Madagascar vs Guinea-Bissau

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Guinea-Bissau travel in excellent form (WW) while Madagascar have struggled recently (LD), making X at odds of 3.20 our pick for the meeting at George V Stadium.

World: Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification
Thu, 12th Nov, 2026 Group Stage - 3
Madagascar

Madagascar

L D
NS
VS
Guinea-Bissau

Guinea-Bissau

W W
Prediction: X (3.20 Odds)
Draws 31% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.05

Madagascar

0.55

0.55 – 1.50

Guinea-Bissau

1.50

George V Stadium, Curepipe

Madagascar

3.11

30% implied

Draw

3.06

30% implied

Guinea-Bissau

2.32

40% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

Draws Free

X

Odds 3.20 31%

Recent form

Madagascar

5 W 2 D 3 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Tanzania 1-1 D
A Nigeria 2-1 L
A Morocco 4-0 L
A Equatorial Guinea 1-1 D
A Kyrgyzstan 2-5 W
H Equatorial Guinea 2-0 W
A Mali 4-1 L
A Comoros 1-2 W
H Chad 3-1 W
H Central African Republic 2-0 W

Guinea-Bissau

3 W 2 D 5 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Nigeria 3-0 W
A Tanzania 0-2 W
A Burkina Faso 1-1 D
A Burkina Faso 5-0 L
A Egypt 1-0 L
A Ethiopia 1-0 L
H Djibouti 2-0 W
H Sierra Leone 1-1 D
A Gabon 2-0 L
A Burundi 1-0 L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.05

Madagascar

0.55

xG

Match

0.55 – 1.50

Guinea-Bissau

1.50

xG

Our tip model

38%
31%
31%

API-Football

50%
50%

Bookmaker

30%
30%
40%
Madagascar Draw Guinea-Bissau

Most likely scores

1:1

16.7%

0:1

15.4%

0:0

14.3%

1:0

13.3%

0:2

9.1%

1:2

9.1%

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 69%
Over 2.5 goals 43%
Over 3.5 goals 23%
Both teams to score 50%

Team comparison

Madagascar Guinea-Bissau
14% Recent form 86%
29% Attack 71%
0% Defence 100%
0% Poisson 100%
22% Overall 79%

Winner : Guinea-Bissau

Season numbers

When the goals come

0
0-15'
1
1
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
1
1
46-60'
1
0
61-75'
1
0
76-90'
0
0
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
0
2
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
0
1
61-75'
0
0
76-90'
0

Side by side

Madagascar Guinea-Bissau
2 Played 2
0 Won 2
1 Drawn 0
1 Lost 0
2 Goals for 5
3 Goals against 0
0 Clean sheets 2
0 Failed to score 0

What comes next

Guinea-Bissau

Madagascar (A) 12 Nov MID
Madagascar (H) 17 Nov MID
Tanzania (H) 24 Mar MID
Nigeria (A) 28 Mar MID

Betting markets

Odds · implied %
Over 1.5 1.44
69% implied
Under 1.5 2.62
38% implied
Over 2.5 2.35
43% implied
Under 2.5 1.57
64% implied
Over 3.5 4.33
23% implied
Under 3.5 1.20
83% implied
Over 0.5 1.08
93% implied
Under 0.5 7.00
14% implied
Over 4.5 8.00
13% implied
Under 4.5 1.06
94% implied
Over 5.5 12.00
8% implied
Under 5.5 1.01
99% implied
Over 6.5 21.00
5% implied
Under 6.5 1.00
Yes 2.00
50% implied
No 1.73
58% implied
Home/Draw 1.50
67% implied
Home/Away 1.30
77% implied
Draw/Away 1.33
75% implied
1:0 7.50
13% implied
2:0 13.00
8% implied
2:1 12.00
8% implied
3:0 29.00
3% implied
3:1 29.00
3% implied
3:2 41.00
2% implied
4:0 67.00
1% implied
4:1 51.00
2% implied
0:0 7.00
14% implied
1:1 6.00
17% implied
2:2 19.00
5% implied
0:1 6.50
15% implied
0:2 11.00
9% implied
0:3 23.00
4% implied
1:2 11.00
9% implied
1:3 23.00
4% implied
2:3 41.00
2% implied
3:3 67.00
1% implied
0:4 51.00
2% implied
1:4 51.00
2% implied
2:4 67.00
1% implied
4:2 81.00
1% implied
0:5 101.00
1% implied
0:6 151.00
1% implied
Home/Draw 17.00
6% implied
Home/Away 34.00
3% implied
Draw/Away 5.50
18% implied
Draw/Draw 4.50
22% implied
Home/Home 5.00
20% implied
Draw/Home 6.50
15% implied
Away/Home 41.00
2% implied
Away/Draw 15.00
7% implied
Away/Away 3.75
27% implied
Home -1.25 6.40
16% implied
Away -1.25 1.12
89% implied
Home -1 5.90
17% implied
Away -1 1.13
88% implied
Home -0.75 3.80
26% implied
Away -0.75 1.25
80% implied
Home -0.5 3.00
33% implied
Away -0.5 1.38
72% implied
Home -0.25 2.60
38% implied
Away -0.25 1.48
68% implied
Home +0 2.20
45% implied
Away +0 1.65
61% implied
Home +0.25 1.78
56% implied
Away +0.25 2.02
50% implied
Home +0.5 1.60
63% implied
Away +0.5 2.30
43% implied
Home +0.75 1.42
70% implied
Away +0.75 2.75
36% implied
Home +1 1.25
80% implied
Away +1 3.80
26% implied
Home -1.5 7.00
14% implied
Away -1.5 1.10
91% implied
Home +1.25 1.21
83% implied
Away +1.25 4.25
24% implied
Over 8.5 2.00
50% implied
Under 8.5 1.80
56% implied

Madagascar vs Guinea-Bissau: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Draws: X (3.20 odds).

Madagascar are rated 38% by our tip model, with the draw at 31% and Guinea-Bissau at 31%.

Winner : Guinea-Bissau

Madagascar vs Guinea-Bissau FAQs

What is the best prediction for Madagascar vs Guinea-Bissau?

Our top tip is Draws: X (3.20 odds).

Who will win Madagascar vs Guinea-Bissau?

Model lean: Madagascar 38%, draw 31%, Guinea-Bissau 31%.

When is Madagascar vs Guinea-Bissau?

Thursday, 12th November 2026 at 16:00 UTC , George V Stadium.

More Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification predictions

J

Written by

Joshua J

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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