Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict
Monarcas and Venados FC enter this one evenly matched on recent form, so we're leaning on 1 at odds of 1.57 (64% probability) to edge the Liga de Expansión MX clash.
Mexico: Liga de Expansión MX
Monarcas
3rd in table
Venados FC
6th in table
Expected Goals (xG)
Total 3.60
Monarcas
2.25
2.25 – 1.35
Venados FC
1.35
Monarcas
1.5758% implied
Draw
4.2022% implied
Venados FC
4.5020% implied
1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)
1
Monarcas vs Venados FC
53% Possession 47%
6 Shots on Target 2
0 Pass Accuracy 0
9 Corner Kicks 1
10 Fouls 12
3
Monarcas wins
2
Draws
4
Venados FC wins
3.2
Goals / game
89%
Both scored
78%
Over 2.5
Monarcas
Monarcas
Venados FC
Monarcas
Venados FC
Monarcas
Venados FC
Venados FC
Monarcas
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
CA La Paz
|
15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 36:18 | 18 | 30 |
| 2 |
Leones Negros UDG
|
15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 34:20 | 14 | 30 |
| 3 |
Monarcas
|
15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 26:19 | 7 | 26 |
| 4 |
Piratas
|
15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27:15 | 12 | 25 |
| 5 |
Cancún
|
15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 28:18 | 10 | 25 |
| 6 |
Venados FC
|
15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 31:25 | 6 | 25 |
| 7 |
Durango
|
15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 21:15 | 6 | 24 |
| 8 |
Tlaxcala
|
15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 29:27 | 2 | 22 |
| 9 |
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
|
15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 15:25 | -10 | 22 |
| 10 |
Mineros de Zacatecas
|
15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 26:26 | 0 | 18 |
| 11 |
Tapatío
|
15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 25:28 | -3 | 18 |
| 12 |
Correcaminos Uat
|
15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 21:24 | -3 | 17 |
| 13 |
Dorados
|
15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 23:32 | -9 | 16 |
| 14 |
CDS Tampico Madero
|
15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 15:25 | -10 | 15 |
| 15 |
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
|
15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17:24 | -7 | 14 |
| 16 |
Tepatitlán
|
15 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 11:44 | -33 | 7 |
| # | Player | Team | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
J. Múñoz
|
Durango
|
3 |
| 2 |
S. Hernández
|
Leones Negros UDG
|
2 |
| 3 |
Óscar Gil
|
Leones Negros UDG
|
1 |
| 4 |
Á. Robles
|
CA La Paz
|
1 |
| 5 |
J. Van Rankin
|
Monarcas
|
1 |
| 6 |
C. Fernandez
|
Piratas
|
1 |
| 7 |
M. Barragán
|
CA La Paz
|
1 |
| 8 |
J. Brigido
|
Leones Negros UDG
|
1 |
| 9 |
É. Cantú
|
Durango
|
1 |
| 10 |
D. Tejeda
|
Venados FC
|
1 |
Monarcas
2.25
xG
Match
2.25 – 1.35
Venados FC
1.35
xG
Our tip model
API-Football
Bookmaker
1:1
12.5%
1:0
11.1%
2:0
11.1%
2:1
10%
3:0
8.3%
0:0
7.7%
Monarcas
Venados FC
Double chance : Monarcas or draw
Monarcas
Venados FC
Monarcas
Leones Negros UDG
(H)
11 Nov
HARD
Leones Negros UDG
(A)
14 Nov
HARD
Our top tip is Home Win: 1 (1.57 odds).
Monarcas are rated 64% by our tip model, with the draw at 20% and Venados FC at 16%.
In the last 9 meetings they averaged 3.2 goals per game, with BTTS in 89% and over 2.5 in 78%.
Double chance : Monarcas or draw
Our top tip is Home Win: 1 (1.57 odds).
Model lean: Monarcas 64%, draw 20%, Venados FC 16%.
Both teams scored in 89% of the last 9 meetings.
Recent H2H averaged 3.2 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 78% of the time.
Sunday, 8th November 2026 at 01:00 UTC , Estadio Morelos.
Monarcas and Venados FC enter this one evenly matched on recent form, so we're leaning on 1 at odds of 1.57 (64% probability) to edge the Liga de Expansión MX clash.
Teams: Monarcas vs Venados FC
Date: Sun, Nov 8, 2026
Time: 01:00 UTC
Venue: Estadio Morelos, Morelia
Check our prediction page now to see the complete Monarcas vs Venados FC prediction, analysis, and odds for today.
Written by
Joshua J
Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict