CA La Paz vs Tlaxcala

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

CA La Paz and Tlaxcala enter this one evenly matched on recent form, so we're leaning on 1 at odds of 1.57 (64% probability) to edge the Liga de Expansión MX clash.

Mexico: Liga de Expansión MX
Sun, 8th Nov, 2026 Quarter-finals
CA La Paz

CA La Paz

1st in table

W D W W W
FT
3 - 3
Tlaxcala

Tlaxcala

8th in table

W D W W L
1' M. Barragan
6' Pablo González
13' Daniel Alvarez
34' Edson Santos
38' Ulises Zurita
39' J. Ferrer
41' Martín Barragán
45' Jorge Ferrer
49' Erick Robles
49' E. Robles
53' A. Robles
65' D. Hernandez
Prediction: 1 (1.57 Odds) Lost
Home Win 64% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 3.10

CA La Paz

1.95

1.95 – 1.15

Tlaxcala

1.15

Estadio Guaycura, La Paz E. L. Sanchez M.

CA La Paz

1.57

58% implied

Draw

4.33

21% implied

Tlaxcala

4.50

20% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

2.5 Goals Won

+2.5

Odds 1.40 71%
Home Win Lost

1

Odds 1.57 64%

Match statistics

Match Statistics

CA La Paz vs Tlaxcala

45%   Possession   55%

6   Shots on Target   5

0   Pass Accuracy   0

3   Corner Kicks   11

12   Fouls   5

0 3 1
2 4 0

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9 games

5

CA La Paz wins

3

Draws

1

Tlaxcala wins

3.3

Goals / game

44%

Both scored

44%

Over 2.5

05 Nov 2026
Tlaxcala
0-1
CA La Paz
17 Oct 2026
CA La Paz
2-2
Tlaxcala
08 Mar 2026
CA La Paz
2-0
Tlaxcala
28 Sep 2025
Tlaxcala
3-3
CA La Paz
11 Jan 2025
CA La Paz
4-4
Tlaxcala
27 Jul 2024
Tlaxcala
0-2
CA La Paz
17 Feb 2024
Tlaxcala
2-3
CA La Paz
27 Sep 2023
CA La Paz
1-0
Tlaxcala
04 Apr 2023
Tlaxcala
1-0
CA La Paz

Liga de Expansión MX table

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1
CA La Paz
15 9 3 3 36:18 18 30
2
Leones Negros UDG
15 9 3 3 34:20 14 30
3
Monarcas
15 8 2 5 26:19 7 26
4
Piratas
15 7 4 4 27:15 12 25
5
Cancún
15 7 4 4 28:18 10 25
6
Venados FC
15 7 4 4 31:25 6 25
7
Durango
15 7 3 5 21:15 6 24
8
Tlaxcala
15 6 4 5 29:27 2 22
9
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
15 7 1 7 15:25 -10 22
10
Mineros de Zacatecas
15 5 3 7 26:26 0 18
11
Tapatío
15 5 3 7 25:28 -3 18
12
Correcaminos Uat
15 4 5 6 21:24 -3 17
13
Dorados
15 4 4 7 23:32 -9 16
14
CDS Tampico Madero
15 4 3 8 15:25 -10 15
15
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
15 3 5 7 17:24 -7 14
16
Tepatitlán
15 2 1 12 11:44 -33 7

Top scorers

Liga de Expansión MX
# Player Team Goals
1
J. Múñoz
Durango
3
2
S. Hernández
Leones Negros UDG
2
3
Óscar Gil
Leones Negros UDG
1
4
Á. Robles
CA La Paz
1
5
J. Van Rankin
Monarcas
1
6
C. Fernandez
Piratas
1
7
M. Barragán
CA La Paz
1
8
J. Brigido
Leones Negros UDG
1
9
É. Cantú
Durango
1
10
D. Tejeda
Venados FC
1

Recent form

CA La Paz

6 W 3 D 1 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Tlaxcala 3-3 D
A Tlaxcala 0-1 W
H Dorados 3-0 W
A CDS Tampico Madero 1-3 W
H Tlaxcala 2-2 D
A Tapatío 2-4 W
H Venados FC 1-2 L
A Alebrijes de Oaxaca 1-3 W
H Correcaminos Uat 3-1 W
A Leones Negros UDG 2-2 D

