Ivory Coast vs Gambia

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Ivory Coast arrive in strong form (WW) and are well-fancied to back 1 against Gambia at Stade de la Paix, with our model giving this a 82% probability at odds of 1.22.

World: Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification
Thu, 12th Nov, 2026 Group Stage - 3
Ivory Coast

Ivory Coast

W W
NS
VS
Gambia

Gambia

W W
Prediction: 1 (1.22 Odds)
Free Tip 82% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 4.05

Ivory Coast

2.00

2.00 – 2.05

Gambia

2.05

Stade de la Paix

Ivory Coast

1.18

79% implied

Draw

6.20

15% implied

Gambia

14.60

6% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

Free Tip Free

1

Odds 1.22 82%

Head to head

Last 2 meetings
2 games

2

Ivory Coast wins

0

Draws

0

Gambia wins

1.5

Goals / game

0%

Both scored

0%

Over 2.5

24 Mar 2025
Ivory Coast
1-0
Gambia
20 Nov 2023
Gambia
0-2
Ivory Coast

Recent form

Ivory Coast

7 W 0 D 3 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Cameroon 0-1 L
A Somalia 0-2 W
H Ghana 2-0 W
H Norway 1-2 L
A Curaçao 0-2 W
A Germany 2-1 L
H Ecuador 1-0 W
A Philadelphia Union II 0-2 W
A France 1-2 W
A Scotland 0-1 W

Gambia

5 W 2 D 3 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Ghana 2-4 W
H Somalia 2-1 W
A Iran 3-1 L
A Senegal 3-1 L
A Kuwait 2-2 D
A Seychelles 0-7 W
H Gabon 3-4 L
H Burundi 2-0 W
A Kenya 1-3 W
A Uganda 1-1 D

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 4.05

Ivory Coast

2.00

xG

Match

2.00 – 2.05

Gambia

2.05

xG

Our tip model

82%
10%
8%

API-Football

45%
45%
10%

Bookmaker

79%
15%
6%
Ivory Coast Draw Gambia

Most likely scores

2:0

18.2%

1:0

15.4%

3:0

14.3%

2:1

10%

4:0

9.1%

1:1

8.3%

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 83%
Over 2.5 goals 60%
Over 3.5 goals 38%
Both teams to score 40%

Team comparison

Ivory Coast Gambia
50% Recent form 50%
40% Attack 60%
100% Defence 0%
100% Poisson 0%
100% Head-to-head 0%
100% Goals 0%
45% Overall 55%

Double chance : Ivory Coast or draw

Season numbers

When the goals come

0
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
1
1
31-45'
2
1
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
1
1
76-90'
1
0
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
1
0
31-45'
1
0
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
1
0
76-90'
0

Side by side

Ivory Coast Gambia
2 Played 2
2 Won 2
0 Drawn 0
0 Lost 0
4 Goals for 6
0 Goals against 3
2 Clean sheets 0
0 Failed to score 0

What comes next

Ivory Coast

Gambia (H) 12 Nov MID
Gambia (A) 17 Nov MID
Ghana (A) 24 Mar MID
Somalia (H) 28 Mar MID

Gambia

Ivory Coast (A) 12 Nov MID
Ivory Coast (H) 17 Nov MID
Somalia (A) 24 Mar MID
Ghana (H) 28 Mar MID

Betting markets

Odds · implied %
Over 1.5 1.20
83% implied
Under 1.5 4.33
23% implied
Over 2.5 1.67
60% implied
Under 2.5 2.15
47% implied
Over 3.5 2.62
38% implied
Under 3.5 1.44
69% implied
Over 0.5 1.03
97% implied
Under 0.5 10.00
10% implied
Over 4.5 4.50
22% implied
Under 4.5 1.17
85% implied
Over 7.5 17.00
6% implied
Under 7.5 1.00
Over 5.5 8.00
13% implied
Under 5.5 1.06
94% implied
Over 6.5 12.00
8% implied
Under 6.5 1.01
99% implied
Yes 2.50
40% implied
No 1.50
67% implied
Home/Draw 1.02
98% implied
Home/Away 1.12
89% implied
Draw/Away 4.00
25% implied
1:0 6.50
15% implied
2:0 5.50
18% implied
2:1 10.00
10% implied
3:0 7.00
14% implied
3:1 13.00
8% implied
3:2 34.00
3% implied
4:0 11.00
9% implied
4:1 19.00
5% implied
0:0 13.00
8% implied
1:1 12.00
8% implied
2:2 29.00
3% implied
0:1 23.00
4% implied
0:2 51.00
2% implied
0:3 151.00
1% implied
1:2 34.00
3% implied
1:3 81.00
1% implied
2:3 81.00
1% implied
3:3 101.00
1% implied
4:2 51.00
2% implied
5:0 21.00
5% implied
5:1 34.00
3% implied
5:2 67.00
1% implied
6:0 41.00
2% implied
6:1 51.00
2% implied
Home/Draw 23.00
4% implied
Home/Away 67.00
1% implied
Draw/Away 21.00
5% implied
Draw/Draw 8.00
13% implied
Home/Home 1.73
58% implied
Draw/Home 3.75
27% implied
Away/Home 23.00
4% implied
Away/Draw 26.00
4% implied
Away/Away 21.00
5% implied
Home -1.25 1.45
69% implied
Away -1.25 2.68
37% implied
Home -1 1.27
79% implied
Away -1 3.55
28% implied
Home -0.75 1.24
81% implied
Away -0.75 3.90
26% implied
Home -0.5 1.18
85% implied
Away -0.5 3.80
26% implied
Home -0.25 1.12
89% implied
Away -0.25 6.00
17% implied
Home +0.5 1.01
99% implied
Away +0.5 12.00
8% implied
Home -3 4.00
25% implied
Away -3 1.23
81% implied
Home -2 2.05
49% implied
Away -2 1.75
57% implied
Home -1.75 1.90
53% implied
Away -1.75 1.90
53% implied
Home -1.5 1.62
62% implied
Away -1.5 2.20
45% implied
Home -2.5 2.62
38% implied
Away -2.5 1.44
69% implied
Home -2.25 2.35
43% implied
Away -2.25 1.58
63% implied
Over 9.5 1.80
56% implied
Under 9.5 1.91
52% implied

Ivory Coast vs Gambia: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Free Tip: 1 (1.22 odds).

Ivory Coast are rated 82% by our tip model, with the draw at 10% and Gambia at 8%.

In the last 2 meetings they averaged 1.5 goals per game, with BTTS in 0% and over 2.5 in 0%.

Double chance : Ivory Coast or draw

Ivory Coast vs Gambia FAQs

What is the best prediction for Ivory Coast vs Gambia?

Our top tip is Free Tip: 1 (1.22 odds).

Who will win Ivory Coast vs Gambia?

Model lean: Ivory Coast 82%, draw 10%, Gambia 8%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 0% of the last 2 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 1.5 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 0% of the time.

When is Ivory Coast vs Gambia?

Thursday, 12th November 2026 at 19:00 UTC , Stade de la Paix.

More Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification predictions

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Written by

Sam M

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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