Norway vs Wales

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Norway and Wales enter this one evenly matched on recent form, so we're leaning on yes at odds of 1.83 (55% probability) to edge the UEFA Nations League clash.

World: UEFA Nations League
Sat, 14th Nov, 2026 League A - 5
Norway

Norway

W L L L
NS
VS
Wales

Wales

L L W L
Prediction: yes (1.83 Odds)
BTTS/GG 55% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.75

Norway

1.75

1.75 – 1.00

Wales

1.00

Ullevaal Stadion, Oslo Oleksiy Derevinskiy

Norway

1.22

77% implied

Draw

7.00

13% implied

Wales

10.00

9% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

Home Win Free

1

Odds 1.22 82%
Free Tip Free

1

Odds 1.24 81%
2.5 Goals Free

+2.5

Odds 1.40 71%
3 5 Goals Free

-3.5

Odds 1.73 58%
BTTS/GG Free

yes

Odds 1.83 55%

Head to head

Last 1 meetings
1 games

0

Norway wins

0

Draws

1

Wales wins

3

Goals / game

100%

Both scored

100%

Over 2.5

01 Oct 2026
Wales
2-1
Norway

UEFA Nations League table

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1
Italy
5 3 1 1 11:6 5 10
2
France
5 3 1 1 8:5 3 10
3
Belgium
5 3 0 2 8:6 2 9
4
Türkiye
5 0 0 5 3:13 -10 0

Top scorers

UEFA Nations League
# Player Team Goals
1
H. Kane
England
7
2
M. Olise
France
5
3
L. Walta
Finland
4
4
Lamine Yamal
Spain
4
5
V. Gyökeres
Sweden
4
6
F. Esposito
Italy
4
7
T. Parrott
Rep. Of Ireland
4
8
O. Óskarsson
Iceland
3
9
Mikel Merino
Spain
3
10
R. Manaj
Albania
3

Recent form

Norway

5 W 1 D 4 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Portugal 2-1 L
A Wales 2-1 L
H Portugal 1-2 L
H Denmark 3-2 W
A Brazil 1-2 W
A Ivory Coast 1-2 W
H France 1-4 L
H Senegal 3-2 W
A Iraq 1-4 W
A Morocco 1-1 D

Wales

3 W 2 D 5 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Denmark 0-1 L
H Norway 2-1 W
A Denmark 2-0 L
A Portugal 1-0 L
A Romania 2-1 L
H Ghana 1-1 D
H Northern Ireland 1-1 D
H FYR Macedonia 7-1 W
A Liechtenstein 0-1 W
H Belgium 2-4 L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.75

Norway

1.75

xG

Match

1.75 – 1.00

Wales

1.00

xG

Our tip model

10%
45%
45%

API-Football

10%
45%
45%

Bookmaker

77%
13%
9%
Norway Draw Wales

Most likely scores

2:0

13.3%

3:0

12.5%

2:1

10.5%

1:0

10%

3:1

10%

4:0

8.3%

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 90%
Over 2.5 goals 71%
Over 3.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 55%

Team comparison

Norway Wales
50% Recent form 50%
75% Attack 25%
38% Defence 62%
100% Poisson 0%
0% Head-to-head 100%
33% Goals 67%
49% Overall 51%

Double chance : draw or Wales

Season numbers

When the goals come

2
0-15'
0
1
16-30'
0
1
31-45'
1
1
46-60'
2
1
61-75'
0
0
76-90'
0
0
0-15'
1
2
16-30'
1
2
31-45'
0
3
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
2
1
76-90'
0

Side by side

Norway Wales
4 Played 4
1 Won 1
0 Drawn 0
3 Lost 3
6 Goals for 2
8 Goals against 5
0 Clean sheets 0
0 Failed to score 3

What comes next

Norway

Wales (H) 14 Nov MID
Denmark (A) 17 Nov MID

Wales

Norway (A) 14 Nov MID
Portugal (H) 17 Nov MID

Betting markets

Odds · implied %
Over 1.5 1.11
90% implied
Under 1.5 6.50
15% implied
Over 2.5 1.40
71% implied
Under 2.5 2.88
35% implied
Over 3.5 1.91
52% implied
Under 3.5 1.80
56% implied
Over 0.5 1.01
99% implied
Under 0.5 23.00
4% implied
Over 8.5 41.00
2% implied
Under 8.5 1.00
Over 4.5 3.25
31% implied
Under 4.5 1.33
75% implied
Over 7.5 21.00
5% implied
Under 7.5 1.01
99% implied
Over 5.5 6.00
17% implied
Under 5.5 1.12
89% implied
Over 6.5 11.00
9% implied
Under 6.5 1.05
95% implied
Yes 1.83
55% implied Our tip
No 1.83
55% implied
Home/Draw 1.06
94% implied
Home/Away 1.10
91% implied
Draw/Away 4.00
25% implied
1:0 10.00
10% implied
2:0 7.50
13% implied
2:1 9.50
11% implied
3:0 8.00
13% implied
3:1 10.00
10% implied
3:2 23.00
4% implied
4:0 12.00
8% implied
4:1 15.00
7% implied
0:0 21.00
5% implied
1:1 13.00
8% implied
2:2 23.00
4% implied
0:1 26.00
4% implied
0:2 51.00
2% implied
0:3 126.00
1% implied
1:2 26.00
4% implied
1:3 51.00
2% implied
2:3 51.00
2% implied
3:3 51.00
2% implied
0:4 451.00
1:4 201.00
2:4 151.00
1% implied
4:2 34.00
3% implied
3:4 151.00
1% implied
5:0 21.00
5% implied
Home/Draw 21.00
5% implied
Home/Away 41.00
2% implied
Draw/Away 21.00
5% implied
Draw/Draw 10.00
10% implied
Home/Home 1.67
60% implied
Draw/Home 4.00
25% implied
Away/Home 17.00
6% implied
Away/Draw 23.00
4% implied
Away/Away 21.00
5% implied
Home -1.25 1.45
69% implied
Away -1.25 2.68
37% implied
Home -1 1.30
77% implied
Away -1 3.45
29% implied
Home -0.75 1.25
80% implied
Away -0.75 3.80
26% implied
Home -0.5 1.21
83% implied
Away -0.5 4.25
24% implied
Home -0.25 1.14
88% implied
Away -0.25 5.75
17% implied
Home +0.5 1.06
94% implied
Away +0.5 10.00
10% implied
Home -3 3.55
28% implied
Away -3 1.27
79% implied
Home -2 2.02
50% implied
Away -2 1.82
55% implied
Home -1.75 1.75
57% implied
Away -1.75 2.05
49% implied
Home -1.5 1.62
62% implied
Away -1.5 2.25
44% implied
Home -2.5 2.42
41% implied
Away -2.5 1.52
66% implied
Home -2.25 2.25
44% implied
Away -2.25 1.62
62% implied
Over 8.5 1.80
56% implied
Under 8.5 1.91
52% implied
Over 9 1.85
54% implied
Under 9 1.95
51% implied
Over 9.5 2.10
48% implied
Under 9.5 1.67
60% implied

Norway vs Wales: preview and prediction

Our top tip is BTTS/GG: yes (1.83 odds).

Norway are rated 10% by our tip model, with the draw at 45% and Wales at 45%.

In the last 1 meetings they averaged 3 goals per game, with BTTS in 100% and over 2.5 in 100%.

Double chance : draw or Wales

Norway vs Wales FAQs

What is the best prediction for Norway vs Wales?

Our top tip is BTTS/GG: yes (1.83 odds).

Who will win Norway vs Wales?

Model lean: Norway 10%, draw 45%, Wales 45%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 100% of the last 1 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 3 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 100% of the time.

When is Norway vs Wales?

Saturday, 14th November 2026 at 17:00 UTC , Ullevaal Stadion.

More UEFA Nations League predictions

M

Written by

Matoski

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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