Tlaxcala vs CA La Paz

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Tlaxcala arrive in strong form (DWDWW) and are well-fancied to back X2 against CA La Paz at Estadio Tlahuicole, with our model giving this a 67% probability at odds of 1.50.

Mexico: Liga de Expansión MX
Thu, 5th Nov, 2026 Quarter-finals
Tlaxcala

Tlaxcala

8th in table

D W D W W
FT
0 - 1
CA La Paz

CA La Paz

1st in table

L W D W W
20' Yellow Card
30' Yellow Card
45' U. Jaimes
51' Yellow Card
73' Yellow Card
74' Yellow Card
90' Yellow Card
Prediction: X2 (1.50 Odds) Won
Double Chance 67% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 4.40

Tlaxcala

2.10

2.10 – 2.30

CA La Paz

2.30

Estadio Tlahuicole, Tlaxcala L. A. Garcia Olvera

Tlaxcala

2.55

37% implied

Draw

3.70

25% implied

CA La Paz

2.50

38% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

Double Chance Won

X2

Odds 1.50 67%

Match statistics

Match Statistics

Tlaxcala vs CA La Paz

56%   Possession   44%

2   Shots on Target   3

0   Pass Accuracy   0

7   Corner Kicks   2

14   Fouls   14

0 1 3
2 4 0

Head to head

Last 8 meetings
8 games

1

Tlaxcala wins

3

Draws

4

CA La Paz wins

3.6

Goals / game

50%

Both scored

50%

Over 2.5

17 Oct 2026
CA La Paz
2-2
Tlaxcala
08 Mar 2026
CA La Paz
2-0
Tlaxcala
28 Sep 2025
Tlaxcala
3-3
CA La Paz
11 Jan 2025
CA La Paz
4-4
Tlaxcala
27 Jul 2024
Tlaxcala
0-2
CA La Paz
17 Feb 2024
Tlaxcala
2-3
CA La Paz
27 Sep 2023
CA La Paz
1-0
Tlaxcala
04 Apr 2023
Tlaxcala
1-0
CA La Paz

Liga de Expansión MX table

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1
CA La Paz
15 9 3 3 36:18 18 30
2
Leones Negros UDG
15 9 3 3 34:20 14 30
3
Monarcas
15 8 2 5 26:19 7 26
4
Piratas
15 7 4 4 27:15 12 25
5
Cancún
15 7 4 4 28:18 10 25
6
Venados FC
15 7 4 4 31:25 6 25
7
Durango
15 7 3 5 21:15 6 24
8
Tlaxcala
15 6 4 5 29:27 2 22
9
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
15 7 1 7 15:25 -10 22
10
Mineros de Zacatecas
15 5 3 7 26:26 0 18
11
Tapatío
15 5 3 7 25:28 -3 18
12
Correcaminos Uat
15 4 5 6 21:24 -3 17
13
Dorados
15 4 4 7 23:32 -9 16
14
CDS Tampico Madero
15 4 3 8 15:25 -10 15
15
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
15 3 5 7 17:24 -7 14
16
Tepatitlán
15 2 1 12 11:44 -33 7

Top scorers

Liga de Expansión MX
# Player Team Goals
1
J. Múñoz
Durango
3
2
S. Hernández
Leones Negros UDG
2
3
Óscar Gil
Leones Negros UDG
1
4
Á. Robles
CA La Paz
1
5
J. Van Rankin
Monarcas
1
6
C. Fernandez
Piratas
1
7
M. Barragán
CA La Paz
1
8
J. Brigido
Leones Negros UDG
1
9
É. Cantú
Durango
1
10
D. Tejeda
Venados FC
1

Recent form

Tlaxcala

5 W 3 D 2 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A CA La Paz 3-3 D
H CA La Paz 0-1 L
A Cruz Azul Hidalgo 0-2 W
H Correcaminos Uat 2-0 W
A CA La Paz 2-2 D
H Piratas 4-2 W
A Monarcas 1-1 D
H Cancún 4-1 W
A Tapatío 4-0 L
H CDS Tampico Madero 3-1 W

CA La Paz

6 W 3 D 1 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Tlaxcala 3-3 D
A Tlaxcala 0-1 W
H Dorados 3-0 W
A CDS Tampico Madero 1-3 W
H Tlaxcala 2-2 D
A Tapatío 2-4 W
H Venados FC 1-2 L
A Alebrijes de Oaxaca 1-3 W
H Correcaminos Uat 3-1 W
A Leones Negros UDG 2-2 D

