Montenegro vs Latvia

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Montenegro arrive in strong form (WWWD) and are well-fancied to back 1 against Latvia at Gradski Stadion, with our model giving this a 76% probability at odds of 1.32.

World: UEFA Nations League
Thu, 12th Nov, 2026 League C - 5
Montenegro

Montenegro

W W W D
NS
VS
Latvia

Latvia

L D L L
Prediction: 1 (1.32 Odds)
Free Tip 76% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.00

Montenegro

1.50

1.50 – 0.50

Latvia

0.50

Gradski Stadion, Podgorica Jerome Brisard

Montenegro

1.33

73% implied

Draw

5.41

18% implied

Latvia

10.80

9% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

Win Either Half Free

HWEH

Odds 1.17 85%
Free Tip Free

1

Odds 1.32 76%
Free 2 Odds Free

1

Odds 1.32 76%

Head to head

Last 4 meetings
4 games

2

Montenegro wins

2

Draws

0

Latvia wins

2

Goals / game

75%

Both scored

50%

Over 2.5

02 Oct 2026
Latvia
1-2
Montenegro
07 Sep 2021
Montenegro
0-0
Latvia
24 Mar 2021
Latvia
1-2
Montenegro
07 Oct 2020
Montenegro
1-1
Latvia

UEFA Nations League table

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1
France
4 3 1 0 7:2 5 10
2
Italy
4 2 1 1 8:5 3 7
3
Belgium
4 2 0 2 6:5 1 6
4
Türkiye
4 0 0 4 2:11 -9 0

Top scorers

UEFA Nations League
# Player Team Goals
1
H. Kane
England
6
2
M. Olise
France
4
3
Lamine Yamal
Spain
4
4
L. Walta
Finland
4
5
V. Gyökeres
Sweden
4
6
T. Parrott
Rep. Of Ireland
4
7
O. Óskarsson
Iceland
3
8
Mikel Merino
Spain
3
9
Gonçalo Ramos
Portugal
3
10
João Félix
Portugal
3

Recent form

Montenegro

6 W 2 D 2 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Armenia 0-0 D
A Latvia 1-2 W
A Armenia 2-3 W
H Cyprus 2-1 W
A Slovakia 2-2 D
A Bulgaria 0-1 W
H Slovenia 2-3 L
H Andorra 2-0 W
H Croatia 2-3 L
A Gibraltar 1-2 W

Latvia

2 W 2 D 6 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Cyprus 2-1 L
H Montenegro 1-2 L
H Cyprus 0-0 D
A Armenia 2-0 L
H Faroe Islands 0-1 L
H Gibraltar 1-0 W
A Gibraltar 0-1 W
A Serbia 2-1 L
A FYR Macedonia 0-0 D
H England 0-5 L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.00

Montenegro

1.50

xG

Match

1.50 – 0.50

Latvia

0.50

xG

Our tip model

76%
13%
11%

API-Football

50%
50%

Bookmaker

73%
18%
9%
Montenegro Draw Latvia

Most likely scores

2:0

18.2%

1:0

16.7%

3:0

13.3%

2:1

10%

0:0

9.1%

1:1

9.1%

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 80%
Over 2.5 goals 56%
Over 3.5 goals 33%
Both teams to score 42%

Team comparison

Montenegro Latvia
91% Recent form 9%
78% Attack 22%
60% Defence 40%
89% Poisson 11%
75% Head-to-head 25%
63% Goals 38%
76% Overall 24%

Double chance : Montenegro or draw

Season numbers

When the goals come

1
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
0
1
31-45'
0
1
46-60'
1
1
61-75'
0
2
76-90'
1
0
0-15'
1
1
16-30'
0
1
31-45'
1
1
46-60'
1
1
61-75'
2
1
76-90'
0

Side by side

Montenegro Latvia
4 Played 4
3 Won 0
1 Drawn 1
0 Lost 3
7 Goals for 2
4 Goals against 6
1 Clean sheets 1
1 Failed to score 2

