South Africa vs Kenya

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

South Africa arrive in strong form (WW) and are well-fancied to back 1 against Kenya at Orlando Stadium, with our model giving this a 76% probability at odds of 1.32.

World: Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification
Fri, 13th Nov, 2026 Group Stage - 3
South Africa

South Africa

W W
NS
VS
Kenya

Kenya

D L
Prediction: 1 (1.32 Odds)
Free Tip 76% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.00

South Africa

1.50

1.50 – 0.50

Kenya

0.50

Orlando Stadium, Johannesburg

South Africa

1.27

73% implied

Draw

4.90

19% implied

Kenya

11.30

8% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

Win Either Half Free

HWEH

Odds 1.17 85%
Free Tip Free

1

Odds 1.32 76%

Recent form

South Africa

4 W 3 D 3 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Egypt 0-1 W
A Eritrea 0-5 W
H Guinea 2-1 W
H Canada 0-1 L
H South Korea 1-0 W
A Czechia 1-1 D
A Mexico 2-0 L
A Jamaica 1-1 D
H Nicaragua 0-0 D
H Panama 1-2 L

Kenya

3 W 3 D 4 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Rwanda 0-0 D
A Guinea 1-0 L
H Eritrea 1-1 D
H Lesotho 4-0 W
A Lesotho 1-1 D
A Grenada 0-3 W
A Senegal 8-0 L
H Equatorial Guinea 0-1 L
A Ivory Coast 3-0 L
A Burundi 0-1 W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.00

South Africa

1.50

xG

Match

1.50 – 0.50

Kenya

0.50

xG

Our tip model

76%
13%
11%

API-Football

50%
50%

Bookmaker

73%
19%
8%
South Africa Draw Kenya

Most likely scores

1:0

21.1%

2:0

20%

3:0

14.3%

0:0

11.8%

2:1

9.1%

1:1

9.1%

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 74%
Over 2.5 goals 48%
Over 3.5 goals 27%
Both teams to score 31%

Team comparison

South Africa Kenya
86% Recent form 14%
88% Attack 13%
67% Defence 33%
100% Poisson 0%
80% Overall 20%

Winner : South Africa

Season numbers

When the goals come

0
0-15'
0
2
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
0
2
46-60'
0
1
61-75'
0
1
76-90'
1
0
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
2
0
46-60'
0
1
61-75'
0
0
76-90'
0

Side by side

South Africa Kenya
2 Played 2
2 Won 0
0 Drawn 1
0 Lost 1
7 Goals for 1
1 Goals against 2
1 Clean sheets 0
0 Failed to score 1

What comes next

South Africa

Kenya (H) 13 Nov MID
Kenya (A) 17 Nov MID
Guinea (A) 24 Mar MID
Eritrea (H) 28 Mar MID

Kenya

South Africa (A) 13 Nov MID
South Africa (H) 17 Nov MID
Eritrea (A) 24 Mar MID
Guinea (H) 28 Mar MID

Betting markets

Odds · implied %
Over 1.5 1.36
74% implied
Under 1.5 3.00
33% implied
Over 2.5 2.10
48% implied
Under 2.5 1.70
59% implied
Over 3.5 3.75
27% implied
Under 3.5 1.25
80% implied
Over 0.5 1.06
94% implied
Under 0.5 8.00
13% implied
Over 4.5 7.00
14% implied
Under 4.5 1.08
93% implied
Over 5.5 10.50
10% implied
Under 5.5 1.02
98% implied
Over 6.5 17.00
6% implied
Under 6.5 1.00
Yes 3.25
31% implied
No 1.33
75% implied
Home/Draw 1.04
96% implied
Home/Away 1.14
88% implied
Draw/Away 3.75
27% implied
1:0 4.75
21% implied
2:0 5.00
20% implied
2:1 11.00
9% implied
3:0 7.00
14% implied
3:1 15.00
7% implied
3:2 41.00
2% implied
4:0 13.00
8% implied
4:1 29.00
3% implied
0:0 8.50
12% implied
1:1 11.00
9% implied
2:2 41.00
2% implied
0:1 17.00
6% implied
0:2 51.00
2% implied
0:3 151.00
1% implied
1:2 34.00
3% implied
1:3 101.00
1% implied
2:3 101.00
1% implied
3:3 151.00
1% implied
4:2 67.00
1% implied
5:0 26.00
4% implied
5:1 51.00
2% implied
5:2 126.00
1% implied
6:0 51.00
2% implied
6:1 81.00
1% implied
Home/Draw 23.00
4% implied
Home/Away 81.00
1% implied
Draw/Away 21.00
5% implied
Draw/Draw 6.00
17% implied
Home/Home 1.83
55% implied
Draw/Home 3.50
29% implied
Away/Home 29.00
3% implied
Away/Draw 26.00
4% implied
Away/Away 21.00
5% implied
Home -1.25 1.68
60% implied
Away -1.25 2.15
47% implied
Home -1 1.45
69% implied
Away -1 2.68
37% implied
Home -0.75 1.35
74% implied
Away -0.75 3.10
32% implied
Home -0.5 1.27
79% implied
Away -0.5 3.75
27% implied
Home -0.25 1.18
85% implied
Away -0.25 4.65
22% implied
Home +0.5 1.04
96% implied
Away +0.5 9.50
11% implied
Home -3 6.00
17% implied
Away -3 1.12
89% implied
Home -2 2.68
37% implied
Away -2 1.45
69% implied
Home -1.75 2.20
45% implied
Away -1.75 1.65
61% implied
Home -1.5 1.95
51% implied
Away -1.5 1.85
54% implied
Home -2.5 3.50
29% implied
Away -2.5 1.28
78% implied
Home -2.25 3.10
32% implied
Away -2.25 1.35
74% implied

South Africa vs Kenya: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Free Tip: 1 (1.32 odds).

South Africa are rated 76% by our tip model, with the draw at 13% and Kenya at 11%.

Winner : South Africa

South Africa vs Kenya FAQs

What is the best prediction for South Africa vs Kenya?

Our top tip is Free Tip: 1 (1.32 odds).

Who will win South Africa vs Kenya?

Model lean: South Africa 76%, draw 13%, Kenya 11%.

When is South Africa vs Kenya?

Friday, 13th November 2026 at 16:00 UTC , Orlando Stadium.

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Match Preview

South Africa arrive in strong form (WW) and are well-fancied to back 1 against Kenya at Orlando Stadium, with our model giving this a 76% probability at odds of 1.32.

Match Info Summary

Teams: South Africa vs Kenya 

Date: Fri, Nov 13, 2026

Time: 16:00 UTC 

Venue: Orlando Stadium, Johannesburg

Check our prediction page now to see the complete South Africa vs Kenya prediction, analysis, and odds for today. 

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Written by

Matoski

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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