Netherlands vs Greece

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Netherlands and Greece enter this one evenly matched on recent form, so we're leaning on 1 at odds of 1.58 (63% probability) to edge the UEFA Nations League clash.

World: UEFA Nations League
Fri, 13th Nov, 2026 League A - 5
Netherlands

Netherlands

D W D W
NS
VS
Greece

Greece

W W D D
Prediction: 1 (1.58 Odds)
Free Tip 63% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.25

Netherlands

1.00

1.00 – 1.25

Greece

1.25

Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam Rohit Saggi

Netherlands

1.56

62% implied

Draw

4.50

22% implied

Greece

5.95

16% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

Win Either Half Free

HWEH

Odds 1.29 78%
Free Tip Free

1

Odds 1.58 63%
Super Single Free

1

Odds 1.58 63%

Head to head

Last 3 meetings
3 games

2

Netherlands wins

1

Draws

0

Greece wins

2.7

Goals / game

33%

Both scored

67%

Over 2.5

01 Oct 2026
Greece
2-2
Netherlands
16 Oct 2023
Greece
0-1
Netherlands
07 Sep 2023
Netherlands
3-0
Greece

UEFA Nations League table

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1
Italy
5 3 1 1 11:6 5 10
2
France
5 3 1 1 8:5 3 10
3
Belgium
5 3 0 2 8:6 2 9
4
Türkiye
5 0 0 5 3:13 -10 0

Top scorers

UEFA Nations League
# Player Team Goals
1
H. Kane
England
6
2
M. Olise
France
4
3
Lamine Yamal
Spain
4
4
L. Walta
Finland
4
5
V. Gyökeres
Sweden
4
6
T. Parrott
Rep. Of Ireland
4
7
O. Óskarsson
Iceland
3
8
Mikel Merino
Spain
3
9
Gonçalo Ramos
Portugal
3
10
João Félix
Portugal
3

Recent form

Netherlands

5 W 4 D 1 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Serbia 2-1 W
A Greece 2-2 D
A Serbia 1-2 W
H Germany 1-1 D
A Tunisia 1-3 W
H Sweden 5-1 W
H Japan 2-2 D
H Uzbekistan 2-1 W
H Algeria 0-1 L
H Ecuador 1-1 D

Greece

3 W 5 D 2 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Germany 0-0 D
H Netherlands 2-2 D
A Germany 0-1 W
A Serbia 1-2 W
H Italy 0-1 L
A Sweden 2-2 D
A Hungary 0-0 D
H Paraguay 0-1 L
A Belarus 0-0 D
H Scotland 3-2 W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.25

Netherlands

1.00

xG

Match

1.00 – 1.25

Greece

1.25

xG

Our tip model

63%
20%
17%

API-Football

35%
35%
30%

Bookmaker

62%
22%
16%
Netherlands Draw Greece

Most likely scores

1:1

12.5%

1:0

11.8%

2:0

11.8%

2:1

11.8%

3:0

8.3%

3:1

8.3%

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 85%
Over 2.5 goals 62%
Over 3.5 goals 40%
Both teams to score 60%

Team comparison

Netherlands Greece
50% Recent form 50%
58% Attack 42%
38% Defence 63%
33% Poisson 67%
80% Head-to-head 20%
75% Goals 25%
56% Overall 45%

Double chance : Netherlands or draw

Season numbers

When the goals come

0
0-15'
0
1
16-30'
1
1
31-45'
1
1
46-60'
0
2
61-75'
2
2
76-90'
0
0
0-15'
1
1
16-30'
0
3
31-45'
0
1
46-60'
1
0
61-75'
0
0
76-90'
1

Side by side

Netherlands Greece
4 Played 4
2 Won 2
2 Drawn 2
0 Lost 0
7 Goals for 5
5 Goals against 3
0 Clean sheets 2
0 Failed to score 1

