Equatorial Guinea vs Sierra Leone

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Equatorial Guinea and Sierra Leone enter this one evenly matched on recent form, so we're leaning on +1.5 at odds of 1.44 (69% probability) to edge the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification clash.

World: Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification
Mon, 28th Sep, 2026 Group Stage - 2
Equatorial Guinea

Equatorial Guinea

L
FT
1 - 0
Sierra Leone

Sierra Leone

L
1' L. Zuniga
27' Saidu Bah Kamara
74' Loren Zúñiga
Prediction: +1.5 (1.44 Odds) Lost
1.5 Goals 69% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.00

Equatorial Guinea

0.00

0.00 – 2.00

Sierra Leone

2.00

Stade Ahmadou Ahidjo, Yaounde K. Senyo

Equatorial Guinea

1.80

51% implied

Draw

3.20

28% implied

Sierra Leone

4.33

21% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

1.5 Goals Lost

+1.5

Odds 1.44 69%

Match statistics

Match Statistics

Equatorial Guinea vs Sierra Leone

39%   Possession   61%

2   Shots on Target   0

0   Pass Accuracy   0

2   Corner Kicks   3

20   Fouls   20

0 1 2
0 1 0

Head to head

Last 1 meetings
1 games

1

Equatorial Guinea wins

0

Draws

0

Sierra Leone wins

1

Goals / game

0%

Both scored

0%

Over 2.5

20 Jan 2022
Sierra Leone
0-1
Equatorial Guinea

Recent form

Equatorial Guinea

3 W 1 D 6 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Sierra Leone 1-0 W
A Congo DR 2-0 L
H Comoros 0-1 L
H Madagascar 1-1 D
A Kyrgyzstan 0-1 W
H Algeria 1-3 L
H Sudan 0-1 L
A Burkina Faso 2-1 L
A Madagascar 2-0 L
A Kenya 0-1 W

Sierra Leone

4 W 1 D 5 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Equatorial Guinea 1-0 L
H Zimbabwe 2-3 L
A Liberia 3-1 L
H Liberia 1-0 W
A Djibouti 1-2 W
H Burkina Faso 0-1 L
H Ethiopia 2-0 W
A Guinea-Bissau 1-1 D
A Egypt 1-0 L
H Guinea-Bissau 3-1 W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.00

Equatorial Guinea

0.00

xG

Match

0.00 – 2.00

Sierra Leone

2.00

xG

Our tip model

45%
45%
10%

API-Football

45%
45%
10%

Bookmaker

51%
28%
21%
Equatorial Guinea Draw Sierra Leone

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 0%
Over 2.5 goals 0%
Over 3.5 goals 0%
Both teams to score 0%

Team comparison

Equatorial Guinea Sierra Leone
0% Attack 100%
60% Defence 40%
100% Head-to-head 0%
100% Goals 0%
60% Overall 40%

Double chance : Equatorial Guinea or draw

Season numbers

When the goals come

0
0-15'
1
0
16-30'
1
0
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
0
0
76-90'
0
1
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
0
1
61-75'
1
0
76-90'
2

Side by side

Equatorial Guinea Sierra Leone
1 Played 1
0 Won 0
0 Drawn 0
1 Lost 1
0 Goals for 2
2 Goals against 3
0 Clean sheets 0
1 Failed to score 0

What comes next

Equatorial Guinea

Zimbabwe (H) 12 Nov MID
Zimbabwe (A) 16 Nov MID
Congo DR (H) 24 Mar MID
Sierra Leone (A) 28 Mar MID

Sierra Leone

Congo DR (A) 12 Nov MID
Congo DR (H) 17 Nov MID
Zimbabwe (A) 24 Mar MID
Equatorial Guinea (H) 28 Mar MID

Equatorial Guinea vs Sierra Leone: preview and prediction

Our top tip is 1.5 Goals: +1.5 (1.44 odds).

Equatorial Guinea are rated 45% by our tip model, with the draw at 45% and Sierra Leone at 10%.

In the last 1 meetings they averaged 1 goals per game, with BTTS in 0% and over 2.5 in 0%.

Double chance : Equatorial Guinea or draw

Equatorial Guinea vs Sierra Leone FAQs

What is the best prediction for Equatorial Guinea vs Sierra Leone?

Our top tip is 1.5 Goals: +1.5 (1.44 odds).

Who will win Equatorial Guinea vs Sierra Leone?

Model lean: Equatorial Guinea 45%, draw 45%, Sierra Leone 10%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 0% of the last 1 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 1 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 0% of the time.

When is Equatorial Guinea vs Sierra Leone?

Monday, 28th September 2026 at 16:00 UTC , Stade Ahmadou Ahidjo.

More Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification predictions

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Written by

Matoski

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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