Mozambique vs Ethiopia

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Mozambique and Ethiopia enter this one evenly matched on recent form, so we're leaning on 1 at odds of 1.58 (63% probability) to edge the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification clash.

World: Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification
Fri, 13th Nov, 2026 Group Stage - 3
Mozambique

Mozambique

D W
NS
VS
Ethiopia

Ethiopia

W W L L
Prediction: 1 (1.58 Odds)
Free Tip 63% confidence

Mozambique

1.57

59% implied

Draw

3.70

25% implied

Ethiopia

5.80

16% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

Win Either Half Free

HWEH

Odds 1.32 76%
Free Tip Free

1

Odds 1.58 63%

Recent form

Mozambique

2 W 2 D 6 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Sudan 4-1 W
H Senegal 1-1 D
A Indonesia 1-0 L
A Oman 4-1 L
A Nigeria 4-0 L
H Cameroon 1-2 L
A Gabon 2-3 W
A Ivory Coast 1-0 L
A Chad 2-2 D
A Morocco 1-0 L

Ethiopia

4 W 1 D 5 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Senegal 0-1 L
A Sudan 1-0 L
H Malawi 1-1 D
H Malawi 1-0 W
H Sao Tome and Principe 1-0 W
A Sao Tome and Principe 0-3 W
A Burkina Faso 3-1 L
H Guinea-Bissau 1-0 W
A Sierra Leone 2-0 L
A Egypt 2-0 L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Our tip model

63%
20%
17%

Bookmaker

59%
25%
16%
Mozambique Draw Ethiopia

Most likely scores

1:0

18.2%

2:0

15.4%

1:1

13.3%

0:0

12.5%

2:1

11.1%

3:0

9.1%

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 74%
Over 2.5 goals 47%
Over 3.5 goals 27%
Both teams to score 44%

Season numbers

What comes next

Mozambique

Ethiopia (H) 13 Nov MID
Ethiopia (A) 17 Nov MID
Senegal (H) 24 Mar MID
Sudan (A) 28 Mar MID

Ethiopia

Mozambique (A) 13 Nov MID
Mozambique (H) 17 Nov MID
Sudan (H) 24 Mar MID
Senegal (A) 28 Mar MID

Betting markets

Odds · implied %
Over 1.5 1.36
74% implied
Under 1.5 3.00
33% implied
Over 2.5 2.15
47% implied
Under 2.5 1.67
60% implied
Over 3.5 3.75
27% implied
Under 3.5 1.25
80% implied
Over 0.5 1.07
93% implied
Under 0.5 7.50
13% implied
Over 4.5 7.00
14% implied
Under 4.5 1.08
93% implied
Over 5.5 11.00
9% implied
Under 5.5 1.02
98% implied
Over 6.5 17.00
6% implied
Under 6.5 1.00
Yes 2.25
44% implied
No 1.57
64% implied
Home/Draw 1.08
93% implied
Home/Away 1.22
82% implied
Draw/Away 2.25
44% implied
1:0 5.50
18% implied
2:0 6.50
15% implied
2:1 9.00
11% implied
3:0 11.00
9% implied
3:1 15.00
7% implied
3:2 34.00
3% implied
4:0 21.00
5% implied
4:1 29.00
3% implied
0:0 8.00
13% implied
1:1 7.50
13% implied
2:2 21.00
5% implied
0:1 13.00
8% implied
0:2 29.00
3% implied
0:3 67.00
1% implied
1:2 21.00
5% implied
1:3 51.00
2% implied
2:3 51.00
2% implied
3:3 81.00
1% implied
1:4 151.00
1% implied
4:2 51.00
2% implied
5:0 41.00
2% implied
5:1 51.00
2% implied
5:2 126.00
1% implied
6:0 81.00
1% implied
Home/Draw 19.00
5% implied
Home/Away 51.00
2% implied
Draw/Away 12.00
8% implied
Draw/Draw 5.00
20% implied
Home/Home 2.38
42% implied
Draw/Home 4.00
25% implied
Away/Home 29.00
3% implied
Away/Draw 19.00
5% implied
Away/Away 10.00
10% implied
Home -1.25 2.35
43% implied
Away -1.25 1.58
63% implied
Home -1 2.02
50% implied
Away -1 1.78
56% implied
Home -0.75 1.72
58% implied
Away -0.75 2.08
48% implied
Home -0.5 1.58
63% implied
Away -0.5 2.35
43% implied
Home -0.25 1.38
72% implied
Away -0.25 3.00
33% implied
Home +0 1.19
84% implied
Away +0 4.50
22% implied
Home +0.25 1.16
86% implied
Away +0.25 5.25
19% implied
Home +0.5 1.13
88% implied
Away +0.5 5.90
17% implied
Home -2 4.40
23% implied
Away -2 1.20
83% implied
Home -1.75 3.30
30% implied
Away -1.75 1.32
76% implied
Home -1.5 2.68
37% implied
Away -1.5 1.45
69% implied
Home +1.5 1.02
98% implied
Away +1.5 19.00
5% implied
Over 8 1.98
51% implied
Under 8 1.82
55% implied
Over 7.5 1.73
58% implied
Under 7.5 2.00
50% implied

Mozambique vs Ethiopia: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Free Tip: 1 (1.58 odds).

Mozambique are rated 63% by our tip model, with the draw at 20% and Ethiopia at 17%.

Mozambique vs Ethiopia FAQs

What is the best prediction for Mozambique vs Ethiopia?

Our top tip is Free Tip: 1 (1.58 odds).

Who will win Mozambique vs Ethiopia?

Model lean: Mozambique 63%, draw 20%, Ethiopia 17%.

When is Mozambique vs Ethiopia?

Friday, 13th November 2026 at 13:00 UTC .

More Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification predictions

J

Written by

Joshua J

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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