What comes next

Montenegro

Latvia (H) 12 Nov MID
Cyprus (A) 15 Nov MID

Latvia

Montenegro (A) 12 Nov MID
Armenia (H) 15 Nov MID

Betting markets

Odds · implied %
Over 1.5 1.25
80% implied
Under 1.5 3.75
27% implied
Over 2.5 1.80
56% implied
Under 2.5 2.00
50% implied
Over 3.5 3.00
33% implied
Under 3.5 1.36
74% implied
Over 0.5 1.04
96% implied
Under 0.5 9.00
11% implied
Over 4.5 5.00
20% implied
Under 4.5 1.14
88% implied
Over 7.5 21.00
5% implied
Under 7.5 1.00
Over 5.5 9.00
11% implied
Under 5.5 1.04
96% implied
Over 6.5 13.00
8% implied
Under 6.5 1.01
99% implied
Yes 2.38
42% implied
No 1.53
65% implied
Home/Draw 1.04
96% implied
Home/Away 1.12
89% implied
Draw/Away 3.50
29% implied
1:0 6.00
17% implied
2:0 5.50
18% implied
2:1 10.00
10% implied
3:0 7.50
13% implied
3:1 13.00
8% implied
3:2 34.00
3% implied
4:0 12.00
8% implied
4:1 21.00
5% implied
0:0 11.00
9% implied
1:1 11.00
9% implied
2:2 29.00
3% implied
0:1 21.00
5% implied
0:2 41.00
2% implied
0:3 126.00
1% implied
1:2 29.00
3% implied
1:3 81.00
1% implied
2:3 67.00
1% implied
3:3 101.00
1% implied
4:2 51.00
2% implied
5:0 23.00
4% implied
5:1 41.00
2% implied
5:2 81.00
1% implied
6:0 41.00
2% implied
6:1 67.00
1% implied
Home/Draw 23.00
4% implied
Home/Away 67.00
1% implied
Draw/Away 19.00
5% implied
Draw/Draw 7.00
14% implied
Home/Home 1.80
56% implied
Draw/Home 3.75
27% implied
Away/Home 23.00
4% implied
Away/Draw 23.00
4% implied
Away/Away 19.00
5% implied
Home -1.25 1.65
61% implied
Away -1.25 2.20
45% implied
Home -1 1.42
70% implied
Away -1 2.75
36% implied
Home -0.75 1.35
74% implied
Away -0.75 3.10
32% implied
Home -0.5 1.28
78% implied
Away -0.5 3.50
29% implied
Home -0.25 1.19
84% implied
Away -0.25 4.50
22% implied
Home +0 1.10
91% implied
Away +0 6.80
15% implied
Home +0.25 1.10
91% implied
Away +0.25 7.00
14% implied
Home +0.5 1.04
96% implied
Away +0.5 9.50
11% implied
Home -3 5.25
19% implied
Away -3 1.16
86% implied
Home -2 2.42
41% implied
Away -2 1.52
66% implied
Home -1.75 2.08
48% implied
Away -1.75 1.72
58% implied
Home -1.5 1.83
55% implied
Away -1.5 1.83
55% implied
Over 9.5 1.91
52% implied
Under 9.5 1.80
56% implied

Montenegro vs Latvia: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Free Tip: 1 (1.32 odds).

Montenegro are rated 76% by our tip model, with the draw at 13% and Latvia at 11%.

In the last 4 meetings they averaged 2 goals per game, with BTTS in 75% and over 2.5 in 50%.

Double chance : Montenegro or draw

Montenegro vs Latvia FAQs

What is the best prediction for Montenegro vs Latvia?

Our top tip is Free Tip: 1 (1.32 odds).

Who will win Montenegro vs Latvia?

Model lean: Montenegro 76%, draw 13%, Latvia 11%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 75% of the last 4 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 2 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 50% of the time.

When is Montenegro vs Latvia?

Thursday, 12th November 2026 at 19:45 UTC , Gradski Stadion.

More UEFA Nations League predictions

M

Written by

Matoski

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

Quick Links