
CA La Paz
1
8
J. Brigido
Leones Negros UDG
1
9
É. Cantú
Durango
1
10
D. Tejeda
Venados FC
1

Recent form

Venados FC

4 W 3 D 3 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Monarcas 2-1 L
H Monarcas 1-2 L
A Correcaminos Uat 0-0 D
H Durango 3-2 W
A Cancún 1-1 D
H Leones Negros UDG 1-1 D
A CA La Paz 1-2 W
H Monarcas 2-1 W
A Piratas 2-1 L
H Tepatitlán 5-0 W

Monarcas

5 W 2 D 3 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Venados FC 2-1 W
A Venados FC 1-2 W
A Durango 3-1 L
A Tapatío 1-2 W
H CDS Tampico Madero 1-2 L
A Tepatitlán 1-1 D
H Tlaxcala 1-1 D
A Venados FC 2-1 L
H Leones Negros UDG 2-0 W
A Mineros de Zacatecas 0-1 W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 3.15

Venados FC

2.05

xG

Match

2.05 – 1.10

Monarcas

1.10

xG

Our tip model

69%
17%
14%

API-Football

45%
45%
10%

Bookmaker

40%
25%
34%
Venados FC Draw Monarcas

Most likely scores

1:1

14.3%

1:0

10%

2:1

10%

2:0

8.3%

0:0

8.3%

2:2

7.7%

Goal lines

Over 2.5 goals 59%

Team comparison

Venados FC Monarcas
64% Recent form 36%
54% Attack 46%
62% Defence 38%
64% Poisson 36%
50% Head-to-head 50%
50% Goals 50%
57% Overall 43%

Double chance : Venados FC or draw

Season numbers

When the goals come

2
0-15'
3
2
16-30'
4
5
31-45'
2
4
46-60'
9
9
61-75'
3
8
76-90'
6
3
0-15'
1
2
16-30'
1
8
31-45'
6
6
46-60'
1
3
61-75'
5
4
76-90'
4

Side by side

Venados FC Monarcas
15 Played 15
7 Won 8
4 Drawn 2
4 Lost 5
31 Goals for 26
25 Goals against 19
3 Clean sheets 3
1 Failed to score 1

What comes next

Monarcas

Leones Negros UDG (H) 11 Nov HARD
Leones Negros UDG (A) 14 Nov HARD

Betting markets

Odds · implied %
Over 2.5 1.70
59% implied
Under 2.5 2.10
48% implied
Home/Draw 1.36
74% implied
Home/Away 1.28
78% implied
Draw/Away 1.62
62% implied
1:0 10.00
10% implied
2:0 12.00
8% implied
2:1 10.00
10% implied
3:0 19.00
5% implied
3:1 17.00
6% implied
3:2 26.00
4% implied
4:0 34.00
3% implied
4:1 34.00
3% implied
0:0 12.00
8% implied
1:1 7.00
14% implied
2:2 13.00
8% implied
0:1 13.00
8% implied
0:2 17.00
6% implied
0:3 29.00
3% implied
1:2 13.00
8% implied
1:3 23.00
4% implied
2:3 29.00
3% implied
3:3 41.00
2% implied
0:4 51.00
2% implied
1:4 41.00
2% implied
2:4 51.00
2% implied
4:2 41.00
2% implied
0:5 81.00
1% implied
1:5 81.00
1% implied
Home/Draw 15.00
7% implied
Home/Away 26.00
4% implied
Draw/Away 7.00
14% implied
Draw/Draw 6.50
15% implied
Home/Home 3.25
31% implied
Draw/Home 6.00
17% implied
Away/Home 21.00
5% implied
Away/Draw 15.00
7% implied
Away/Away 4.50
22% implied
Home -1.25 3.45
29% implied
Away -1.25 1.30
77% implied
Home -1 3.10
32% implied
Away -1 1.35
74% implied
Home -0.75 2.42
41% implied
Away -0.75 1.52
66% implied
Home -0.5 2.15
47% implied
Away -0.5 1.68
60% implied
Home -0.25 1.90
53% implied
Away -0.25 1.90
53% implied
Home +0 1.60
63% implied
Away +0 2.30
43% implied
Home +0.25 1.45
69% implied
Away +0.25 2.68
37% implied
Home +0.5 1.38
72% implied
Away +0.5 3.00
33% implied
Home +0.75 1.27
79% implied
Away +0.75 3.55
28% implied
Home -2 6.60
15% implied
Away -2 1.11
90% implied
Home +1 1.17
85% implied
Away +1 5.00
20% implied
Home -1.75 4.65
22% implied
Away -1.75 1.18
85% implied
Over 10.5 2.00
50% implied
Under 10.5 1.80
56% implied

Venados FC vs Monarcas: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Double Chance: 1X (1.44 odds).

Venados FC are rated 69% by our tip model, with the draw at 17% and Monarcas at 14%.

In the last 8 meetings they averaged 3.3 goals per game, with BTTS in 88% and over 2.5 in 75%.

Double chance : Venados FC or draw

Venados FC vs Monarcas FAQs

What is the best prediction for Venados FC vs Monarcas?

Our top tip is Double Chance: 1X (1.44 odds).

Who will win Venados FC vs Monarcas?

Model lean: Venados FC 69%, draw 17%, Monarcas 14%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 88% of the last 8 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 3.3 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 75% of the time.

When is Venados FC vs Monarcas?

Wednesday, 4th November 2026 at 23:00 UTC , Estadio Carlos Iturralde Rivero.

More Liga de Expansión MX predictions

J

Written by

Joshua J

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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