Piratas vs Cancún

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Piratas and Cancún enter this one evenly matched on recent form, so we're leaning on 1 at odds of 1.55 (65% probability) to edge the Liga de Expansión MX clash.

Mexico: Liga de Expansión MX
Mon, 9th Nov, 2026 Quarter-finals
Piratas

Piratas

4th in table

L W W D D
FT
1 - 1
Cancún

Cancún

5th in table

D D W W D
37' Jesús Venegas
45' Christian Fernandez
45+3' Humberto Hernández
45+6' Christopher Trejo
Prediction: 1 (1.55 Odds) Lost
Home Win 65% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 3.15

Piratas

2.00

2.00 – 1.15

Cancún

1.15

Estadio Luis Pirata Fuente, Veracruz E. H. Armenta J.

Piratas

1.55

60% implied

Draw

4.33

21% implied

Cancún

5.00

19% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

Home Win Lost

1

Odds 1.55 65%

Match statistics

Match Statistics

Piratas vs Cancún

51%   Possession   49%

4   Shots on Target   1

0   Pass Accuracy   0

1   Corner Kicks   4

9   Fouls   9

1 2 0
0 0 0

Head to head

Last 2 meetings
2 games

0

Piratas wins

1

Draws

1

Cancún wins

1.5

Goals / game

50%

Both scored

0%

Over 2.5

06 Nov 2026
Cancún
1-1
Piratas
23 Aug 2026
Piratas
0-1
Cancún

Liga de Expansión MX table

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1
CA La Paz
15 9 3 3 36:18 18 30
2
Leones Negros UDG
15 9 3 3 34:20 14 30
3
Monarcas
15 8 2 5 26:19 7 26
4
Piratas
15 7 4 4 27:15 12 25
5
Cancún
15 7 4 4 28:18 10 25
6
Venados FC
15 7 4 4 31:25 6 25
7
Durango
15 7 3 5 21:15 6 24
8
Tlaxcala
15 6 4 5 29:27 2 22
9
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
15 7 1 7 15:25 -10 22
10
Mineros de Zacatecas
15 5 3 7 26:26 0 18
11
Tapatío
15 5 3 7 25:28 -3 18
12
Correcaminos Uat
15 4 5 6 21:24 -3 17
13
Dorados
15 4 4 7 23:32 -9 16
14
CDS Tampico Madero
15 4 3 8 15:25 -10 15
15
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
15 3 5 7 17:24 -7 14
16
Tepatitlán
15 2 1 12 11:44 -33 7

Top scorers

Liga de Expansión MX
# Player Team Goals
1
J. Múñoz
Durango
3
2
S. Hernández
Leones Negros UDG
2
3
Óscar Gil
Leones Negros UDG
1
4
Á. Robles
CA La Paz
1
5
J. Van Rankin
Monarcas
1
6
C. Fernandez
Piratas
1
7
M. Barragán
CA La Paz
1
8
J. Brigido
Leones Negros UDG
1
9
É. Cantú
Durango
1
10
D. Tejeda
Venados FC
1

Recent form

Piratas

4 W 4 D 2 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Cancún 1-1 D
A Cancún 1-1 D
H Tapatío 1-1 D
A Dorados 0-5 W
H Tepatitlán 3-0 W
A Tlaxcala 4-2 L
H Alebrijes de Oaxaca 4-0 W
A Mineros de Zacatecas 3-0 L
H Venados FC 2-1 W
A Cruz Azul Hidalgo 1-1 D

Cancún

4 W 5 D 1 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Piratas 1-1 D
H Piratas 1-1 D
H CDS Tampico Madero 2-0 W
A Tepatitlán 0-4 W
H Venados FC 1-1 D
A Mineros de Zacatecas 2-2 D
H Tapatío 1-0 W
A Tlaxcala 4-1 L
H Alebrijes de Oaxaca 3-0 W
A Dorados 1-1 D