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 4.40

Tlaxcala

2.10

xG

Match

2.10 – 2.30

CA La Paz

2.30

xG

Our tip model

15%
18%
67%

API-Football

10%
45%
45%

Bookmaker

37%
25%
38%
Tlaxcala Draw CA La Paz

Most likely scores

1:1

13.3%

2:1

9.1%

1:2

9.1%

2:2

8.3%

1:0

7.7%

0:1

7.7%

Goal lines

Over 2.5 goals 64%

Team comparison

Tlaxcala CA La Paz
52% Recent form 48%
46% Attack 54%
58% Defence 42%
37% Poisson 63%
25% Head-to-head 75%
41% Goals 59%
43% Overall 57%

Combo Double chance : draw or CA La Paz and +1.5 goals

Season numbers

When the goals come

1
0-15'
5
3
16-30'
5
6
31-45'
9
4
46-60'
7
4
61-75'
3
11
76-90'
9
3
0-15'
1
5
16-30'
4
3
31-45'
3
6
46-60'
2
3
61-75'
2
7
76-90'
4

Side by side

Tlaxcala CA La Paz
15 Played 15
6 Won 9
4 Drawn 3
5 Lost 3
29 Goals for 36
27 Goals against 18
2 Clean sheets 4
2 Failed to score 1

What comes next

CA La Paz

Piratas (A) 11 Nov HARD
Piratas (H) 14 Nov HARD

Betting markets

Odds · implied %
Over 2.5 1.57
64% implied
Under 2.5 2.35
43% implied
Home/Draw 1.50
67% implied
Home/Away 1.28
78% implied
Draw/Away 1.50
67% implied
1:0 13.00
8% implied
2:0 15.00
7% implied
2:1 11.00
9% implied
3:0 23.00
4% implied
3:1 19.00
5% implied
3:2 23.00
4% implied
4:0 41.00
2% implied
4:1 34.00
3% implied
0:0 15.00
7% implied
1:1 7.50
13% implied
2:2 12.00
8% implied
0:1 13.00
8% implied
0:2 15.00
7% implied
0:3 23.00
4% implied
1:2 11.00
9% implied
1:3 19.00
5% implied
2:3 23.00
4% implied
3:3 34.00
3% implied
0:4 41.00
2% implied
1:4 34.00
3% implied
2:4 41.00
2% implied
4:2 41.00
2% implied
0:5 67.00
1% implied
1:5 51.00
2% implied
Home/Draw 15.00
7% implied
Home/Away 23.00
4% implied
Draw/Away 6.50
15% implied
Draw/Draw 7.00
14% implied
Home/Home 3.75
27% implied
Draw/Home 6.50
15% implied
Away/Home 23.00
4% implied
Away/Draw 15.00
7% implied
Away/Away 3.75
27% implied
Home -1.25 4.00
25% implied
Away -1.25 1.23
81% implied
Home -1 3.55
28% implied
Away -1 1.27
79% implied
Home -0.75 2.85
35% implied
Away -0.75 1.40
71% implied
Home -0.5 2.42
41% implied
Away -0.5 1.52
66% implied
Home -0.25 2.20
45% implied
Away -0.25 1.65
61% implied
Home +0 1.90
53% implied
Away +0 1.90
53% implied
Home +0.25 1.65
61% implied
Away +0.25 2.20
45% implied
Home +0.5 1.52
66% implied
Away +0.5 2.42
41% implied
Home +0.75 1.40
71% implied
Away +0.75 2.85
35% implied
Home +1 1.27
79% implied
Away +1 3.55
28% implied
Home +2 1.10
91% implied
Away +2 7.00
14% implied
Home -1.75 5.50
18% implied
Away -1.75 1.15
87% implied

Tlaxcala vs CA La Paz: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Double Chance: X2 (1.50 odds).

Tlaxcala are rated 15% by our tip model, with the draw at 18% and CA La Paz at 67%.

In the last 8 meetings they averaged 3.6 goals per game, with BTTS in 50% and over 2.5 in 50%.

Combo Double chance : draw or CA La Paz and +1.5 goals

Tlaxcala vs CA La Paz FAQs

What is the best prediction for Tlaxcala vs CA La Paz?

Our top tip is Double Chance: X2 (1.50 odds).

Who will win Tlaxcala vs CA La Paz?

Model lean: Tlaxcala 15%, draw 18%, CA La Paz 67%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 50% of the last 8 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 3.6 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 50% of the time.

When is Tlaxcala vs CA La Paz?

Thursday, 5th November 2026 at 01:05 UTC , Estadio Tlahuicole.

More Liga de Expansión MX predictions

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Written by

Matoski

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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