Belarus vs Finland

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Finland travel in excellent form (WDW) while Belarus have struggled recently (LDW), making X2 at odds of 1.22 our pick for the meeting at Illovszky Rudolf Stadion.

World: UEFA Nations League
Tue, 6th Oct, 2026 League C - 4
Belarus

Belarus

L D W
FT
1 - 0
Finland

Finland

W D W
1' Artem Shumanskiy
15' Zakhar Volkov
27' Artem Shumanskiy
27' German Barkovskiy
38' Valery Bocherov
75' Benjamin Källman
83' Kirill Pechenin
90+2' Samuli Miettinen
Prediction: X2 (1.22 Odds) Lost
Double Chance 82% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 5.60

Belarus

2.05

2.05 – 3.55

Finland

3.55

Illovszky Rudolf Stadion, Budapest Sascha Stegemann

Belarus

4.00

23% implied

Draw

3.30

28% implied

Finland

1.95

48% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

Double Chance Lost

X2

Odds 1.22 82%
1.5 Goals Lost

+1.5

Odds 1.40 71%

Match statistics

Match Statistics

Belarus vs Finland

26%   Possession   74%

2   Shots on Target   2

0   Pass Accuracy   0

1   Corner Kicks   5

17   Fouls   11

0 4 0
1 2 0

Head to head

Last 2 meetings
2 games

0

Belarus wins

1

Draws

1

Finland wins

1

Goals / game

0%

Both scored

0%

Over 2.5

29 Sep 2026
Finland
0-0
Belarus
09 Jun 2018
Finland
2-0
Belarus

UEFA Nations League table

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1
France
4 3 1 0 7:2 5 10
2
Italy
4 2 1 1 8:5 3 7
3
Belgium
4 2 0 2 6:5 1 6
4
Türkiye
4 0 0 4 2:11 -9 0

Top scorers

UEFA Nations League
# Player Team Goals
1
H. Kane
England
6
2
M. Olise
France
4
3
Lamine Yamal
Spain
4
4
L. Walta
Finland
4
5
V. Gyökeres
Sweden
4
6
T. Parrott
Rep. Of Ireland
4
7
O. Óskarsson
Iceland
3
8
Mikel Merino
Spain
3
9
Gonçalo Ramos
Portugal
3
10
João Félix
Portugal
3

Recent form

Belarus

5 W 4 D 1 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Finland 1-0 W
H San Marino 4-0 W
A Finland 0-0 D
A Albania 2-0 L
H Burkina Faso 2-2 D
H Syria 4-1 W
A Armenia 1-2 W
A Cyprus 0-1 W
H Greece 0-0 D
A Denmark 2-2 D

Finland

4 W 1 D 5 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Belarus 1-0 L
H Albania 2-1 W
H Belarus 0-0 D
A San Marino 0-7 W
A Hungary 2-1 L
A Germany 4-0 L
A New Zealand 0-2 W
H Andorra 4-0 W
H Malta 0-1 L
A Netherlands 4-0 L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 5.60

Belarus

2.05

xG

Match

2.05 – 3.55

Finland

3.55

xG

Our tip model

8%
10%
82%

API-Football

50%
50%

Bookmaker

23%
28%
48%
Belarus Draw Finland

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 0%
Over 2.5 goals 0%
Over 3.5 goals 0%
Both teams to score 0%

Team comparison

Belarus Finland
36% Recent form 64%
31% Attack 69%
33% Defence 67%
20% Head-to-head 80%
0% Goals 100%
30% Overall 70%

Double chance : draw or Finland

Season numbers

When the goals come

0
0-15'
2
0
16-30'
1
0
31-45'
1
1
46-60'
2
2
61-75'
1
1
76-90'
2
0
0-15'
1
0
16-30'
0
1
31-45'
0
1
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
0
0
76-90'
0

Side by side

Belarus Finland
3 Played 3
1 Won 2
1 Drawn 1
1 Lost 0
4 Goals for 9
2 Goals against 1
2 Clean sheets 2
2 Failed to score 1

What comes next

Belarus

San Marino (A) 12 Nov MID
Albania (H) 15 Nov MID

Finland

Albania (A) 12 Nov MID
San Marino (H) 15 Nov MID

Belarus vs Finland: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Double Chance: X2 (1.22 odds).

Belarus are rated 8% by our tip model, with the draw at 10% and Finland at 82%.

In the last 2 meetings they averaged 1 goals per game, with BTTS in 0% and over 2.5 in 0%.

Double chance : draw or Finland

Belarus vs Finland FAQs

What is the best prediction for Belarus vs Finland?

Our top tip is Double Chance: X2 (1.22 odds).

Who will win Belarus vs Finland?

Model lean: Belarus 8%, draw 10%, Finland 82%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 0% of the last 2 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 1 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 0% of the time.

When is Belarus vs Finland?

Tuesday, 6th October 2026 at 18:45 UTC , Illovszky Rudolf Stadion.

More UEFA Nations League predictions

M

Written by

Matoski

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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