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With a 72% probability rating, 1 stands out as the confident call for Leones Negros UDG vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca in the Liga de Expansión MX, priced at odds of 1.38.
Mexico: Liga de Expansión MX
Leones Negros UDG
2nd in table
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
9th in table
Expected Goals (xG)
Total 4.00
Leones Negros UDG
2.75
2.75 – 1.25
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1.25
Leones Negros UDG
1.3868% implied
Draw
5.0019% implied
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
7.0013% implied
1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)
1
3
Leones Negros UDG wins
5
Draws
1
Alebrijes de Oaxaca wins
2.9
Goals / game
56%
Both scored
56%
Over 2.5
Leones Negros UDG
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
Leones Negros UDG
Leones Negros UDG
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
Leones Negros UDG
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
Leones Negros UDG
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
CA La Paz
|
15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 36:18 | 18 | 30 |
| 2 |
Leones Negros UDG
|
15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 34:20 | 14 | 30 |
| 3 |
Monarcas
|
15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 26:19 | 7 | 26 |
| 4 |
Piratas
|
15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27:15 | 12 | 25 |
| 5 |
Cancún
|
15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 28:18 | 10 | 25 |
| 6 |
Venados FC
|
15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 31:25 | 6 | 25 |
| 7 |
Durango
|
15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 21:15 | 6 | 24 |
| 8 |
Tlaxcala
|
15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 29:27 | 2 | 22 |
| 9 |
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
|
15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 15:25 | -10 | 22 |
| 10 |
Mineros de Zacatecas
|
15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 26:26 | 0 | 18 |
| 11 |
Tapatío
|
15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 25:28 | -3 | 18 |
| 12 |
Correcaminos Uat
|
15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 21:24 | -3 | 17 |
| 13 |
Dorados
|
15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 23:32 | -9 | 16 |
| 14 |
CDS Tampico Madero
|
15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 15:25 | -10 | 15 |
| 15 |
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
|
15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17:24 | -7 | 14 |
| 16 |
Tepatitlán
|
15 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 11:44 | -33 | 7 |
| # | Player | Team | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
J. Múñoz
|
Durango
|
3 |
| 2 |
S. Hernández
|
Leones Negros UDG
|
2 |
| 3 |
Óscar Gil
|
Leones Negros UDG
|
1 |
| 4 |
Á. Robles
|
CA La Paz
|
1 |
| 5 |
J. Van Rankin
|
Monarcas
|
1 |
| 6 |
C. Fernandez
|
Piratas
|
1 |
| 7 |
M. Barragán
|
CA La Paz
|
1 |
| 8 |
J. Brigido
|
Leones Negros UDG
|
1 |
| 9 |
É. Cantú
|
Durango
|
1 |
| 10 |
D. Tejeda
|
Venados FC
|
1 |
Leones Negros UDG
2.75
xG
Match
2.75 – 1.25
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1.25
xG
Our tip model
API-Football
Bookmaker
Leones Negros UDG
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
Combo Winner : Leones Negros UDG and +1.5 goals
Leones Negros UDG
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
Leones Negros UDG
Monarcas
(A)
11 Nov
HARD
Monarcas
(H)
14 Nov
HARD
Our top tip is Home Win: 1 (1.38 odds).
Leones Negros UDG are rated 72% by our tip model, with the draw at 15% and Alebrijes de Oaxaca at 13%.
In the last 9 meetings they averaged 2.9 goals per game, with BTTS in 56% and over 2.5 in 56%.
Combo Winner : Leones Negros UDG and +1.5 goals
Our top tip is Home Win: 1 (1.38 odds).
Model lean: Leones Negros UDG 72%, draw 15%, Alebrijes de Oaxaca 13%.
Both teams scored in 56% of the last 9 meetings.
Recent H2H averaged 2.9 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 56% of the time.
Sunday, 18th October 2026 at 18:00 UTC , Estadio Jalisco.
With a 72% probability rating, 1 stands out as the confident call for Leones Negros UDG vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca in the Liga de Expansión MX, priced at odds of 1.38.
Teams: Leones Negros UDG vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca
Date: Sun, Oct 18, 2026
Time: 18:00 UTC
Venue: Estadio Jalisco, Guadalajara
Check our prediction page now to see the complete Leones Negros UDG vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca prediction, analysis, and odds for today.
Written by
Matoski
Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict