Valencia vs Real Madrid

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Real Madrid travel in excellent form (LWWWW) while Valencia have struggled recently (LDDLW), making 2 at odds of 1.27 our pick for the meeting at Estadio de Mestalla.

Spain: La Liga
Sat, 7th Nov, 2026 Regular Season - 12
Valencia

Valencia

L D D L W
NS
VS
Real Madrid

Real Madrid

L W W W W
Prediction: 2 (1.27 Odds)
Away Win 79% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.65

Valencia

0.85

0.85 – 1.80

Real Madrid

1.80

Estadio de Mestalla, Valdivia Francisco Jose Hernandez Maeso

Valencia

10.00

9% implied

Draw

5.75

16% implied

Real Madrid

1.27

74% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

Away Win Free

2

Odds 1.27 79%
Free Tip Free

2

Odds 1.30 77%

Head to head

Last 10 meetings
10 games

2

Valencia wins

2

Draws

6

Real Madrid wins

3.2

Goals / game

60%

Both scored

60%

Over 2.5

08 Feb 2026
Valencia
0-2
Real Madrid
01 Nov 2025
Real Madrid
4-0
Valencia
05 Apr 2025
Real Madrid
1-2
Valencia
03 Jan 2025
Valencia
1-2
Real Madrid
02 Mar 2024
Valencia
2-2
Real Madrid
11 Nov 2023
Real Madrid
5-1
Valencia
21 May 2023
Valencia
1-0
Real Madrid
02 Feb 2023
Real Madrid
2-0
Valencia
11 Jan 2023
Real Madrid
1-1
Valencia
08 Jan 2022
Real Madrid
4-1
Valencia

Top scorers

La Liga
# Player Team Goals
1
Raphinha
Barcelona
15
2
Kylian Mbappé
Real Madrid
12
3
Lamine Yamal
Barcelona
10
4
M. Zabiri
Racing Santander
8
5
A. Budimir
Osasuna
8
6
Sergio Camello
Rayo Vallecano
7
7
Roberto Fernández
Espanyol
6
8
Fer Niño
Elche
6
9
Fermín
Barcelona
5
10
Álex Baena
Atletico Madrid
5

Recent form

Valencia

2 W 2 D 6 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Elche 0-1 W
H Villarreal 1-2 L
H Athletic Club 0-0 D
A Racing Santander 2-2 D
H Real Sociedad 2-3 L
A Alaves 0-1 W
A Sevilla 1-0 L
H Barcelona 0-5 L
A Deportivo La Coruna 3-1 L
H Real Betis 0-1 L

Real Madrid

9 W 0 D 1 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A AEK Athens FC 2-3 W
A Racing Santander 0-3 W
A Barcelona 1-2 W
H RB Leipzig 4-1 W
H Sevilla 4-1 W
A AS Roma 3-4 W
H Villarreal 1-0 W
A Atletico Madrid 2-1 L
A Elche 2-3 W
H Rayo Vallecano 4-1 W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.65

Valencia

0.85

xG

Match

0.85 – 1.80

Real Madrid

1.80

xG

Our tip model

9%
12%
79%

API-Football

50%
50%

Bookmaker

9%
16%
74%
Valencia Draw Real Madrid

Most likely scores

0:2

13.3%

0:3

11.8%

1:2

11.1%

0:1

10.5%

1:3

10%

1:1

8.3%

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 88%
Over 2.5 goals 69%
Over 3.5 goals 48%
Both teams to score 52%

Team comparison

Valencia Real Madrid
29% Recent form 71%
35% Attack 65%
36% Defence 64%
12% Poisson 88%
29% Head-to-head 71%
31% Goals 69%
29% Overall 71%

Winner : Real Madrid

Season numbers

When the goals come

2
0-15'
3
1
16-30'
5
1
31-45'
6
2
46-60'
1
2
61-75'
3
1
76-90'
8
1
0-15'
0
3
16-30'
3
1
31-45'
1
2
46-60'
3
1
61-75'
2
8
76-90'
3

Side by side

Valencia Real Madrid
11 Played 11
2 Won 9
3 Drawn 0
6 Lost 2
8 Goals for 28
17 Goals against 10
4 Clean sheets 3
5 Failed to score 1

What comes next

Valencia

Real Madrid (H) 07 Nov MID
Tavernes (A) 10 Nov MID
Rayo Vallecano (A) 22 Nov MID
Osasuna (H) 29 Nov MID

Real Madrid

Valencia (A) 07 Nov MID
Celta Vigo (H) 22 Nov MID
PSV Eindhoven (H) 24 Nov MID
Alaves (H) 29 Nov MID

