Portugal vs Denmark

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Portugal arrive in strong form (WWWW) and are well-fancied to back 1 against Denmark at Estádio Municipal de Braga, with our model giving this a 67% probability at odds of 1.50.

World: UEFA Nations League
Sat, 14th Nov, 2026 League A - 5
Portugal

Portugal

W W W W
NS
VS
Denmark

Denmark

L W L W
Prediction: 1 (1.50 Odds)
Home Win 67% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.50

Portugal

1.50

1.50 – 1.00

Denmark

1.00

Estádio Municipal de Braga, Braga Rade Obrenovic

Portugal

1.50

63% implied

Draw

4.75

20% implied

Denmark

5.75

17% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

Win Either Half Free

HWEH

Odds 1.26 79%
Home Win Free

1

Odds 1.50 67%
Free Tip Free

1

Odds 1.55 65%
Super Single Free

1

Odds 1.55 65%
3 5 Goals Free

-3.5

Odds 1.62 62%

Head to head

Last 4 meetings
4 games

3

Portugal wins

0

Draws

1

Denmark wins

4.8

Goals / game

75%

Both scored

75%

Over 2.5

01 Oct 2026
Denmark
2-4
Portugal
23 Mar 2025
Portugal
5-2
Denmark
20 Mar 2025
Denmark
1-0
Portugal
13 Jun 2012
Denmark
2-3
Portugal

UEFA Nations League table

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1
Italy
5 3 1 1 11:6 5 10
2
France
5 3 1 1 8:5 3 10
3
Belgium
5 3 0 2 8:6 2 9
4
Türkiye
5 0 0 5 3:13 -10 0

Top scorers

UEFA Nations League
# Player Team Goals
1
H. Kane
England
7
2
M. Olise
France
5
3
L. Walta
Finland
4
4
Lamine Yamal
Spain
4
5
V. Gyökeres
Sweden
4
6
F. Esposito
Italy
4
7
T. Parrott
Rep. Of Ireland
4
8
O. Óskarsson
Iceland
3
9
Mikel Merino
Spain
3
10
R. Manaj
Albania
3

Recent form

Portugal

7 W 2 D 1 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Norway 2-1 W
A Denmark 2-4 W
A Norway 1-2 W
H Wales 1-0 W
H Spain 0-1 L
H Croatia 2-1 W
A Colombia 0-0 D
H Uzbekistan 5-0 W
H Congo DR 1-1 D
H Nigeria 2-1 W

Denmark

5 W 2 D 3 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Wales 0-1 W
H Portugal 2-4 L
H Wales 2-0 W
A Norway 3-2 L
H Ukraine 2-1 W
A Congo DR 0-0 D
H FYR Macedonia 4-0 W
A Scotland 4-2 L
H Belarus 2-2 D
H Greece 3-1 W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.50

Portugal

1.50

xG

Match

1.50 – 1.00

Denmark

1.00

xG

Our tip model

67%
18%
15%

API-Football

45%
45%
10%

Bookmaker

63%
20%
17%
Portugal Draw Denmark

Most likely scores

2:1

11.8%

2:0

11.1%

1:1

11.1%

1:0

10.5%

3:1

9.1%

3:0

8.3%

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 88%
Over 2.5 goals 67%
Over 3.5 goals 44%
Both teams to score 62%

Team comparison

Portugal Denmark
67% Recent form 33%
56% Attack 44%
64% Defence 36%
75% Poisson 25%
75% Head-to-head 25%
63% Goals 37%
67% Overall 33%

Double chance : Portugal or draw

Season numbers

When the goals come

1
0-15'
0
3
16-30'
2
1
31-45'
0
1
46-60'
2
1
61-75'
2
2
76-90'
0
0
0-15'
2
1
16-30'
2
1
31-45'
0
2
46-60'
1
0
61-75'
2
0
76-90'
1

Side by side

Portugal Denmark
4 Played 4
4 Won 2
0 Drawn 0
0 Lost 2
9 Goals for 7
4 Goals against 7
1 Clean sheets 2
0 Failed to score 0

