Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Our expert prediction for Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano is 1, at odds of 1.70 with a 59% probability rating.

Spain: La Liga
Sun, 8th Nov, 2026 Regular Season - 12
Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad

W W W W L
NS
VS
Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano

W D D L W
Prediction: 1 (1.70 Odds)
Home Win 59% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 3.30

Real Sociedad

2.00

2.00 – 1.30

Rayo Vallecano

1.30

Anoeta Stadium, San Sebastian

Real Sociedad

1.70

56% implied

Draw

4.10

23% implied

Rayo Vallecano

4.50

21% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

Home Win Free

1

Odds 1.70 59%

Head to head

Last 10 meetings
10 games

3

Real Sociedad wins

5

Draws

2

Rayo Vallecano wins

2.9

Goals / game

70%

Both scored

60%

Over 2.5

26 Apr 2026
Rayo Vallecano
3-3
Real Sociedad
05 Oct 2025
Real Sociedad
0-1
Rayo Vallecano
16 Mar 2025
Rayo Vallecano
2-2
Real Sociedad
16 Jan 2025
Real Sociedad
3-1
Rayo Vallecano
18 Aug 2024
Real Sociedad
1-2
Rayo Vallecano
27 Jan 2024
Real Sociedad
0-0
Rayo Vallecano
29 Oct 2023
Rayo Vallecano
2-2
Real Sociedad
22 Apr 2023
Real Sociedad
2-1
Rayo Vallecano
21 Jan 2023
Rayo Vallecano
0-2
Real Sociedad
10 Dec 2022
Real Sociedad
1-1
Rayo Vallecano

Top scorers

La Liga
# Player Team Goals
1
Raphinha
Barcelona
15
2
Kylian Mbappé
Real Madrid
12
3
Lamine Yamal
Barcelona
10
4
M. Zabiri
Racing Santander
8
5
A. Budimir
Osasuna
8
6
Sergio Camello
Rayo Vallecano
7
7
Roberto Fernández
Espanyol
6
8
Fer Niño
Elche
6
9
Fermín
Barcelona
5
10
Álex Baena
Atletico Madrid
5

Recent form

Real Sociedad

5 W 2 D 3 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Lyon 1-1 D
A Athletic Club 2-1 L
H Levante 2-1 W
A Lillestrom 0-6 W
A Malaga 2-5 W
A Union St. Gilloise 1-1 D
H Deportivo La Coruna 3-2 W
H Athletic Club 0-1 L
A Valencia 2-3 W
H Bournemouth 1-2 L

Rayo Vallecano

3 W 3 D 4 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Celta Vigo 3-0 W
H Elche 0-3 L
A Getafe 1-1 D
A Osasuna 1-1 D
H Espanyol 2-1 W
A Real Madrid 4-1 L
H Racing Santander 3-2 W
A Barcelona 5-2 L
H Alaves 1-1 D
A Sevilla 2-1 L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 3.30

Real Sociedad

2.00

xG

Match

2.00 – 1.30

Rayo Vallecano

1.30

xG

Our tip model

59%
23%
18%

API-Football

45%
45%
10%

Bookmaker

56%
23%
21%
Real Sociedad Draw Rayo Vallecano

Most likely scores

1:1

12.5%

2:1

11.8%

1:0

10.5%

2:0

10.5%

3:1

8.3%

2:2

7.7%

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 85%
Over 2.5 goals 64%
Over 3.5 goals 42%
Both teams to score 64%

Team comparison

Real Sociedad Rayo Vallecano
60% Recent form 40%
67% Attack 33%
40% Defence 60%
62% Poisson 38%
38% Head-to-head 62%
50% Goals 50%
53% Overall 47%

Double chance : Real Sociedad or draw

Season numbers

When the goals come

4
0-15'
4
5
16-30'
2
3
31-45'
2
2
46-60'
7
3
61-75'
1
4
76-90'
0
1
0-15'
2
1
16-30'
6
2
31-45'
2
4
46-60'
3
7
61-75'
2
4
76-90'
4

Side by side

Real Sociedad Rayo Vallecano
11 Played 10
6 Won 3
1 Drawn 3
4 Lost 4
20 Goals for 15
20 Goals against 20
1 Clean sheets 1
3 Failed to score 1

