Guinea vs Kenya

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Guinea and Kenya enter this one evenly matched on recent form, so we're leaning on yes at odds of 2.50 (40% probability) to edge the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification clash.

World: Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification
Thu, 1st Oct, 2026 Group Stage - 2
Guinea

Guinea

L
FT
1 - 0
Kenya

Kenya

D
16' mohammed bajaber
32' Serhou Guirassy
64' Mohamed Camara
Prediction: yes (2.50 Odds) Lost
BTTS/GG 40% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.00

Guinea

1.00

1.00 – 1.00

Kenya

1.00

Stade 28 Septembre, Conakry M. Maarouf

Guinea

1.57

57% implied

Draw

3.25

28% implied

Kenya

5.75

16% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

1.5 Goals Lost

+1.5

Odds 1.50 67%
Double Chance Lost

X2

Odds 2.15 47%
BTTS/GG Lost

yes

Odds 2.50 40%
Draws Lost

X

Odds 3.20 31%

Match statistics

Match Statistics

Guinea vs Kenya

51%   Possession   49%

3   Shots on Target   2

0   Pass Accuracy   0

5   Corner Kicks   2

10   Fouls   17

0 1 3
1 1 0

Recent form

Guinea

3 W 4 D 3 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Kenya 1-0 W
A South Africa 2-1 L
A Northern Ireland 1-0 L
H Benin 0-1 L
H Togo 2-2 D
H Niger 1-1 D
H Liberia 2-0 W
H Botswana 2-2 D
A Mozambique 1-2 W
H Algeria 0-0 D

Kenya

3 W 3 D 4 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Rwanda 0-0 D
A Guinea 1-0 L
H Eritrea 1-1 D
H Lesotho 4-0 W
A Lesotho 1-1 D
A Grenada 0-3 W
A Senegal 8-0 L
H Equatorial Guinea 0-1 L
A Ivory Coast 3-0 L
A Burundi 0-1 W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.00

Guinea

1.00

xG

Match

1.00 – 1.00

Kenya

1.00

xG

Our tip model

10%
45%
45%

API-Football

10%
45%
45%

Bookmaker

57%
28%
16%
Guinea Draw Kenya

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 0%
Over 2.5 goals 0%
Over 3.5 goals 0%
Both teams to score 0%

Team comparison

Guinea Kenya
0% Recent form 100%
50% Attack 50%
33% Defence 67%
42% Overall 59%

Double chance : draw or Kenya

Season numbers

When the goals come

0
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
0
1
61-75'
0
0
76-90'
1
0
0-15'
0
1
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
1
0
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
0
1
76-90'
0

Side by side

Guinea Kenya
1 Played 1
0 Won 0
0 Drawn 1
1 Lost 0
1 Goals for 1
2 Goals against 1
0 Clean sheets 0
0 Failed to score 0

What comes next

Guinea

Eritrea (H) 12 Nov MID
Eritrea (A) 16 Nov MID
South Africa (H) 24 Mar MID
Kenya (A) 28 Mar MID

Kenya

South Africa (A) 13 Nov MID
South Africa (H) 17 Nov MID
Eritrea (A) 24 Mar MID
Guinea (H) 28 Mar MID

Guinea vs Kenya: preview and prediction

Our top tip is BTTS/GG: yes (2.50 odds).

Guinea are rated 10% by our tip model, with the draw at 45% and Kenya at 45%.

Double chance : draw or Kenya

Guinea vs Kenya FAQs

What is the best prediction for Guinea vs Kenya?

Our top tip is BTTS/GG: yes (2.50 odds).

Who will win Guinea vs Kenya?

Model lean: Guinea 10%, draw 45%, Kenya 45%.

When is Guinea vs Kenya?

Thursday, 1st October 2026 at 16:00 UTC , Stade 28 Septembre.

More Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification predictions

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Written by

Matoski

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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