England vs Croatia

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

England arrive in strong form (LWWW) and are well-fancied to back 1 against Croatia at Wembley Stadium, with our model giving this a 78% probability at odds of 1.28.

World: UEFA Nations League

Thu, 12th Nov, 2026 | | League A - 5

England

L W W W

Croatia

W L L L

Prediction: 1 (1.28 Odds)

Free Tip 78% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 4.00

England

2.50

2.50 – 1.50

Croatia

1.50

Wembley Stadium, London Morten Krogh

England

1.27

76% implied

Draw

6.17

16% implied

Croatia

11.80

8% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

Free Tip Free

Odds 1.28 78%

Head to head

Last 6 meetings

6 games

England wins

Draws

Croatia wins

3.3

Goals / game

50%

Both scored

67%

Over 2.5

03 Oct 2026

Croatia

0-7

England

17 Jun 2026

England

4-2

Croatia

13 Jun 2021

England

1-0

Croatia

18 Nov 2018

England

2-1

Croatia

12 Oct 2018

Croatia

0-0

England

11 Jul 2018

Croatia

2-1

England

UEFA Nations League table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts	Form
1	France	4	3	1	0	7:2	5	10	W D W W
2	Italy	4	2	1	1	8:5	3	7	W D W L
3	Belgium	4	2	0	2	6:5	1	6	L W L W
4	Türkiye	4	0	0	4	2:11	-9	0	L L L L

Top scorers

UEFA Nations League

#	Player	Team	Goals	Assists
1	H. Kane	England	6	1
2	M. Olise	France	4	2
3	Lamine Yamal	Spain	4	1
4	L. Walta	Finland	4	1
5	V. Gyökeres	Sweden	4	0
6	T. Parrott	Rep. Of Ireland	4	0
7	O. Óskarsson	Iceland	3	2
8	Mikel Merino	Spain	3	1
9	Gonçalo Ramos	Portugal	3	1
10	João Félix	Portugal	3	1

Recent form

England

7 W 1 D 2 L in the last 10

Scored Conceded

H Czechia 3-0 W

A Croatia 0-7 W

A Czechia 0-2 W

H Spain 2-3 L

A France 4-6 W

H Argentina 1-2 L

A Mexico 2-3 W

H Congo DR 2-1 W

A Panama 0-2 W

H Ghana 0-0 D

Croatia

4 W 0 D 6 L in the last 10

Scored Conceded

H Spain 1-2 L

H England 0-7 L

A Spain 4-1 L

A Czechia 1-2 W

A Portugal 2-1 L

H Ghana 2-1 W

A Panama 0-1 W

A England 4-2 L

H Slovenia 2-1 W

H Belgium 0-2 L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 4.00

England

2.50

Match

2.50 – 1.50

Croatia

1.50

Our tip model

78%

12%

10%

API-Football

50%

Bookmaker

76%

16%

England Draw Croatia

Most likely scores

2:0

13.3%

3:0

12.5%

1:0

11.1%

2:1

11.1%

3:1

10%

4:0

8.3%

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 89%

Over 2.5 goals 69%

Over 3.5 goals 48%

Both teams to score 55%

Team comparison

England Croatia

75% Recent form 25%

78% Attack 22%

82% Defence 18%

74% Poisson 26%

93% Head-to-head 7%

82% Goals 18%

81% Overall 19%

Combo Winner : England and +2.5 goals

Season numbers

When the goals come

0-15'

16-30'

31-45'

46-60'

61-75'

76-90'

0-15'

16-30'

31-45'

46-60'

61-75'

76-90'

Side by side

England Croatia

4 Played 4

3 Won 1

0 Drawn 0

1 Lost 3

14 Goals for 4

3 Goals against 14

3 Clean sheets 0

0 Failed to score 1

What comes next

England

Croatia (H) 12 Nov MID

Spain (A) 15 Nov MID

Croatia

England (A) 12 Nov MID

Czechia (H) 15 Nov MID

Betting markets

Odds · implied %

Over 1.5 1.12

89% implied

Under 1.5 6.00

17% implied

Over 2.5 1.44

69% implied

Under 2.5 2.70

37% implied

Over 3.5 2.10

48% implied

Under 3.5 1.67

60% implied

Over 0.5 1.01

99% implied

Under 0.5 21.00

5% implied

Over 8.5 51.00

2% implied

Under 8.5 1.00

Over 4.5 3.50

29% implied

Under 4.5 1.28

78% implied

Over 7.5 26.00

4% implied

Under 7.5 1.01

99% implied

Over 5.5 6.50

15% implied

Under 5.5 1.11

90% implied

Over 6.5 13.00

8% implied

Under 6.5 1.04

96% implied

Yes 1.83

55% implied

No 1.83

55% implied

Home/Draw 1.05

95% implied

Home/Away 1.11

90% implied

Draw/Away 4.00

25% implied

1:0 9.00

11% implied

2:0 7.50

13% implied

2:1 9.00

11% implied

3:0 8.00

13% implied

3:1 10.00

10% implied

3:2 23.00

4% implied

4:0 12.00

8% implied

4:1 15.00

7% implied

0:0 21.00

5% implied

1:1 13.00

8% implied

2:2 23.00

4% implied

0:1 29.00

3% implied

0:2 51.00

2% implied

0:3 126.00

1% implied

1:2 26.00

4% implied

1:3 67.00

1% implied

2:3 51.00

2% implied

3:3 51.00

2% implied

0:4 451.00

1:4 201.00

2:4 151.00

1% implied

4:2 34.00

3% implied

3:4 201.00

5:0 21.00

5% implied

Home/Draw 19.00

5% implied

Home/Away 51.00

2% implied

Draw/Away 23.00

4% implied

Draw/Draw 9.50

11% implied

Home/Home 1.73

58% implied

Draw/Home 4.00

25% implied

Away/Home 17.00

6% implied

Away/Draw 21.00

5% implied

Away/Away 19.00

5% implied

Home -1.25 1.50

67% implied

Away -1.25 2.50

40% implied

Home -1 1.32

76% implied

Away -1 3.30

30% implied

Home -0.75 1.27

79% implied

Away -0.75 3.55

28% implied

Home -0.5 1.23

81% implied

Away -0.5 4.00

25% implied

Home -0.25 1.15

87% implied

Away -0.25 5.50

18% implied

Home +0 1.10

91% implied

Away +0 6.80

15% implied

Home +0.5 1.04

96% implied

Away +0.5 13.00

8% implied

Home -3 4.00

25% implied

Away -3 1.23

81% implied

Home -2 2.10

48% implied

Away -2 1.70

59% implied

Home -1.75 1.88

53% implied

Away -1.75 1.98

51% implied

Home -1.5 1.68

60% implied

Away -1.5 2.15

47% implied

Home -2.5 2.68

37% implied

Away -2.5 1.45

69% implied

Over 9.5 1.83

55% implied

Under 9.5 1.83

55% implied

England vs Croatia: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Free Tip: 1 (1.28 odds).

England are rated 78% by our tip model, with the draw at 12% and Croatia at 10%.

In the last 6 meetings they averaged 3.3 goals per game, with BTTS in 50% and over 2.5 in 67%.

Combo Winner : England and +2.5 goals

England vs Croatia FAQs

What is the best prediction for England vs Croatia?

Our top tip is Free Tip: 1 (1.28 odds).

Who will win England vs Croatia?

Model lean: England 78%, draw 12%, Croatia 10%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 50% of the last 6 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 3.3 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 67% of the time.

When is England vs Croatia?

Thursday, 12th November 2026 at 19:45 UTC , Wembley Stadium.

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Match Preview

England arrive in strong form (LWWW) and are well-fancied to back 1 against Croatia at Wembley Stadium, with our model giving this a 78% probability at odds of 1.28.

Match Info Summary

Teams: England vs Croatia

Date: Thu, Nov 12, 2026

Time: 19:45 UTC

Venue: Wembley Stadium, London

Check our prediction page now to see the complete England vs Croatia prediction, analysis, and odds for today.

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Written by

Matoski

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

England vs Croatia

All our tips for this match

Head to head

UEFA Nations League table

Top scorers

Recent form

England

Croatia

Who wins? Three ways to read it

Expected Goals (xG)

Most likely scores

Goal lines

Team comparison

Season numbers

When the goals come

Side by side

What comes next

Betting markets

England vs Croatia: preview and prediction

England vs Croatia FAQs

More UEFA Nations League predictions

Match Preview

Match Info Summary

Quick Links