Betting markets

Odds · implied %
Over 1.5 1.14
88% implied
Under 1.5 5.50
18% implied
Over 2.5 1.44
69% implied
Under 2.5 2.75
36% implied
Over 3.5 2.10
48% implied
Under 3.5 1.73
58% implied
Over 0.5 1.01
99% implied
Under 0.5 21.00
5% implied
Over 8.5 51.00
2% implied
Under 8.5 1.00
Over 4.5 3.50
29% implied
Under 4.5 1.30
77% implied
Over 7.5 23.00
4% implied
Under 7.5 1.01
99% implied
Over 5.5 6.00
17% implied
Under 5.5 1.12
89% implied
Over 6.5 13.00
8% implied
Under 6.5 1.04
96% implied
Yes 1.91
52% implied
No 1.91
52% implied
Home/Draw 3.75
27% implied
Home/Away 1.12
89% implied
Draw/Away 1.08
93% implied
1:0 26.00
4% implied
2:0 51.00
2% implied
2:1 26.00
4% implied
3:0 101.00
1% implied
3:1 51.00
2% implied
3:2 51.00
2% implied
4:0 451.00
4:1 201.00
0:0 21.00
5% implied
1:1 12.00
8% implied
2:2 21.00
5% implied
0:1 9.50
11% implied
0:2 7.50
13% implied
0:3 8.50
12% implied
1:2 9.00
11% implied
1:3 10.00
10% implied
2:3 23.00
4% implied
3:3 51.00
2% implied
0:4 12.00
8% implied
1:4 15.00
7% implied
2:4 34.00
3% implied
4:2 151.00
1% implied
0:5 21.00
5% implied
0:6 41.00
2% implied
Home/Draw 21.00
5% implied
Home/Away 17.00
6% implied
Draw/Away 4.00
25% implied
Draw/Draw 9.50
11% implied
Home/Home 19.00
5% implied
Draw/Home 21.00
5% implied
Away/Home 51.00
2% implied
Away/Draw 19.00
5% implied
Away/Away 1.73
58% implied
Home +0 7.00
14% implied
Away +0 1.10
91% implied
Home +0.25 5.25
19% implied
Away +0.25 1.16
86% implied
Home +0.5 3.90
26% implied
Away +0.5 1.24
81% implied
Home +0.75 3.45
29% implied
Away +0.75 1.30
77% implied
Home +1 3.10
32% implied
Away +1 1.35
74% implied
Home +2 1.68
60% implied
Away +2 2.15
47% implied
Home +3 1.23
81% implied
Away +3 4.10
24% implied
Home +1.25 2.42
41% implied
Away +1.25 1.52
66% implied
Home +1.5 2.10
48% implied
Away +1.5 1.70
59% implied
Home +1.75 1.95
51% implied
Away +1.75 1.90
53% implied
Home +2.25 1.55
65% implied
Away +2.25 2.38
42% implied
Home +2.5 1.45
69% implied
Away +2.5 2.68
37% implied
Over 9.5 1.73
58% implied
Under 9.5 2.00
50% implied
Over 10 1.98
51% implied
Under 10 1.82
55% implied

Valencia vs Real Madrid: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Away Win: 2 (1.27 odds).

Valencia are rated 9% by our tip model, with the draw at 12% and Real Madrid at 79%.

In the last 10 meetings they averaged 3.2 goals per game, with BTTS in 60% and over 2.5 in 60%.

Winner : Real Madrid

Valencia vs Real Madrid FAQs

What is the best prediction for Valencia vs Real Madrid?

Our top tip is Away Win: 2 (1.27 odds).

Who will win Valencia vs Real Madrid?

Model lean: Valencia 9%, draw 12%, Real Madrid 79%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 60% of the last 10 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 3.2 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 60% of the time.

When is Valencia vs Real Madrid?

Saturday, 7th November 2026 at 20:00 UTC , Estadio de Mestalla.

More La Liga predictions

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Tip 1X Odds 1.22

Fri, Nov 6 · 20:00 UTC

Sevilla vs Alaves

Tip +1.5 Odds 1.36

Fri, Nov 6 · 20:00 UTC

Sevilla vs Alaves

Tip X Odds 3.25

Sat, Nov 7 · 15:15 UTC

Espanyol vs Deportivo La Coruna

Tip 1X Odds 1.33

Sat, Nov 7 · 15:15 UTC

Espanyol vs Deportivo La Coruna

Tip X Odds 3.30

Sun, Nov 8 · 15:15 UTC

Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano

Tip 1 Odds 1.70

Match Preview

Real Madrid travel in excellent form (LWWWW) while Valencia have struggled recently (LDDLW), making 2 at odds of 1.27 our pick for the meeting at Estadio de Mestalla.

Match Info Summary

Teams: Valencia vs Real Madrid 

Date: Sat, Nov 7, 2026

Time: 20:00 UTC 

Venue: Estadio de Mestalla, Valdivia

Check our prediction page now to see the complete Valencia vs Real Madrid prediction, analysis, and odds for today. 

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Written by

Matoski

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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