Once Caldas vs Atletico Nacional

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Once Caldas arrive in strong form (WWWW) and are well-fancied to back X2 against Atletico Nacional at Estadio Palogrande, with our model giving this a 74% probability at odds of 1.36.

Colombia: Copa Colombia
Wed, 11th Nov, 2026 Semi-finals
Once Caldas

Once Caldas

W W W W
FT
1 - 1
Atletico Nacional

Atletico Nacional

W W W W
12' P. Gomez
13' A. Morelos
38' P. Gomez
75' P. Gomez
75' P. Gomez
80' E. Cabrera
82' J. Rodriguez
Prediction: X2 (1.36 Odds) Won
Double Chance 74% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.10

Once Caldas

1.05

1.05 – 1.05

Atletico Nacional

1.05

Estadio Palogrande, Manizales

Once Caldas

2.38

39% implied

Draw

3.10

30% implied

Atletico Nacional

3.10

30% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

Double Chance Won

X2

Odds 1.36 74%
2.5 Goals Won

-2.5

Odds 1.70 59%

Head to head

Last 10 meetings
10 games

2

Once Caldas wins

3

Draws

5

Atletico Nacional wins

2.1

Goals / game

40%

Both scored

30%

Over 2.5

01 May 2026
Once Caldas
1-0
Atletico Nacional
22 Oct 2025
Atletico Nacional
2-0
Once Caldas
10 Oct 2025
Once Caldas
0-1
Atletico Nacional
12 Jul 2025
Once Caldas
1-3
Atletico Nacional
19 Jun 2025
Once Caldas
1-2
Atletico Nacional
02 Jun 2025
Atletico Nacional
0-0
Once Caldas
26 Jan 2025
Atletico Nacional
4-0
Once Caldas
27 Jul 2024
Once Caldas
2-0
Atletico Nacional
01 Feb 2024
Atletico Nacional
1-1
Once Caldas
17 Jul 2023
Once Caldas
1-1
Atletico Nacional

Copa Colombia table

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1
Deportivo Cali
4 4 0 0 10:2 8 12
2
Alianza Valledupar
4 2 1 1 6:3 3 7
3
Popayan
4 2 1 1 8:8 0 7
4
Bucaramanga
4 1 0 3 8:7 1 3
5
Real Santander
4 0 0 4 1:13 -12 0

Recent form

Once Caldas

5 W 4 D 1 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Atletico Nacional 1-1 D
H Águilas Doradas 1-0 W
A Santa Fe 0-2 W
H Alianza Valledupar 1-0 W
H Deportivo Pereira 1-1 D
A Millonarios 1-1 D
A Independiente Medellin 0-2 W
H Llaneros 1-0 W
A Internacional de Bogota 1-1 D
H Bucaramanga 1-3 L

Atletico Nacional

6 W 3 D 1 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Once Caldas 1-1 D
A Juventud Palmeiras 2-2 D
H Deportivo Pereira 4-3 W
A Bucaramanga 1-1 D
H Santa Fe 2-0 W
H Independiente Medellin 2-1 W
H Deportivo Pasto 3-0 W
A Cucuta 1-0 L
A Chico 1-4 W
H Independiente Medellin 3-2 W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.10

Once Caldas

1.05

xG

Match

1.05 – 1.05

Atletico Nacional

1.05

xG

Our tip model

12%
14%
74%

API-Football

10%
45%
45%

Bookmaker

39%
30%
30%
Once Caldas Draw Atletico Nacional

Most likely scores

1:1

16.7%

1:0

13.3%

0:0

12.5%

0:1

11.8%

2:1

10%

2:0

9.1%

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 74%
Over 2.5 goals 47%
Over 3.5 goals 27%
Both teams to score 55%

Team comparison

Once Caldas Atletico Nacional
50% Recent form 50%
47% Attack 53%
100% Defence 0%
20% Head-to-head 80%
27% Goals 73%
36% Overall 64%

Double chance : draw or Atletico Nacional

Season numbers

When the goals come

1
0-15'
1
2
16-30'
2
3
31-45'
3
0
46-60'
1
0
61-75'
1
3
76-90'
1
0
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
1
0
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
2
0
76-90'
0

