Alvarado vs Sarmiento de La Banda

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Alvarado and Sarmiento de La Banda enter this one evenly matched on recent form, so we're leaning on no at odds of 1.57 (64% probability) to edge the Torneo Federal A clash.

Argentina: Torneo Federal A
Sun, 15th Nov, 2026 Quarter-finals
Alvarado

Alvarado

5th in table

L D W L L
NS
VS
Sarmiento de La Banda

Sarmiento de La Banda

13th in table

D D W L W
Prediction: no (1.57 Odds)
BTTS/GG 64% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.40

Alvarado

1.75

1.75 – 0.65

Sarmiento de La Banda

0.65

Estadio Jose Maria Minella, Mar del Plata

Alvarado

1.50

59% implied

Draw

3.40

26% implied

Sarmiento de La Banda

6.00

15% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

Home Win Free

1

Odds 1.50 67%
BTTS/GG Free

no

Odds 1.57 64%
Free Tip Free

1

Odds 1.60 63%
2.5 Goals Free

-2.5

Odds 1.62 62%

Head to head

Last 1 meetings
1 games

0

Alvarado wins

0

Draws

1

Sarmiento de La Banda wins

1

Goals / game

0%

Both scored

0%

Over 2.5

08 Nov 2026
Sarmiento de La Banda
1-0
Alvarado

Torneo Federal A table

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1
Olimpo Bahia Blanca
16 8 7 1 13:4 9 31
2
Douglas Haig
18 9 4 5 22:15 7 31
3
Sportivo Belgrano
18 7 9 2 21:9 12 30
4
San Martin Formosa
16 9 3 4 25:19 6 30
5
Alvarado
16 7 6 3 19:7 12 27
6
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
18 7 6 5 17:12 5 27
7
Defensores de Belgrano VR
18 7 6 5 24:20 4 27
8
Kimberley Mar del Plata
16 6 8 2 15:9 6 26
9
Bartolomé Mitre
16 7 5 4 13:7 6 26
10
Sol de América
16 8 2 6 19:14 5 26
11
Juventud Antoniana
16 7 4 5 19:11 8 25
12
Cipolletti
16 7 4 5 19:15 4 25
13
Sarmiento de La Banda
16 7 4 5 17:15 2 25
14
9 de Julio Rafaela
18 7 4 7 28:27 1 25
15
Sportivo Las Parejas
18 5 9 4 12:13 -1 24
16
Villa Mitre
16 5 8 3 14:8 6 23
17
Argentino Monte Maíz
16 5 8 3 16:12 4 23
18
Atenas
16 6 5 5 12:13 -1 23
19
Huracan Las Heras
16 6 5 5 11:13 -2 23
20
Atletico Escobar
18 6 4 8 21:29 -8 22
21
Fundacion Amigos
16 4 9 3 17:14 3 21
22
Deportivo Rincon
16 5 4 7 13:16 -3 19
23
San Martín Mendoza
16 4 7 5 11:15 -4 19
24
Defensores de Vilelas
16 6 1 9 21:26 -5 19
25
Independiente De Chivilcoy
18 4 7 7 15:22 -7 19
26
El Linqueño
18 5 4 9 14:21 -7 19
27
Costa Brava
16 4 6 6 12:13 -1 18
28
Sol de Mayo
16 4 6 6 15:18 -3 18
29
Boca Unidos
16 5 3 8 19:25 -6 18
30
Germinal de Rawson
16 4 6 6 7:14 -7 18
31
Juventud Unida Univ.
16 3 8 5 10:10 0 17
32
Tucuman Central
16 5 2 9 14:19 -5 17
33
Gimnasia Concepción
18 4 5 9 12:18 -6 17
34
Guillermo Brown
16 4 5 7 13:20 -7 17
35
Sarmiento Resistencia
16 3 6 7 12:23 -11 15
36
Santamarina
16 2 7 7 9:17 -8 13
37
Circulo Deportivo
16 2 7 7 8:16 -8 13

Top scorers

Torneo Federal A
# Player Team Goals
1
Imanol Iriberri
Circulo Deportivo
3
2
E. Gutiérrez
Sarmiento de La Banda
2
3
Francisco Gramajo
Tucuman Central
0
4
Raul Villarreal
Atletico Escobar
0

Recent form

Alvarado

3 W 3 D 4 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Sarmiento de La Banda 1-0 L
H Sportivo Las Parejas 1-2 L
A Sportivo Las Parejas 0-1 W
H Cipolletti 0-0 D
A Cipolletti 1-0 L
H Defensores de Belgrano VR 2-0 W
A Defensores de Belgrano VR 2-2 D
H Olimpo Bahia Blanca 1-1 D
A Cipolletti 1-0 L
H Atenas 3-2 W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.40

Alvarado

1.75

xG

Match

1.75 – 0.65

Sarmiento de La Banda

0.65

xG

Our tip model

10%
45%
45%

API-Football

10%
45%
45%

Bookmaker

59%
26%
15%
Alvarado Draw Sarmiento de La Banda

Most likely scores

1:0

20%

2:0

14.3%

1:1

13.3%

0:0

12.5%

2:1

11.8%

3:0

8.3%

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 71%
Over 2.5 goals 44%
Over 3.5 goals 23%
Both teams to score 44%