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 3.15

Piratas

2.00

xG

Match

2.00 – 1.15

Cancún

1.15

xG

Our tip model

65%
19%
16%

API-Football

10%
45%
45%

Bookmaker

60%
21%
19%
Piratas Draw Cancún

Most likely scores

1:0

12.5%

1:1

12.5%

2:0

11.8%

2:1

10.5%

0:0

9.1%

3:0

8.3%

Goal lines

Over 2.5 goals 57%

Team comparison

Piratas Cancún
47% Recent form 53%
55% Attack 45%
40% Defence 60%
74% Poisson 26%
20% Head-to-head 80%
33% Goals 67%
45% Overall 55%

Double chance : draw or Cancún

Season numbers

When the goals come

0
0-15'
5
5
16-30'
3
6
31-45'
4
3
46-60'
2
5
61-75'
6
12
76-90'
9
2
0-15'
3
1
16-30'
3
4
31-45'
4
3
46-60'
2
1
61-75'
1
2
76-90'
6

Side by side

Piratas Cancún
16 Played 16
7 Won 7
5 Drawn 5
4 Lost 4
28 Goals for 29
16 Goals against 19
6 Clean sheets 7
4 Failed to score 1

What comes next

Piratas

CA La Paz (H) 11 Nov HARD
CA La Paz (A) 14 Nov HARD

Betting markets

Odds · implied %
Over 2.5 1.75
57% implied
Under 2.5 2.05
49% implied
Home/Draw 1.17
85% implied
Home/Away 1.22
82% implied
Draw/Away 2.10
48% implied
1:0 8.00
13% implied
2:0 8.50
12% implied
2:1 9.50
11% implied
3:0 12.00
8% implied
3:1 15.00
7% implied
3:2 29.00
3% implied
4:0 21.00
5% implied
4:1 26.00
4% implied
0:0 11.00
9% implied
1:1 8.00
13% implied
2:2 17.00
6% implied
0:1 15.00
7% implied
0:2 23.00
4% implied
0:3 41.00
2% implied
1:2 17.00
6% implied
1:3 34.00
3% implied
2:3 41.00
2% implied
3:3 51.00
2% implied
0:4 81.00
1% implied
1:4 67.00
1% implied
2:4 81.00
1% implied
4:2 41.00
2% implied
5:0 41.00
2% implied
5:1 41.00
2% implied
Home/Draw 17.00
6% implied
Home/Away 34.00
3% implied
Draw/Away 10.00
10% implied
Draw/Draw 6.50
15% implied
Home/Home 2.50
40% implied
Draw/Home 4.75
21% implied
Away/Home 21.00
5% implied
Away/Draw 17.00
6% implied
Away/Away 7.50
13% implied
Home -1.25 2.35
43% implied
Away -1.25 1.58
63% implied
Home -1 2.05
49% implied
Away -1 1.75
57% implied
Home -0.75 1.85
54% implied
Away -0.75 1.95
51% implied
Home -0.5 1.65
61% implied
Away -0.5 2.20
45% implied
Home -0.25 1.45
69% implied
Away -0.25 2.68
37% implied
Home +0 1.27
79% implied
Away +0 3.55
28% implied
Home +0.25 1.23
81% implied
Away +0.25 4.00
25% implied
Home +0.5 1.19
84% implied
Away +0.5 4.50
22% implied
Home +0.75 1.13
88% implied
Away +0.75 5.90
17% implied
Home -3 7.00
14% implied
Away -3 1.10
91% implied
Home -2 3.90
26% implied
Away -2 1.24
81% implied
Home -1.75 3.10
32% implied
Away -1.75 1.35
74% implied
Over 10.5 2.00
50% implied
Under 10.5 1.80
56% implied

Piratas vs Cancún: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Home Win: 1 (1.55 odds).

Piratas are rated 65% by our tip model, with the draw at 19% and Cancún at 16%.

In the last 2 meetings they averaged 1.5 goals per game, with BTTS in 50% and over 2.5 in 0%.

Double chance : draw or Cancún

Piratas vs Cancún FAQs

What is the best prediction for Piratas vs Cancún?

Our top tip is Home Win: 1 (1.55 odds).

Who will win Piratas vs Cancún?

Model lean: Piratas 65%, draw 19%, Cancún 16%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 50% of the last 2 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 1.5 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 0% of the time.

When is Piratas vs Cancún?

Monday, 9th November 2026 at 01:00 UTC .

More Liga de Expansión MX predictions

M

Written by

Matoski

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

Quick Links