Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict
Tapatío and Monarcas enter this one evenly matched on recent form, so we're leaning on 1X at odds of 1.57 (64% probability) to edge the Liga de Expansión MX clash.
Mexico: Liga de Expansión MX
Tapatío
11th in table
Monarcas
3rd in table
Expected Goals (xG)
Total 2.75
Tapatío
1.55
1.55 – 1.20
Monarcas
1.20
Tapatío
2.8033% implied
Draw
3.5026% implied
Monarcas
2.2541% implied
1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)
1X
+2.5
4
Tapatío wins
4
Draws
1
Monarcas wins
2
Goals / game
44%
Both scored
44%
Over 2.5
Monarcas
Tapatío
Monarcas
Tapatío
Monarcas
Tapatío
Monarcas
Tapatío
Tapatío
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
CA La Paz
|
15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 36:18 | 18 | 30 |
| 2 |
Leones Negros UDG
|
15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 34:20 | 14 | 30 |
| 3 |
Monarcas
|
15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 26:19 | 7 | 26 |
| 4 |
Piratas
|
15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27:15 | 12 | 25 |
| 5 |
Cancún
|
15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 28:18 | 10 | 25 |
| 6 |
Venados FC
|
15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 31:25 | 6 | 25 |
| 7 |
Durango
|
15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 21:15 | 6 | 24 |
| 8 |
Tlaxcala
|
15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 29:27 | 2 | 22 |
| 9 |
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
|
15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 15:25 | -10 | 22 |
| 10 |
Mineros de Zacatecas
|
15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 26:26 | 0 | 18 |
| 11 |
Tapatío
|
15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 25:28 | -3 | 18 |
| 12 |
Correcaminos Uat
|
15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 21:24 | -3 | 17 |
| 13 |
Dorados
|
15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 23:32 | -9 | 16 |
| 14 |
CDS Tampico Madero
|
15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 15:25 | -10 | 15 |
| 15 |
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
|
15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17:24 | -7 | 14 |
| 16 |
Tepatitlán
|
15 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 11:44 | -33 | 7 |
| # | Player | Team | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
J. Múñoz
|
Durango
|
3 |
| 2 |
S. Hernández
|
Leones Negros UDG
|
2 |
| 3 |
Óscar Gil
|
Leones Negros UDG
|
1 |
| 4 |
Á. Robles
|
CA La Paz
|
1 |
| 5 |
J. Van Rankin
|
Monarcas
|
1 |
| 6 |
C. Fernandez
|
Piratas
|
1 |
| 7 |
M. Barragán
|
CA La Paz
|
1 |
| 8 |
J. Brigido
|
Leones Negros UDG
|
1 |
| 9 |
É. Cantú
|
Durango
|
1 |
| 10 |
D. Tejeda
|
Venados FC
|
1 |
Tapatío
1.55
xG
Match
1.55 – 1.20
Monarcas
1.20
xG
Our tip model
API-Football
Bookmaker
Tapatío
Monarcas
Double chance : Tapatío or draw
Tapatío
Monarcas
Monarcas
Leones Negros UDG
(H)
11 Nov
HARD
Leones Negros UDG
(A)
14 Nov
HARD
Our top tip is Double Chance: 1X (1.57 odds).
Tapatío are rated 64% by our tip model, with the draw at 20% and Monarcas at 16%.
In the last 9 meetings they averaged 2 goals per game, with BTTS in 44% and over 2.5 in 44%.
Double chance : Tapatío or draw
Our top tip is Double Chance: 1X (1.57 odds).
Model lean: Tapatío 64%, draw 20%, Monarcas 16%.
Both teams scored in 44% of the last 9 meetings.
Recent H2H averaged 2 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 44% of the time.
Saturday, 24th October 2026 at 23:00 UTC , Estadio Akron.
Tapatío and Monarcas enter this one evenly matched on recent form, so we're leaning on 1X at odds of 1.57 (64% probability) to edge the Liga de Expansión MX clash.
Teams: Tapatío vs Monarcas
Date: Sat, Oct 24, 2026
Time: 23:00 UTC
Venue: Estadio Akron, Zapopan
Check our prediction page now to see the complete Tapatío vs Monarcas prediction, analysis, and odds for today.
Written by
Matoski
Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict