Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Poland

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

With a 71% probability rating, X2 stands out as the confident call for Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Poland in the UEFA Nations League, priced at odds of 1.40.

World: UEFA Nations League
Mon, 5th Oct, 2026 League B - 4
Bosnia & Herzegovina

Bosnia & Herzegovina

D W D
FT
1 - 0
Poland

Poland

D L W
32' Armin Gigovic
38' Nicola Zalewski
42' Ermedin Demirović
76' Tarik Muharemovic
83' Jan Bednarek
84' Ivan Bašić
90+1' Norbert Wojtuszek
Prediction: X2 (1.40 Odds) Lost
Double Chance 71% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 3.00

Bosnia & Herzegovina

2.00

2.00 – 1.00

Poland

1.00

Stadion Bilino Polje, Zenica Jeremie Pignard

Bosnia & Herzegovina

2.88

33% implied

Draw

3.50

27% implied

Poland

2.35

40% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

Double Chance Lost

X2

Odds 1.40 71%

Match statistics

Match Statistics

Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Poland

44%   Possession   56%

1   Shots on Target   4

0   Pass Accuracy   0

2   Corner Kicks   8

12   Fouls   7

0 3 4
1 3 0

Head to head

Last 3 meetings
3 games

0

Bosnia & Herzegovina wins

1

Draws

2

Poland wins

2

Goals / game

33%

Both scored

67%

Over 2.5

25 Sep 2026
Poland
0-0
Bosnia & Herzegovina
14 Oct 2020
Poland
3-0
Bosnia & Herzegovina
07 Sep 2020
Bosnia & Herzegovina
1-2
Poland

UEFA Nations League table

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1
France
4 3 1 0 7:2 5 10
2
Italy
4 2 1 1 8:5 3 7
3
Belgium
4 2 0 2 6:5 1 6
4
Türkiye
4 0 0 4 2:11 -9 0

Top scorers

UEFA Nations League
# Player Team Goals
1
H. Kane
England
6
2
M. Olise
France
4
3
Lamine Yamal
Spain
4
4
L. Walta
Finland
4
5
V. Gyökeres
Sweden
4
6
T. Parrott
Rep. Of Ireland
4
7
O. Óskarsson
Iceland
3
8
Mikel Merino
Spain
3
9
Gonçalo Ramos
Portugal
3
10
João Félix
Portugal
3

Recent form

Bosnia & Herzegovina

3 W 5 D 2 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Poland 1-0 W
H Sweden 1-1 D
A Romania 2-4 W
A Poland 0-0 D
A USA 2-0 L
H Qatar 3-1 W
A Switzerland 4-1 L
A Canada 1-1 D
A Panama 1-1 D
H FYR Macedonia 0-0 D

Poland

3 W 3 D 4 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Bosnia & Herzegovina 1-0 L
H Romania 6-0 W
A Sweden 3-1 L
H Bosnia & Herzegovina 0-0 D
H Nigeria 2-2 D
H Ukraine 0-2 L
A Sweden 3-2 L
H Albania 2-1 W
A Malta 2-3 W
H Netherlands 1-1 D

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 3.00

Bosnia & Herzegovina

2.00

xG

Match

2.00 – 1.00

Poland

1.00

xG

Our tip model

13%
16%
71%

API-Football

10%
45%
45%

Bookmaker

33%
27%
40%
Bosnia & Herzegovina Draw Poland

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 0%
Over 2.5 goals 0%
Over 3.5 goals 0%
Both teams to score 0%

Team comparison

Bosnia & Herzegovina Poland
56% Recent form 44%
42% Attack 58%
50% Defence 50%
76% Poisson 24%
13% Head-to-head 88%
17% Goals 83%
42% Overall 58%

Double chance : draw or Poland

Season numbers

When the goals come

1
0-15'
0
1
16-30'
1
1
31-45'
1
1
46-60'
1
0
61-75'
2
1
76-90'
1
0
0-15'
1
1
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
1
2
61-75'
2
0
76-90'
0

Side by side

Bosnia & Herzegovina Poland
3 Played 3
1 Won 1
2 Drawn 1
0 Lost 1
5 Goals for 7
3 Goals against 3
1 Clean sheets 2
1 Failed to score 1

What comes next

Bosnia & Herzegovina

Sweden (A) 14 Nov MID
Romania (H) 17 Nov MID

Poland

Romania (A) 14 Nov MID
Sweden (H) 17 Nov MID

Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Poland: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Double Chance: X2 (1.40 odds).

Bosnia & Herzegovina are rated 13% by our tip model, with the draw at 16% and Poland at 71%.

In the last 3 meetings they averaged 2 goals per game, with BTTS in 33% and over 2.5 in 67%.

Double chance : draw or Poland

Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Poland FAQs

What is the best prediction for Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Poland?

Our top tip is Double Chance: X2 (1.40 odds).

Who will win Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Poland?

Model lean: Bosnia & Herzegovina 13%, draw 16%, Poland 71%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 33% of the last 3 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 2 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 67% of the time.

When is Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Poland?

Monday, 5th October 2026 at 18:45 UTC , Stadion Bilino Polje.

More UEFA Nations League predictions

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Written by

Sam M

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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