What comes next

Portugal

Denmark (H) 14 Nov MID
Wales (A) 17 Nov MID

Betting markets

Odds · implied %
Over 1.5 1.14
88% implied
Under 1.5 5.50
18% implied
Over 2.5 1.50
67% implied
Under 2.5 2.50
40% implied
Over 3.5 2.25
44% implied
Under 3.5 1.57
64% implied
Over 0.5 1.02
98% implied
Under 0.5 19.00
5% implied
Over 8.5 51.00
2% implied
Under 8.5 1.00
Over 4.5 3.75
27% implied
Under 4.5 1.25
80% implied
Over 7.5 29.00
3% implied
Under 7.5 1.01
99% implied
Over 5.5 8.00
13% implied
Under 5.5 1.08
93% implied
Over 6.5 15.00
7% implied
Under 6.5 1.03
97% implied
Yes 1.62
62% implied
No 2.20
45% implied
Home/Draw 1.14
88% implied
Home/Away 1.18
85% implied
Draw/Away 2.50
40% implied
1:0 9.50
11% implied
2:0 9.00
11% implied
2:1 8.50
12% implied
3:0 12.00
8% implied
3:1 11.00
9% implied
3:2 19.00
5% implied
4:0 19.00
5% implied
4:1 19.00
5% implied
0:0 19.00
5% implied
1:1 9.00
11% implied
2:2 15.00
7% implied
0:1 21.00
5% implied
0:2 34.00
3% implied
0:3 51.00
2% implied
1:2 17.00
6% implied
1:3 41.00
2% implied
2:3 34.00
3% implied
3:3 41.00
2% implied
0:4 151.00
1% implied
1:4 81.00
1% implied
2:4 81.00
1% implied
4:2 34.00
3% implied
1:5 301.00
2:5 251.00
Home/Draw 15.00
7% implied
Home/Away 34.00
3% implied
Draw/Away 13.00
8% implied
Draw/Draw 7.50
13% implied
Home/Home 2.20
45% implied
Draw/Home 4.50
22% implied
Away/Home 19.00
5% implied
Away/Draw 17.00
6% implied
Away/Away 9.50
11% implied
Home -1.25 2.02
50% implied
Away -1.25 1.78
56% implied
Home -1 1.80
56% implied
Away -1 2.05
49% implied
Home -0.75 1.60
63% implied
Away -0.75 2.30
43% implied
Home -0.5 1.50
67% implied
Away -0.5 2.50
40% implied
Home -0.25 1.35
74% implied
Away -0.25 3.10
32% implied
Home +0 1.21
83% implied
Away +0 4.25
24% implied
Home +0.25 1.18
85% implied
Away +0.25 4.80
21% implied
Home +0.5 1.15
87% implied
Away +0.5 5.50
18% implied
Home +0.75 1.10
91% implied
Away +0.75 7.00
14% implied
Home -2 3.30
30% implied
Away -2 1.32
76% implied
Home -1.75 2.68
37% implied
Away -1.75 1.45
69% implied
Home -1.5 2.30
43% implied
Away -1.5 1.60
63% implied
Over 9 1.82
55% implied
Under 9 1.98
51% implied
Over 9.5 2.00
50% implied
Under 9.5 1.73
58% implied

Portugal vs Denmark: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Home Win: 1 (1.50 odds).

Portugal are rated 67% by our tip model, with the draw at 18% and Denmark at 15%.

In the last 4 meetings they averaged 4.8 goals per game, with BTTS in 75% and over 2.5 in 75%.

Double chance : Portugal or draw

Portugal vs Denmark FAQs

What is the best prediction for Portugal vs Denmark?

Our top tip is Home Win: 1 (1.50 odds).

Who will win Portugal vs Denmark?

Model lean: Portugal 67%, draw 18%, Denmark 15%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 75% of the last 4 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 4.8 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 75% of the time.

When is Portugal vs Denmark?

Saturday, 14th November 2026 at 19:45 UTC , Estádio Municipal de Braga.

More UEFA Nations League predictions

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Written by

Matoski

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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