Gabon vs Lesotho

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

With a 79% probability rating, 1 stands out as the confident call for Gabon vs Lesotho in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification, priced at odds of 1.26.

World: Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification
Fri, 13th Nov, 2026 Group Stage - 3
Gabon

Gabon

L W
NS
VS
Lesotho

Lesotho

D W L L
Prediction: 1 (1.26 Odds)
Free Tip 79% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 1.80

Gabon

1.50

1.50 – 0.30

Lesotho

0.30

Stade de Franceville, Franceville

Gabon

1.22

76% implied

Draw

5.45

17% implied

Lesotho

13.00

7% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

Free Tip Free

1

Odds 1.26 79%

Head to head

Last 2 meetings
2 games

1

Gabon wins

1

Draws

0

Lesotho wins

1

Goals / game

0%

Both scored

0%

Over 2.5

15 Oct 2024
Lesotho
0-2
Gabon
11 Oct 2024
Gabon
0-0
Lesotho

Recent form

Gabon

4 W 1 D 5 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Niger 2-0 W
A Morocco 2-0 L
A Uzbekistan 3-1 L
H Ivory Coast 2-3 L
H Mozambique 2-3 L
A Cameroon 1-0 L
H Burundi 2-0 W
A Gambia 3-4 W
H Ivory Coast 0-0 D
A Seychelles 0-4 W

Lesotho

2 W 3 D 5 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Morocco 0-2 L
A Niger 2-1 L
A Kenya 4-0 L
H Kenya 1-1 D
H Seychelles 2-1 W
A Seychelles 0-0 D
H Malawi 0-1 L
H Malawi 0-0 D
H Zimbabwe 1-0 W
H Nigeria 1-2 L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 1.80

Gabon

1.50

xG

Match

1.50 – 0.30

Lesotho

0.30

xG

Our tip model

79%
12%
9%

API-Football

45%
45%
10%

Bookmaker

76%
17%
7%
Gabon Draw Lesotho

Most likely scores

2:0

20%

1:0

18.2%

3:0

15.4%

0:0

10%

2:1

9.1%

4:0

9.1%

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 78%
Over 2.5 goals 51%
Over 3.5 goals 29%
Both teams to score 33%

Team comparison

Gabon Lesotho
43% Recent form 57%
40% Attack 60%
71% Defence 29%
100% Poisson 0%
80% Head-to-head 20%
100% Goals 0%
59% Overall 42%

Combo Double chance : Gabon or draw and -3.5 goals

Season numbers

When the goals come

0
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
0
1
46-60'
1
0
61-75'
0
1
76-90'
2
0
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
0
1
31-45'
4
0
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
0
1
76-90'
1

Side by side

Gabon Lesotho
2 Played 4
1 Won 1
0 Drawn 1
1 Lost 2
2 Goals for 3
2 Goals against 5
1 Clean sheets 1
1 Failed to score 2

What comes next

Gabon

Lesotho (H) 13 Nov MID
Lesotho (A) 17 Nov MID
Morocco (H) 24 Mar MID
Niger (A) 28 Mar MID

Lesotho

Gabon (A) 13 Nov MID
Gabon (H) 17 Nov MID
Niger (H) 24 Mar MID
Morocco (A) 28 Mar MID

Betting markets

Odds · implied %
Over 1.5 1.28
78% implied
Under 1.5 3.50
29% implied
Over 2.5 1.95
51% implied
Under 2.5 1.85
54% implied
Over 3.5 3.40
29% implied
Under 3.5 1.30
77% implied
Over 0.5 1.05
95% implied
Under 0.5 8.50
12% implied
Over 4.5 6.00
17% implied
Under 4.5 1.11
90% implied
Over 7.5 21.00
5% implied
Under 7.5 1.00
Over 5.5 10.00
10% implied
Under 5.5 1.03
97% implied
Over 6.5 15.00
7% implied
Under 6.5 1.01
99% implied
Yes 3.00
33% implied
No 1.36
74% implied
Home/Draw 1.02
98% implied
Home/Away 1.12
89% implied
Draw/Away 4.00
25% implied
1:0 5.50
18% implied
2:0 5.00
20% implied
2:1 11.00
9% implied
3:0 6.50
15% implied
3:1 15.00
7% implied
3:2 41.00
2% implied
4:0 11.00
9% implied
4:1 23.00
4% implied
0:0 10.00
10% implied
1:1 12.00
8% implied
2:2 34.00
3% implied
0:1 19.00
5% implied
0:2 51.00
2% implied
0:3 151.00
1% implied
1:2 34.00
3% implied
1:3 101.00
1% implied
2:3 101.00
1% implied
3:3 151.00
1% implied
4:2 51.00
2% implied
5:0 21.00
5% implied
5:1 41.00
2% implied
5:2 101.00
1% implied
6:0 41.00
2% implied
6:1 67.00
1% implied
Home/Draw 26.00
4% implied
Home/Away 51.00
2% implied
Draw/Away 21.00
5% implied
Draw/Draw 7.00
14% implied
Home/Home 1.73
58% implied
Draw/Home 3.60
28% implied
Away/Home 26.00
4% implied
Away/Draw 26.00
4% implied
Away/Away 21.00
5% implied
Home -1.25 1.55
65% implied
Away -1.25 2.38
42% implied
Home -1 1.35
74% implied
Away -1 3.10
32% implied
Home -0.75 1.27
79% implied
Away -0.75 3.55
28% implied
Home -0.5 1.22
82% implied
Away -0.5 4.00
25% implied
Home -0.25 1.15
87% implied
Away -0.25 5.50
18% implied
Home +0.5 1.02
98% implied
Away +0.5 11.00
9% implied
Home -3 4.80
21% implied
Away -3 1.18
85% implied
Home -2 2.30
43% implied
Away -2 1.60
63% implied
Home -1.75 1.98
51% implied
Away -1.75 1.82
55% implied
Home -1.5 1.73
58% implied
Away -1.5 2.00
50% implied
Home -2.5 3.00
33% implied
Away -2.5 1.36
74% implied
Home -2.25 2.60
38% implied
Away -2.25 1.48
68% implied

Gabon vs Lesotho: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Free Tip: 1 (1.26 odds).

Gabon are rated 79% by our tip model, with the draw at 12% and Lesotho at 9%.

In the last 2 meetings they averaged 1 goals per game, with BTTS in 0% and over 2.5 in 0%.

Combo Double chance : Gabon or draw and -3.5 goals

Gabon vs Lesotho FAQs

What is the best prediction for Gabon vs Lesotho?

Our top tip is Free Tip: 1 (1.26 odds).

Who will win Gabon vs Lesotho?

Model lean: Gabon 79%, draw 12%, Lesotho 9%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 0% of the last 2 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 1 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 0% of the time.

When is Gabon vs Lesotho?

Friday, 13th November 2026 at 16:00 UTC , Stade de Franceville.

More Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification predictions

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Written by

Matoski

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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