Joinville vs Hercílio Luz

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Joinville arrive in strong form (WWWLW) and are well-fancied to back 1X against Hercílio Luz, with our model giving this a 71% probability at odds of 1.40.

Brazil: Copa Santa Catarina
Sat, 7th Nov, 2026 Semi-finals
Joinville

Joinville

W W W L W
FT
0 - 1
Hercílio Luz

Hercílio Luz

W L W D W
57' Red Card
70' Red Card
85' Normal Goal
Prediction: 1X (1.40 Odds) Lost
Double Chance 71% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 3.40

Joinville

1.90

1.90 – 1.50

Hercílio Luz

1.50

Joinville

2.30

39% implied

Draw

3.40

26% implied

Hercílio Luz

2.60

35% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

Double Chance Lost

1X

Odds 1.40 71%

Head to head

Last 8 meetings
8 games

0

Joinville wins

2

Draws

6

Hercílio Luz wins

2.6

Goals / game

63%

Both scored

50%

Over 2.5

12 Sep 2026
Joinville
1-3
Hercílio Luz
13 Feb 2025
Hercílio Luz
2-1
Joinville
19 Oct 2024
Joinville
1-2
Hercílio Luz
02 Feb 2024
Hercílio Luz
1-1
Joinville
22 Oct 2023
Hercílio Luz
1-0
Joinville
26 Feb 2023
Hercílio Luz
1-0
Joinville
03 Feb 2022
Joinville
0-0
Hercílio Luz
22 Apr 2021
Hercílio Luz
4-3
Joinville

Recent form

Joinville

5 W 0 D 5 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Hercílio Luz 0-1 L
H Metropolitano 3-0 W
A Figueirense 1-0 L
A Santa Catarina 0-3 W
H Barra 2-1 W
A Nação 0-4 W
H Hercílio Luz 1-3 L
H Blumenau 1-0 W
A Marcílio Dias 4-2 L
A São Luiz 3-1 L

Hercílio Luz

7 W 1 D 2 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Joinville 0-1 W
A Santa Catarina 2-3 W
H Blumenau 0-0 D
H Barra 2-0 W
A Figueirense 1-0 L
H Nação 2-1 W
A Marcílio Dias 4-2 L
A Joinville 1-3 W
H Metropolitano 4-2 W
A Nação 1-2 W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 3.40

Joinville

1.90

xG

Match

1.90 – 1.50

Hercílio Luz

1.50

xG

Our tip model

71%
16%
13%

API-Football

45%
45%
10%

Bookmaker

39%
26%
35%
Joinville Draw Hercílio Luz

Most likely scores

1:1

14.3%

1:0

13.3%

0:0

11.8%

0:1

11.1%

2:0

10%

2:1

9.1%

Goal lines

Over 2.5 goals 48%

Team comparison

Joinville Hercílio Luz
55% Recent form 45%
63% Attack 37%
67% Defence 33%
61% Poisson 39%
7% Head-to-head 93%
31% Goals 69%
47% Overall 53%

Double chance : Joinville or draw

Season numbers

When the goals come

2
0-15'
2
1
16-30'
3
2
31-45'
2
2
46-60'
4
2
61-75'
3
0
76-90'
3
2
0-15'
2
2
16-30'
1
2
31-45'
4
1
46-60'
1
0
61-75'
2
2
76-90'
1

Side by side

Joinville Hercílio Luz
8 Played 8
5 Won 5
0 Drawn 1
3 Lost 2
16 Goals for 16
9 Goals against 11
4 Clean sheets 2
1 Failed to score 2

What comes next

Joinville

Hercílio Luz (A) 15 Nov MID

Hercílio Luz

Joinville (H) 15 Nov MID

Betting markets

Odds · implied %
Over 2.5 2.08
48% implied
Under 2.5 1.73
58% implied
Home/Draw 1.40
71% implied
Home/Away 1.25
80% implied
Draw/Away 1.50
67% implied
1:0 7.50
13% implied
2:0 10.00
10% implied
2:1 11.00
9% implied
3:0 19.00
5% implied
3:1 21.00
5% implied
3:2 34.00
3% implied
4:0 34.00
3% implied
4:1 41.00
2% implied
0:0 8.50
12% implied
1:1 7.00
14% implied
2:2 19.00
5% implied
0:1 9.00
11% implied
0:2 15.00
7% implied
0:3 29.00
3% implied
1:2 13.00
8% implied
1:3 26.00
4% implied
2:3 41.00
2% implied
3:3 51.00
2% implied
0:4 51.00
2% implied
1:4 51.00
2% implied
2:4 67.00
1% implied
4:2 51.00
2% implied
0:5 81.00
1% implied
5:0 67.00
1% implied
Home/Draw 17.00
6% implied
Home/Away 29.00
3% implied
Draw/Away 6.50
15% implied
Draw/Draw 5.00
20% implied
Home/Home 3.75
27% implied
Draw/Home 6.00
17% implied
Away/Home 29.00
3% implied
Away/Draw 17.00
6% implied
Away/Away 4.33
23% implied
Home -0.25 1.90
53% implied
Away -0.25 1.90
53% implied
Home +0 1.78
56% implied
Away +0 2.02
50% implied
Over 9.5 2.00
50% implied
Under 9.5 1.73
58% implied

Joinville vs Hercílio Luz: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Double Chance: 1X (1.40 odds).

Joinville are rated 71% by our tip model, with the draw at 16% and Hercílio Luz at 13%.

In the last 8 meetings they averaged 2.6 goals per game, with BTTS in 63% and over 2.5 in 50%.

Double chance : Joinville or draw

Joinville vs Hercílio Luz FAQs

What is the best prediction for Joinville vs Hercílio Luz?

Our top tip is Double Chance: 1X (1.40 odds).

Who will win Joinville vs Hercílio Luz?

Model lean: Joinville 71%, draw 16%, Hercílio Luz 13%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 63% of the last 8 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 2.6 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 50% of the time.

When is Joinville vs Hercílio Luz?

Saturday, 7th November 2026 at 18:00 UTC .

M

Written by

Matoski

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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