Uganda vs Libya

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Uganda and Libya enter this one evenly matched on recent form, so we're leaning on yes at odds of 2.25 (44% probability) to edge the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification clash.

World: Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification
Tue, 29th Sep, 2026 Group Stage - 2
Uganda

Uganda

D
FT
1 - 0
Libya

Libya

D
45+2' Arnold Vula Lamb Luth
51' Fadel Libya Ali Salama
62' Sayfulnasr Judour
77' Rogers Mato
86' Mahmoud Al Shilw
Prediction: yes (2.25 Odds) Lost
BTTS/GG 44% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 3.00

Uganda

1.00

1.00 – 2.00

Libya

2.00

Hoima City Stadium, Hoima N. L. Toure

Uganda

1.90

48% implied

Draw

3.10

30% implied

Libya

4.10

22% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

Double Chance Won

1X

Odds 1.22 82%
1.5 Goals Lost

+1.5

Odds 1.50 67%
BTTS/GG Lost

yes

Odds 2.25 44%

Match statistics

Match Statistics

Uganda vs Libya

45%   Possession   55%

1   Shots on Target   5

0   Pass Accuracy   0

2   Corner Kicks   5

16   Fouls   21

0 1 3
1 3 0

Head to head

Last 1 meetings
1 games

0

Uganda wins

1

Draws

0

Libya wins

0

Goals / game

0%

Both scored

0%

Over 2.5

21 Sep 2022
Libya
0-0
Uganda

Recent form

Uganda

3 W 3 D 4 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Congo DR 1-1 D
A Congo DR 0-2 W
H Libya 1-0 W
A Tunisia 1-1 D
H Nigeria 1-3 L
H Tanzania 1-1 D
A Tunisia 3-1 L
A Morocco 4-0 L
H Chad 2-1 W
A Algeria 2-1 L

Libya

3 W 5 D 2 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Uganda 1-0 L
H Botswana 2-2 D
A Liberia 2-2 D
H Niger 0-0 D
H Mauritania 1-0 W
A Mauritius 0-0 D
H Cape Verde Islands 3-3 D
H Eswatini 2-0 W
A Angola 0-1 W
A Cameroon 3-1 L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 3.00

Uganda

1.00

xG

Match

1.00 – 2.00

Libya

2.00

xG

Our tip model

35%
35%
30%

API-Football

35%
35%
30%

Bookmaker

48%
30%
22%
Uganda Draw Libya

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 0%
Over 2.5 goals 0%
Over 3.5 goals 0%
Both teams to score 0%

Team comparison

Uganda Libya
50% Recent form 50%
33% Attack 67%
67% Defence 33%
50% Head-to-head 50%
50% Overall 50%

Double chance : Uganda or draw

Season numbers

When the goals come

0
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
0
1
61-75'
0
0
76-90'
2
1
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
1
0
31-45'
1
0
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
0
0
76-90'
0

Side by side

Uganda Libya
1 Played 1
0 Won 0
1 Drawn 1
0 Lost 0
1 Goals for 2
1 Goals against 2
0 Clean sheets 0
0 Failed to score 0

What comes next

Uganda

Botswana (H) 14 Nov MID
Botswana (A) 17 Nov MID
Tunisia (H) 24 Mar MID
Libya (A) 28 Mar MID

Libya

Tunisia (A) 13 Nov MID
Tunisia (H) 17 Nov MID
Botswana (A) 24 Mar MID
Uganda (H) 28 Mar MID

Uganda vs Libya: preview and prediction

Our top tip is BTTS/GG: yes (2.25 odds).

Uganda are rated 35% by our tip model, with the draw at 35% and Libya at 30%.

In the last 1 meetings they averaged 0 goals per game, with BTTS in 0% and over 2.5 in 0%.

Double chance : Uganda or draw

Uganda vs Libya FAQs

What is the best prediction for Uganda vs Libya?

Our top tip is BTTS/GG: yes (2.25 odds).

Who will win Uganda vs Libya?

Model lean: Uganda 35%, draw 35%, Libya 30%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 0% of the last 1 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 0 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 0% of the time.

When is Uganda vs Libya?

Tuesday, 29th September 2026 at 16:00 UTC , Hoima City Stadium.

More Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification predictions

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Written by

Sam M

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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