Guinea vs Eritrea

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

With a 84% probability rating, 1 stands out as the confident call for Guinea vs Eritrea in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification, priced at odds of 1.19.

World: Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification
Thu, 12th Nov, 2026 Group Stage - 3
Guinea

Guinea

L W
NS
VS
Eritrea

Eritrea

W W D L
Prediction: 1 (1.19 Odds)
Free Tip 84% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 1.80

Guinea

1.00

1.00 – 0.80

Eritrea

0.80

Stade du 28 Septembre, Conakry

Guinea

1.12

82% implied

Draw

7.20

13% implied

Eritrea

17.50

5% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

Free Tip Free

1

Odds 1.19 84%

Recent form

Guinea

3 W 4 D 3 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Kenya 1-0 W
A South Africa 2-1 L
A Northern Ireland 1-0 L
H Benin 0-1 L
H Togo 2-2 D
H Niger 1-1 D
H Liberia 2-0 W
H Botswana 2-2 D
A Mozambique 1-2 W
H Algeria 0-0 D

Eritrea

4 W 2 D 4 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H South Africa 0-5 L
A Kenya 1-1 D
A Eswatini 1-2 W
H Eswatini 2-0 W
H Niger 0-1 L
H Sudan 0-1 L
A Uganda 3-0 L
A Kenya 1-4 W
A Somalia 0-0 D
A Djibouti 0-3 W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 1.80

Guinea

1.00

xG

Match

1.00 – 0.80

Eritrea

0.80

xG

Our tip model

84%
9%
7%

API-Football

35%
35%
30%

Bookmaker

82%
13%
5%
Guinea Draw Eritrea

Most likely scores

2:0

16.7%

1:0

14.3%

3:0

14.3%

2:1

10%

4:0

9.1%

1:1

9.1%

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 82%
Over 2.5 goals 59%
Over 3.5 goals 38%
Both teams to score 42%

Team comparison

Guinea Eritrea
30% Recent form 70%
29% Attack 71%
78% Defence 22%
100% Poisson 0%
46% Overall 54%

Combo Double chance : Guinea or draw and -3.5 goals

Season numbers

When the goals come

0
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
0
1
31-45'
1
0
46-60'
2
1
61-75'
0
0
76-90'
2
0
0-15'
0
1
16-30'
1
0
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
2
0
61-75'
1
1
76-90'
2

Side by side

Guinea Eritrea
2 Played 4
1 Won 2
0 Drawn 1
1 Lost 1
2 Goals for 5
2 Goals against 7
1 Clean sheets 1
0 Failed to score 1

What comes next

Guinea

Eritrea (H) 12 Nov MID
Eritrea (A) 16 Nov MID
South Africa (H) 24 Mar MID
Kenya (A) 28 Mar MID

Eritrea

Guinea (A) 12 Nov MID
Guinea (H) 16 Nov MID
Kenya (H) 24 Mar MID
South Africa (A) 28 Mar MID

Betting markets

Odds · implied %
Over 1.5 1.22
82% implied
Under 1.5 4.00
25% implied
Over 2.5 1.70
59% implied
Under 2.5 2.10
48% implied
Over 3.5 2.62
38% implied
Under 3.5 1.44
69% implied
Over 0.5 1.01
99% implied
Under 0.5 12.00
8% implied
Over 4.5 4.50
22% implied
Under 4.5 1.17
85% implied
Over 7.5 17.00
6% implied
Under 7.5 1.00
Over 5.5 8.00
13% implied
Under 5.5 1.06
94% implied
Over 6.5 12.00
8% implied
Under 6.5 1.01
99% implied
Yes 2.38
42% implied
No 1.53
65% implied
Home/Draw 1.01
99% implied
Home/Away 1.11
90% implied
Draw/Away 4.50
22% implied
1:0 7.00
14% implied
2:0 6.00
17% implied
2:1 10.00
10% implied
3:0 7.00
14% implied
3:1 12.00
8% implied
3:2 34.00
3% implied
4:0 11.00
9% implied
4:1 19.00
5% implied
0:0 13.00
8% implied
1:1 11.00
9% implied
2:2 26.00
4% implied
0:1 23.00
4% implied
0:2 51.00
2% implied
0:3 151.00
1% implied
1:2 34.00
3% implied
1:3 81.00
1% implied
2:3 81.00
1% implied
3:3 81.00
1% implied
4:2 41.00
2% implied
5:0 21.00
5% implied
5:1 34.00
3% implied
5:2 67.00
1% implied
6:0 41.00
2% implied
6:1 51.00
2% implied
Home/Draw 26.00
4% implied
Home/Away 67.00
1% implied
Draw/Away 23.00
4% implied
Draw/Draw 9.00
11% implied
Home/Home 1.62
62% implied
Draw/Home 3.75
27% implied
Away/Home 23.00
4% implied
Away/Draw 29.00
3% implied
Away/Away 26.00
4% implied
Home -1.25 1.52
66% implied
Away -1.25 2.42
41% implied
Home -1 1.35
74% implied
Away -1 3.10
32% implied
Home -0.75 1.27
79% implied
Away -0.75 3.55
28% implied
Home -0.5 1.24
81% implied
Away -0.5 3.90
26% implied
Home -0.25 1.15
87% implied
Away -0.25 5.50
18% implied
Home +0.5 1.01
99% implied
Away +0.5 15.00
7% implied
Home -3 4.40
23% implied
Away -3 1.20
83% implied
Home -2 2.20
45% implied
Away -2 1.65
61% implied
Home -1.75 1.95
51% implied
Away -1.75 1.85
54% implied
Home -1.5 1.72
58% implied
Away -1.5 2.08
48% implied
Home -2.5 2.75
36% implied
Away -2.5 1.42
70% implied
Home -2.25 2.50
40% implied
Away -2.25 1.50
67% implied
Over 9.5 1.83
55% implied
Under 9.5 1.83
55% implied

Guinea vs Eritrea: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Free Tip: 1 (1.19 odds).

Guinea are rated 84% by our tip model, with the draw at 9% and Eritrea at 7%.

Combo Double chance : Guinea or draw and -3.5 goals

Guinea vs Eritrea FAQs

What is the best prediction for Guinea vs Eritrea?

Our top tip is Free Tip: 1 (1.19 odds).

Who will win Guinea vs Eritrea?

Model lean: Guinea 84%, draw 9%, Eritrea 7%.

When is Guinea vs Eritrea?

Thursday, 12th November 2026 at 16:00 UTC , Stade du 28 Septembre.

More Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification predictions

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Written by

Matoski

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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