Team comparison

Alvarado Sarmiento de La Banda
33% Recent form 67%
22% Attack 78%
56% Defence 44%
83% Poisson 17%
0% Head-to-head 100%
0% Goals 100%
49% Overall 52%

Double chance : draw or Sarmiento de La Banda

Season numbers

When the goals come

8
0-15'
0
4
16-30'
1
4
31-45'
8
6
46-60'
9
6
61-75'
4
8
76-90'
5
3
0-15'
4
2
16-30'
6
0
31-45'
7
5
46-60'
6
4
61-75'
7
3
76-90'
6

Side by side

Alvarado Sarmiento de La Banda
31 Played 29
13 Won 10
11 Drawn 8
7 Lost 11
35 Goals for 30
18 Goals against 34
18 Clean sheets 14
12 Failed to score 9

What comes next

Alvarado

Sarmiento de La Banda (H) 15 Nov MID

Sarmiento de La Banda

Alvarado (A) 15 Nov HARD

Betting markets

Odds · implied %
Over 1.5 1.40
71% implied
Under 1.5 2.75
36% implied
Over 2.5 2.25
44% implied
Under 2.5 1.62
62% implied
Over 3.5 4.33
23% implied
Under 3.5 1.20
83% implied
Over 0.5 1.06
94% implied
Under 0.5 8.00
13% implied
Over 4.5 7.50
13% implied
Under 4.5 1.07
93% implied
Over 5.5 12.00
8% implied
Under 5.5 1.01
99% implied
Over 6.5 21.00
5% implied
Under 6.5 1.00
Yes 2.25
44% implied
No 1.57
64% implied Our tip
Home/Draw 1.08
93% implied
Home/Away 1.25
80% implied
Draw/Away 2.30
43% implied
1:0 5.00
20% implied
2:0 7.00
14% implied
2:1 8.50
12% implied
3:0 12.00
8% implied
3:1 17.00
6% implied
3:2 34.00
3% implied
4:0 23.00
4% implied
4:1 34.00
3% implied
0:0 8.00
13% implied
1:1 7.50
13% implied
2:2 21.00
5% implied
0:1 13.00
8% implied
0:2 29.00
3% implied
0:3 67.00
1% implied
1:2 21.00
5% implied
1:3 51.00
2% implied
2:3 51.00
2% implied
3:3 81.00
1% implied
0:4 151.00
1% implied
1:4 151.00
1% implied
2:4 151.00
1% implied
4:2 51.00
2% implied
5:0 51.00
2% implied
5:1 51.00
2% implied
Home/Draw 19.00
5% implied
Home/Away 51.00
2% implied
Draw/Away 11.00
9% implied
Draw/Draw 5.00
20% implied
Home/Home 2.50
40% implied
Draw/Home 4.00
25% implied
Away/Home 26.00
4% implied
Away/Draw 19.00
5% implied
Away/Away 9.50
11% implied
Home -1.25 2.50
40% implied
Away -1.25 1.50
67% implied
Home -1 2.10
48% implied
Away -1 1.70
59% implied
Home -0.75 1.78
56% implied
Away -0.75 2.02
50% implied
Home -0.5 1.58
63% implied
Away -0.5 2.35
43% implied
Home -0.25 1.40
71% implied
Away -0.25 2.85
35% implied
Home +0 1.20
83% implied
Away +0 4.40
23% implied
Home +0.25 1.17
85% implied
Away +0.25 5.00
20% implied
Home +0.5 1.14
88% implied
Away +0.5 5.75
17% implied
Home -2 5.25
19% implied
Away -2 1.16
86% implied
Home -1.75 3.55
28% implied
Away -1.75 1.27
79% implied
Home -1.5 2.85
35% implied
Away -1.5 1.40
71% implied
Home +1.5 1.02
98% implied
Away +1.5 17.00
6% implied
Over 8.5 1.67
60% implied
Under 8.5 2.10
48% implied
Over 9 1.95
51% implied
Under 9 1.85
54% implied

Alvarado vs Sarmiento de La Banda: preview and prediction

Our top tip is BTTS/GG: no (1.57 odds).

Alvarado are rated 10% by our tip model, with the draw at 45% and Sarmiento de La Banda at 45%.

In the last 1 meetings they averaged 1 goals per game, with BTTS in 0% and over 2.5 in 0%.

Double chance : draw or Sarmiento de La Banda

Alvarado vs Sarmiento de La Banda FAQs

What is the best prediction for Alvarado vs Sarmiento de La Banda?

Our top tip is BTTS/GG: no (1.57 odds).

Who will win Alvarado vs Sarmiento de La Banda?

Model lean: Alvarado 10%, draw 45%, Sarmiento de La Banda 45%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 0% of the last 1 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 1 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 0% of the time.

When is Alvarado vs Sarmiento de La Banda?

Sunday, 15th November 2026 at 19:00 UTC , Estadio Jose Maria Minella.

More Torneo Federal A predictions

J

Written by

Joshua J

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

Quick Links