What comes next

Real Sociedad

Rayo Vallecano (H) 08 Nov MID
Racing Santander (A) 22 Nov MID
Crystal Palace (A) 26 Nov MID
Sevilla (H) 29 Nov MID

Rayo Vallecano

Real Sociedad (A) 08 Nov MID
Valencia (H) 22 Nov MID
Real Betis (A) 29 Nov MID
Levante (H) 06 Dec MID

Betting markets

Odds · implied %
Over 1.5 1.17
85% implied
Under 1.5 5.00
20% implied
Over 2.5 1.57
64% implied
Under 2.5 2.38
42% implied
Over 3.5 2.38
42% implied
Under 3.5 1.57
64% implied
Over 0.5 1.02
98% implied
Under 0.5 17.00
6% implied
Over 4.5 4.33
23% implied
Under 4.5 1.22
82% implied
Over 7.5 29.00
3% implied
Under 7.5 1.01
99% implied
Over 5.5 8.00
13% implied
Under 5.5 1.08
93% implied
Over 6.5 17.00
6% implied
Under 6.5 1.02
98% implied
Yes 1.57
64% implied
No 2.25
44% implied
Home/Draw 1.18
85% implied
Home/Away 1.22
82% implied
Draw/Away 2.10
48% implied
1:0 9.50
11% implied
2:0 9.50
11% implied
2:1 8.50
12% implied
3:0 15.00
7% implied
3:1 12.00
8% implied
3:2 21.00
5% implied
4:0 26.00
4% implied
4:1 23.00
4% implied
0:0 17.00
6% implied
1:1 8.00
13% implied
2:2 13.00
8% implied
0:1 17.00
6% implied
0:2 26.00
4% implied
0:3 51.00
2% implied
1:2 15.00
7% implied
1:3 34.00
3% implied
2:3 34.00
3% implied
3:3 41.00
2% implied
0:4 101.00
1% implied
1:4 67.00
1% implied
2:4 67.00
1% implied
4:2 34.00
3% implied
1:5 201.00
2:5 201.00
Home/Draw 13.00
8% implied
Home/Away 29.00
3% implied
Draw/Away 10.00
10% implied
Draw/Draw 7.00
14% implied
Home/Home 2.50
40% implied
Draw/Home 4.75
21% implied
Away/Home 19.00
5% implied
Away/Draw 15.00
7% implied
Away/Away 7.50
13% implied
Home -1.25 2.38
42% implied
Away -1.25 1.55
65% implied
Home -1 2.15
47% implied
Away -1 1.68
60% implied
Home -0.75 1.88
53% implied
Away -0.75 1.98
51% implied
Home -0.5 1.68
60% implied
Away -0.5 2.15
47% implied
Home -0.25 1.48
68% implied
Away -0.25 2.60
38% implied
Home +0 1.30
77% implied
Away +0 3.45
29% implied
Home +0.25 1.24
81% implied
Away +0.25 3.90
26% implied
Home +0.5 1.21
83% implied
Away +0.5 4.25
24% implied
Home +0.75 1.14
88% implied
Away +0.75 5.75
17% implied
Home -2 4.40
23% implied
Away -2 1.20
83% implied
Home -1.75 3.30
30% implied
Away -1.75 1.32
76% implied
Home -1.5 2.68
37% implied
Away -1.5 1.45
69% implied
Over 10 1.82
55% implied
Under 10 1.98
51% implied
Over 10.5 2.00
50% implied
Under 10.5 1.73
58% implied

Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Home Win: 1 (1.70 odds).

Real Sociedad are rated 59% by our tip model, with the draw at 23% and Rayo Vallecano at 18%.

In the last 10 meetings they averaged 2.9 goals per game, with BTTS in 70% and over 2.5 in 60%.

Double chance : Real Sociedad or draw

Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano FAQs

What is the best prediction for Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano?

Our top tip is Home Win: 1 (1.70 odds).

Who will win Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano?

Model lean: Real Sociedad 59%, draw 23%, Rayo Vallecano 18%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 70% of the last 10 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 2.9 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 60% of the time.

When is Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano?

Sunday, 8th November 2026 at 15:15 UTC , Anoeta Stadium.

More La Liga predictions

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Written by

Sam M

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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