Bangladesh vs Sri Lanka

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Our expert prediction for Bangladesh vs Sri Lanka is X, at odds of 3.25 with a 31% probability rating.

World: SAFF Championship
Wed, 11th Nov, 2026 Group Stage - 1
Bangladesh

Bangladesh

W
FT
4 - 0
Sri Lanka

Sri Lanka

D
9' S. Shome
45' H. Choudhury
53' F. Ali Wahid
87' R. Hossain
Prediction: X (3.25 Odds)
Draws 31% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 3.00

Bangladesh

1.00

1.00 – 2.00

Sri Lanka

2.00

Bangabandhu National Stadium, Dhaka

Bangladesh

2.03

45% implied

Draw

3.32

27% implied

Sri Lanka

3.20

28% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

Draws Free

X

Odds 3.25 31%

Head to head

Last 2 meetings
2 games

1

Bangladesh wins

0

Draws

1

Sri Lanka wins

1

Goals / game

0%

Both scored

0%

Over 2.5

01 Oct 2021
Sri Lanka
0-1
Bangladesh
29 Aug 2018
Bangladesh
0-1
Sri Lanka

Recent form

Bangladesh

4 W 1 D 5 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Sri Lanka 4-0 W
A Bhutan 0-1 W
A Indonesia 9-2 L
A Singapore 1-0 L
H Malaysia 0-3 L
A San Marino 1-2 W
A Singapore 1-0 L
A Vietnam 3-0 L
H India 1-0 W
H Nepal 2-2 D

Sri Lanka

5 W 1 D 4 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Bangladesh 4-0 L
H Bhutan 2-2 D
A Mauritius 2-3 W
A Mauritius 3-0 L
A Seychelles 0-2 W
A Seychelles 0-3 W
H Bhutan 4-1 W
A Chinese Taipei 1-3 W
H Thailand 0-4 L
A Turkmenistan 2-1 L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 3.00

Bangladesh

1.00

xG

Match

1.00 – 2.00

Sri Lanka

2.00

xG

Our tip model

38%
31%
31%

API-Football

45%
45%
10%

Bookmaker

45%
27%
28%
Bangladesh Draw Sri Lanka

Most likely scores

1:1

16.7%

1:0

14.3%

0:0

13.3%

2:0

10.5%

2:1

10.5%

0:1

10.5%

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 74%
Over 2.5 goals 45%
Over 3.5 goals 25%
Both teams to score 52%

Team comparison

Bangladesh Sri Lanka
75% Recent form 25%
33% Attack 67%
100% Defence 0%
50% Head-to-head 50%
50% Goals 50%
52% Overall 48%

Double chance : Bangladesh or draw

Season numbers

When the goals come

0
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
2
0
46-60'
0
1
61-75'
0
0
76-90'
0
0
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
1
0
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
0
0
76-90'
1

Side by side

Bangladesh Sri Lanka
1 Played 1
1 Won 0
0 Drawn 1
0 Lost 0
1 Goals for 2
0 Goals against 2
1 Clean sheets 0
0 Failed to score 0

Betting markets

Odds · implied %
Over 1.5 1.36
74% implied
Under 1.5 3.00
33% implied
Over 2.5 2.20
45% implied
Under 2.5 1.65
61% implied
Over 3.5 4.00
25% implied
Under 3.5 1.22
82% implied
Over 0.5 1.08
93% implied
Under 0.5 7.00
14% implied
Over 4.5 7.50
13% implied
Under 4.5 1.07
93% implied
Over 7.5 21.00
5% implied
Under 7.5 1.00
Over 5.5 11.00
9% implied
Under 5.5 1.02
98% implied
Over 6.5 17.00
6% implied
Under 6.5 1.00
Yes 1.91
52% implied
No 1.80
56% implied
Home/Draw 1.25
80% implied
Home/Away 1.28
78% implied
Draw/Away 1.62
62% implied
1:0 7.00
14% implied
2:0 9.50
11% implied
2:1 9.50
11% implied
3:0 19.00
5% implied
3:1 19.00
5% implied
3:2 34.00
3% implied
4:0 41.00
2% implied
4:1 41.00
2% implied
0:0 7.50
13% implied
1:1 6.00
17% implied
2:2 15.00
7% implied
0:1 9.50
11% implied
0:2 17.00
6% implied
0:3 34.00
3% implied
1:2 13.00
8% implied
1:3 29.00
3% implied
2:3 41.00
2% implied
3:3 51.00
2% implied
0:4 81.00
1% implied
1:4 67.00
1% implied
2:4 81.00
1% implied
4:2 51.00
2% implied
0:5 151.00
1% implied
1:5 151.00
1% implied
Home/Draw 15.00
7% implied
Home/Away 34.00
3% implied
Draw/Away 7.50
13% implied
Draw/Draw 5.00
20% implied
Home/Home 3.25
31% implied
Draw/Home 5.00
20% implied
Away/Home 26.00
4% implied
Away/Draw 15.00
7% implied
Away/Away 5.50
18% implied
Home -1.25 3.55
28% implied
Away -1.25 1.27
79% implied
Home -1 3.30
30% implied
Away -1 1.32
76% implied
Home -0.75 2.42
41% implied
Away -0.75 1.52
66% implied
Home -0.5 2.10
48% implied
Away -0.5 1.70
59% implied
Home -0.25 1.85
54% implied
Away -0.25 1.95
51% implied
Home +0 1.52
66% implied
Away +0 2.42
41% implied
Home +0.25 1.40
71% implied
Away +0.25 2.85
35% implied
Home +0.5 1.30
77% implied
Away +0.5 3.45
29% implied
Home +0.75 1.21
83% implied
Away +0.75 4.25
24% implied
Home -2 7.00
14% implied
Away -2 1.10
91% implied
Home +1 1.12
89% implied
Away +1 6.40
16% implied
Home -1.75 5.50
18% implied
Away -1.75 1.15
87% implied
Over 9.5 1.90
53% implied
Under 9.5 1.90
53% implied

Bangladesh vs Sri Lanka: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Draws: X (3.25 odds).

Bangladesh are rated 38% by our tip model, with the draw at 31% and Sri Lanka at 31%.

In the last 2 meetings they averaged 1 goals per game, with BTTS in 0% and over 2.5 in 0%.

Double chance : Bangladesh or draw

Bangladesh vs Sri Lanka FAQs

What is the best prediction for Bangladesh vs Sri Lanka?

Our top tip is Draws: X (3.25 odds).

Who will win Bangladesh vs Sri Lanka?

Model lean: Bangladesh 38%, draw 31%, Sri Lanka 31%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 0% of the last 2 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 1 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 0% of the time.

When is Bangladesh vs Sri Lanka?

Wednesday, 11th November 2026 at 14:00 UTC , Bangabandhu National Stadium.

More SAFF Championship predictions

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Written by

Matoski

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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