Tlaxcala

5 W 3 D 2 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A CA La Paz 3-3 D
H CA La Paz 0-1 L
A Cruz Azul Hidalgo 0-2 W
H Correcaminos Uat 2-0 W
A CA La Paz 2-2 D
H Piratas 4-2 W
A Monarcas 1-1 D
H Cancún 4-1 W
A Tapatío 4-0 L
H CDS Tampico Madero 3-1 W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 3.10

CA La Paz

1.95

xG

Match

1.95 – 1.15

Tlaxcala

1.15

xG

Our tip model

64%
20%
16%

API-Football

45%
45%
10%

Bookmaker

58%
21%
20%
CA La Paz Draw Tlaxcala

Most likely scores

1:1

10.5%

2:1

10%

2:0

9.1%

3:1

8.3%

1:0

7.7%

3:0

7.7%

Goal lines

Over 2.5 goals 71%

Team comparison

CA La Paz Tlaxcala
57% Recent form 43%
57% Attack 43%
50% Defence 50%
68% Poisson 32%
75% Head-to-head 25%
57% Goals 43%
61% Overall 39%

Double chance : CA La Paz or draw

Season numbers

When the goals come

5
0-15'
1
5
16-30'
3
10
31-45'
6
7
46-60'
4
3
61-75'
4
9
76-90'
11
1
0-15'
3
4
16-30'
5
3
31-45'
4
2
46-60'
6
2
61-75'
3
4
76-90'
7

Side by side

CA La Paz Tlaxcala
16 Played 16
10 Won 6
3 Drawn 4
3 Lost 6
37 Goals for 29
18 Goals against 28
5 Clean sheets 2
1 Failed to score 3

What comes next

CA La Paz

Piratas (A) 11 Nov HARD
Piratas (H) 14 Nov HARD

Betting markets

Odds · implied %
Over 2.5 1.40
71% implied
Under 2.5 2.75
36% implied
Home/Draw 1.17
85% implied
Home/Away 1.17
85% implied
Draw/Away 2.25
44% implied
1:0 13.00
8% implied
2:0 11.00
9% implied
2:1 10.00
10% implied
3:0 13.00
8% implied
3:1 12.00
8% implied
3:2 21.00
5% implied
4:0 19.00
5% implied
4:1 19.00
5% implied
0:0 21.00
5% implied
1:1 9.50
11% implied
2:2 13.00
8% implied
0:1 21.00
5% implied
0:2 34.00
3% implied
0:3 51.00
2% implied
1:2 17.00
6% implied
1:3 34.00
3% implied
2:3 29.00
3% implied
3:3 34.00
3% implied
0:4 81.00
1% implied
1:4 51.00
2% implied
2:4 51.00
2% implied
4:2 29.00
3% implied
3:4 67.00
1% implied
5:0 29.00
3% implied
Home/Draw 17.00
6% implied
Home/Away 29.00
3% implied
Draw/Away 11.00
9% implied
Draw/Draw 8.50
12% implied
Home/Home 2.30
43% implied
Draw/Home 5.00
20% implied
Away/Home 17.00
6% implied
Away/Draw 17.00
6% implied
Away/Away 6.50
15% implied
Home -1.25 1.98
51% implied
Away -1.25 1.82
55% implied
Home -1 1.95
51% implied
Away -1 1.85
54% implied
Over 10.5 2.00
50% implied
Under 10.5 1.80
56% implied

CA La Paz vs Tlaxcala: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Home Win: 1 (1.57 odds).

CA La Paz are rated 64% by our tip model, with the draw at 20% and Tlaxcala at 16%.

In the last 9 meetings they averaged 3.3 goals per game, with BTTS in 44% and over 2.5 in 44%.

Double chance : CA La Paz or draw

CA La Paz vs Tlaxcala FAQs

What is the best prediction for CA La Paz vs Tlaxcala?

Our top tip is Home Win: 1 (1.57 odds).

Who will win CA La Paz vs Tlaxcala?

Model lean: CA La Paz 64%, draw 20%, Tlaxcala 16%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 44% of the last 9 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 3.3 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 44% of the time.

When is CA La Paz vs Tlaxcala?

Sunday, 8th November 2026 at 03:05 UTC , Estadio Guaycura.

More Liga de Expansión MX predictions

J

Written by

Joshua J

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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