What comes next

Netherlands

Greece (H) 13 Nov MID
Germany (A) 16 Nov MID

Greece

Netherlands (A) 13 Nov MID
Serbia (H) 16 Nov MID

Betting markets

Odds · implied %
Over 1.5 1.18
85% implied
Under 1.5 4.50
22% implied
Over 2.5 1.62
62% implied
Under 2.5 2.25
44% implied
Over 3.5 2.50
40% implied
Under 3.5 1.50
67% implied
Over 0.5 1.03
97% implied
Under 0.5 15.00
7% implied
Over 4.5 4.50
22% implied
Under 4.5 1.18
85% implied
Over 7.5 41.00
2% implied
Under 7.5 1.00
Over 5.5 10.00
10% implied
Under 5.5 1.06
94% implied
Over 6.5 19.00
5% implied
Under 6.5 1.02
98% implied
Yes 1.67
60% implied
No 2.10
48% implied
Home/Draw 1.14
88% implied
Home/Away 1.20
83% implied
Draw/Away 2.38
42% implied
1:0 8.50
12% implied
2:0 8.50
12% implied
2:1 8.50
12% implied
3:0 12.00
8% implied
3:1 12.00
8% implied
3:2 21.00
5% implied
4:0 21.00
5% implied
4:1 21.00
5% implied
0:0 15.00
7% implied
1:1 8.00
13% implied
2:2 15.00
7% implied
0:1 17.00
6% implied
0:2 29.00
3% implied
0:3 51.00
2% implied
1:2 17.00
6% implied
1:3 41.00
2% implied
2:3 41.00
2% implied
3:3 41.00
2% implied
0:4 151.00
1% implied
1:4 81.00
1% implied
2:4 81.00
1% implied
4:2 34.00
3% implied
1:5 351.00
2:5 301.00
Home/Draw 15.00
7% implied
Home/Away 34.00
3% implied
Draw/Away 12.00
8% implied
Draw/Draw 7.00
14% implied
Home/Home 2.30
43% implied
Draw/Home 4.50
22% implied
Away/Home 19.00
5% implied
Away/Draw 17.00
6% implied
Away/Away 9.00
11% implied
Home -1.25 2.15
47% implied
Away -1.25 1.68
60% implied
Home -1 1.92
52% implied
Away -1 1.92
52% implied
Home -0.75 1.68
60% implied
Away -0.75 2.15
47% implied
Home -0.5 1.55
65% implied
Away -0.5 2.38
42% implied
Home -0.25 1.38
72% implied
Away -0.25 3.00
33% implied
Home +0 1.22
82% implied
Away +0 4.15
24% implied
Home +0.25 1.18
85% implied
Away +0.25 4.65
22% implied
Home +0.5 1.15
87% implied
Away +0.5 5.50
18% implied
Home +0.75 1.10
91% implied
Away +0.75 7.00
14% implied
Home -3 6.80
15% implied
Away -3 1.10
91% implied
Home -2 3.70
27% implied
Away -2 1.26
79% implied
Home -1.75 2.85
35% implied
Away -1.75 1.40
71% implied
Over 8.5 1.67
60% implied
Under 8.5 2.10
48% implied
Over 9 1.92
52% implied
Under 9 1.88
53% implied

Netherlands vs Greece: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Free Tip: 1 (1.58 odds).

Netherlands are rated 63% by our tip model, with the draw at 20% and Greece at 17%.

In the last 3 meetings they averaged 2.7 goals per game, with BTTS in 33% and over 2.5 in 67%.

Double chance : Netherlands or draw

Netherlands vs Greece FAQs

What is the best prediction for Netherlands vs Greece?

Our top tip is Free Tip: 1 (1.58 odds).

Who will win Netherlands vs Greece?

Model lean: Netherlands 63%, draw 20%, Greece 17%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 33% of the last 3 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 2.7 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 67% of the time.

When is Netherlands vs Greece?

Friday, 13th November 2026 at 19:45 UTC , Johan Cruijff Arena.

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Match Preview

Netherlands and Greece enter this one evenly matched on recent form, so we're leaning on 1 at odds of 1.58 (63% probability) to edge the UEFA Nations League clash.

Match Info Summary

Teams: Netherlands vs Greece 

Date: Fri, Nov 13, 2026

Time: 19:45 UTC 

Venue: Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam

Check our prediction page now to see the complete Netherlands vs Greece prediction, analysis, and odds for today. 

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Written by

Matoski

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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