Albania vs Finland

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Our expert prediction for Albania vs Finland is X, at odds of 3.30 with a 30% probability rating.

World: UEFA Nations League
Thu, 12th Nov, 2026 League C - 5
Albania

Albania

W W L W
NS
VS
Finland

Finland

W D W L
Prediction: X (3.30 Odds)
Draws 30% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 3.25

Albania

1.25

1.25 – 2.00

Finland

2.00

Arena Kombëtare, Tirana Joao Pinheiro

Albania

1.97

49% implied

Draw

3.38

29% implied

Finland

4.38

22% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

Draws Free

X

Odds 3.30 30%

Head to head

Last 1 meetings
1 games

0

Albania wins

0

Draws

1

Finland wins

3

Goals / game

100%

Both scored

100%

Over 2.5

03 Oct 2026
Finland
2-1
Albania

UEFA Nations League table

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1
France
4 3 1 0 7:2 5 10
2
Italy
4 2 1 1 8:5 3 7
3
Belgium
4 2 0 2 6:5 1 6
4
Türkiye
4 0 0 4 2:11 -9 0

Top scorers

UEFA Nations League
# Player Team Goals
1
H. Kane
England
6
2
M. Olise
France
4
3
Lamine Yamal
Spain
4
4
L. Walta
Finland
4
5
V. Gyökeres
Sweden
4
6
T. Parrott
Rep. Of Ireland
4
7
O. Óskarsson
Iceland
3
8
Mikel Merino
Spain
3
9
Gonçalo Ramos
Portugal
3
10
João Félix
Portugal
3

Recent form

Albania

4 W 0 D 6 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H San Marino 2-1 W
A Finland 2-1 L
A San Marino 0-3 W
H Belarus 2-0 W
H Luxembourg 0-1 L
H Israel 0-1 L
A Ukraine 1-0 L
A Poland 2-1 L
H England 0-2 L
A Andorra 0-1 W

Finland

4 W 1 D 5 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Belarus 1-0 L
H Albania 2-1 W
H Belarus 0-0 D
A San Marino 0-7 W
A Hungary 2-1 L
A Germany 4-0 L
A New Zealand 0-2 W
H Andorra 4-0 W
H Malta 0-1 L
A Netherlands 4-0 L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 3.25

Albania

1.25

xG

Match

1.25 – 2.00

Finland

2.00

xG

Our tip model

39%
30%
31%

API-Football

10%
45%
45%

Bookmaker

49%
29%
22%
Albania Draw Finland

Most likely scores

1:0

16.7%

1:1

16.7%

0:0

15.4%

2:0

12.5%

2:1

10.5%

0:1

10.5%

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 69%
Over 2.5 goals 42%
Over 3.5 goals 22%
Both teams to score 45%

Team comparison

Albania Finland
56% Recent form 44%
47% Attack 53%
40% Defence 60%
37% Poisson 63%
0% Head-to-head 100%
33% Goals 67%
43% Overall 57%

Double chance : draw or Finland

Season numbers

When the goals come

2
0-15'
2
2
16-30'
1
1
31-45'
1
1
46-60'
2
1
61-75'
1
0
76-90'
2
0
0-15'
2
1
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
0
2
61-75'
0
0
76-90'
0

Side by side

Albania Finland
4 Played 4
3 Won 2
0 Drawn 1
1 Lost 1
8 Goals for 9
3 Goals against 2
2 Clean sheets 2
0 Failed to score 2

What comes next

Albania

Finland (H) 12 Nov MID
Belarus (A) 15 Nov MID

Finland

Albania (A) 12 Nov MID
San Marino (H) 15 Nov MID

Betting markets

Odds · implied %
Over 1.5 1.44
69% implied
Under 1.5 2.62
38% implied
Over 2.5 2.38
42% implied
Under 2.5 1.53
65% implied
Over 3.5 4.50
22% implied
Under 3.5 1.17
85% implied
Over 0.5 1.10
91% implied
Under 0.5 6.50
15% implied
Over 4.5 8.50
12% implied
Under 4.5 1.05
95% implied
Over 5.5 13.00
8% implied
Under 5.5 1.01
99% implied
Over 6.5 21.00
5% implied
Under 6.5 1.00
Yes 2.20
45% implied
No 1.62
62% implied
Home/Draw 1.30
77% implied
Home/Away 1.36
74% implied
Draw/Away 1.57
64% implied
1:0 6.00
17% implied
2:0 8.00
13% implied
2:1 9.50
11% implied
3:0 17.00
6% implied
3:1 19.00
5% implied
3:2 41.00
2% implied
4:0 34.00
3% implied
4:1 41.00
2% implied
0:0 6.50
15% implied
1:1 6.00
17% implied
2:2 19.00
5% implied
0:1 9.50
11% implied
0:2 19.00
5% implied
0:3 41.00
2% implied
1:2 15.00
7% implied
1:3 41.00
2% implied
2:3 51.00
2% implied
3:3 67.00
1% implied
0:4 101.00
1% implied
1:4 81.00
1% implied
2:4 126.00
1% implied
4:2 67.00
1% implied
5:0 67.00
1% implied
5:1 81.00
1% implied
Home/Draw 17.00
6% implied
Home/Away 41.00
2% implied
Draw/Away 8.50
12% implied
Draw/Draw 4.50
22% implied
Home/Home 3.10
32% implied
Draw/Home 4.75
21% implied
Away/Home 29.00
3% implied
Away/Draw 17.00
6% implied
Away/Away 6.50
15% implied
Home -1.25 3.45
29% implied
Away -1.25 1.30
77% implied
Home -1 2.85
35% implied
Away -1 1.40
71% implied
Home -0.75 2.30
43% implied
Away -0.75 1.60
63% implied
Home -0.5 1.95
51% implied
Away -0.5 1.80
56% implied
Home -0.25 1.75
57% implied
Away -0.25 2.05
49% implied
Home +0 1.40
71% implied
Away +0 2.85
35% implied
Home +0.25 1.30
77% implied
Away +0.25 3.45
29% implied
Home +0.5 1.22
82% implied
Away +0.5 4.20
24% implied
Home +0.75 1.15
87% implied
Away +0.75 5.50
18% implied
Home -2 7.00
14% implied
Away -2 1.10
91% implied
Home -1.75 5.00
20% implied
Away -1.75 1.17
85% implied
Home -1.5 3.75
27% implied
Away -1.5 1.25
80% implied
Over 8.5 1.83
55% implied
Under 8.5 1.83
55% implied
Over 9 1.92
52% implied
Under 9 1.88
53% implied

Albania vs Finland: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Draws: X (3.30 odds).

Albania are rated 39% by our tip model, with the draw at 30% and Finland at 31%.

In the last 1 meetings they averaged 3 goals per game, with BTTS in 100% and over 2.5 in 100%.

Double chance : draw or Finland

Albania vs Finland FAQs

What is the best prediction for Albania vs Finland?

Our top tip is Draws: X (3.30 odds).

Who will win Albania vs Finland?

Model lean: Albania 39%, draw 30%, Finland 31%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 100% of the last 1 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 3 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 100% of the time.

When is Albania vs Finland?

Thursday, 12th November 2026 at 19:45 UTC , Arena Kombëtare.

More UEFA Nations League predictions

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Written by

Sam M

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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