Side by side

Once Caldas Atletico Nacional
4 Played 4
4 Won 4
0 Drawn 0
0 Lost 0
9 Goals for 10
0 Goals against 2
4 Clean sheets 3
0 Failed to score 0

What comes next

Once Caldas

Atletico Nacional (A) 12 Nov MID
Atletico Nacional (A) 17 Nov MID

Atletico Nacional

Once Caldas (H) 12 Nov MID
Juventud Palmeiras (H) 14 Nov MID
Once Caldas (H) 17 Nov MID

Betting markets

Odds · implied %
Over 1.5 1.36
74% implied
Under 1.5 3.00
33% implied
Over 2.5 2.15
47% implied
Under 2.5 1.67
60% implied
Over 3.5 3.75
27% implied
Under 3.5 1.25
80% implied
Over 0.5 1.07
93% implied
Under 0.5 9.00
11% implied
Over 4.5 9.00
11% implied
Under 4.5 1.07
93% implied
Over 5.5 19.00
5% implied
Under 5.5 1.02
98% implied
Over 6.5 41.00
2% implied
Under 6.5 1.00
Yes 1.83
55% implied
No 1.83
55% implied
Home/Draw 1.36
74% implied
Home/Away 1.36
74% implied
Draw/Away 1.62
62% implied
1:0 7.50
13% implied
2:0 11.00
9% implied
2:1 10.00
10% implied
3:0 23.00
4% implied
3:1 21.00
5% implied
3:2 34.00
3% implied
4:0 51.00
2% implied
4:1 41.00
2% implied
0:0 8.00
13% implied
1:1 6.00
17% implied
2:2 15.00
7% implied
0:1 8.50
12% implied
0:2 15.00
7% implied
0:3 34.00
3% implied
1:2 12.00
8% implied
1:3 26.00
4% implied
2:3 41.00
2% implied
3:3 51.00
2% implied
0:4 67.00
1% implied
1:4 51.00
2% implied
2:4 81.00
1% implied
4:2 67.00
1% implied
0:5 201.00
1:5 151.00
1% implied
Home/Draw 15.00
7% implied
Home/Away 29.00
3% implied
Draw/Away 5.50
18% implied
Draw/Draw 4.75
21% implied
Home/Home 4.75
21% implied
Draw/Home 6.50
15% implied
Away/Home 29.00
3% implied
Away/Draw 15.00
7% implied
Away/Away 4.00
25% implied
Home -1.25 4.25
24% implied
Away -1.25 1.21
83% implied
Home -1 3.70
27% implied
Away -1 1.26
79% implied
Home -0.75 2.75
36% implied
Away -0.75 1.42
70% implied
Home -0.5 2.30
43% implied
Away -0.5 1.60
63% implied
Home -0.25 2.05
49% implied
Away -0.25 1.75
57% implied
Home +0 1.65
61% implied
Away +0 2.20
45% implied
Home +0.25 1.45
69% implied
Away +0.25 2.68
37% implied
Home +0.5 1.35
74% implied
Away +0.5 3.10
32% implied
Home +0.75 1.24
81% implied
Away +0.75 3.90
26% implied
Home +1 1.13
88% implied
Away +1 5.90
17% implied
Home -1.75 6.25
16% implied
Away -1.75 1.12
89% implied
Home -1.5 4.65
22% implied
Away -1.5 1.18
85% implied
Over 9.5 1.83
55% implied
Under 9.5 1.83
55% implied

Once Caldas vs Atletico Nacional: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Double Chance: X2 (1.36 odds).

Once Caldas are rated 12% by our tip model, with the draw at 14% and Atletico Nacional at 74%.

In the last 10 meetings they averaged 2.1 goals per game, with BTTS in 40% and over 2.5 in 30%.

Double chance : draw or Atletico Nacional

Once Caldas vs Atletico Nacional FAQs

What is the best prediction for Once Caldas vs Atletico Nacional?

Our top tip is Double Chance: X2 (1.36 odds).

Who will win Once Caldas vs Atletico Nacional?

Model lean: Once Caldas 12%, draw 14%, Atletico Nacional 74%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 40% of the last 10 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 2.1 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 30% of the time.

When is Once Caldas vs Atletico Nacional?

Wednesday, 11th November 2026 at 01:30 UTC , Estadio Palogrande.

More Copa Colombia predictions

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Written by

Matoski

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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