Mercedes vs Leones de Rosario

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Mercedes and Leones de Rosario enter this one evenly matched on recent form, so we're leaning on 1X at odds of 1.57 (64% probability) to edge the Primera C clash.

Argentina: Primera C
Sat, 17th Oct, 2026 Round of 16
Mercedes

Mercedes

5th in table

D W W D W
FT
2 - 1
Leones de Rosario

Leones de Rosario

D D L W W
34' G. Britos
45' E. Daniele
48' L. Amado
89' M. Benitez
90' J. Cruz Vera Borda
Prediction: 1X (1.57 Odds) Won
Double Chance 64% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 1.65

Mercedes

0.90

0.90 – 0.75

Leones de Rosario

0.75

Mercedes

3.40

26% implied

Draw

2.80

32% implied

Leones de Rosario

2.15

42% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

Double Chance Won

1X

Odds 1.57 64%

Primera C table

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1
Berazategui
32 13 12 7 40:24 16 51
2
Sacachispas
32 14 8 10 33:26 7 50
3
Estrella Del Sur
32 12 12 8 33:30 3 48
4
Centro Español
32 12 11 9 43:30 13 47
5
Mercedes
32 12 11 9 31:24 7 47
6
Victoriano Arenas
32 11 14 7 26:19 7 47
7
Lugano
32 11 13 8 35:29 6 46
8
Juventud Unida
32 12 9 11 39:33 6 45
9
Puerto Nuevo
32 10 11 11 30:36 -6 41
10
Defensores de Cambaceres
32 9 9 14 25:34 -9 36
11
JJ Urquiza
32 7 14 11 21:26 -5 35
12
Deportivo Paraguayo
32 7 11 14 23:41 -18 32
13
Leandro N. Alem
32 8 7 17 30:58 -28 31
14
Argentino Rosario
32 4 15 13 30:42 -12 27

Recent form

Mercedes

5 W 2 D 3 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Leones de Rosario 2-1 W
H Lugano 1-0 W
A Deportivo Paraguayo 1-1 D
H Puerto Nuevo 1-0 W
A Leandro N. Alem 0-1 W
H Deportivo Español 1-1 D
H Defensores de Cambaceres 0-3 L
A Juventud Unida 4-1 L
H Sacachispas 2-0 W
A Claypole 1-0 L

Leones de Rosario

5 W 2 D 3 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Sportivo Barracas 4-1 L
A Mercedes 2-1 L
H Fénix 2-1 W
A Sportivo Barracas 0-2 W
H Lujan 0-1 L
A General Lamadrid 1-1 D
A Lugano 0-0 D
A Yupanqui 0-1 W
H Atletico Atlas 1-0 W
H Deportivo Muñiz 2-1 W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 1.65

Mercedes

0.90

xG

Match

0.90 – 0.75

Leones de Rosario

0.75

xG

Our tip model

64%
20%
16%

API-Football

45%
45%
10%

Bookmaker

26%
32%
42%
Mercedes Draw Leones de Rosario

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 0%
Over 2.5 goals 0%
Over 3.5 goals 0%
Both teams to score 0%

Team comparison

Mercedes Leones de Rosario
58% Recent form 42%
50% Attack 50%
60% Defence 40%
56% Poisson 44%
56% Overall 44%

Combo Double chance : Mercedes or draw and -3.5 goals

Season numbers

When the goals come

3
0-15'
8
3
16-30'
4
4
31-45'
5
8
46-60'
4
4
61-75'
6
5
76-90'
4
3
0-15'
6
5
16-30'
2
4
31-45'
4
4
46-60'
4
3
61-75'
2
9
76-90'
7

Side by side

Mercedes Leones de Rosario
32 Played 32
12 Won 13
11 Drawn 12
9 Lost 7
31 Goals for 31
24 Goals against 25
16 Clean sheets 15
11 Failed to score 11

What comes next

Leones de Rosario

Sportivo Barracas (H) 16 Nov MID

Mercedes vs Leones de Rosario: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Double Chance: 1X (1.57 odds).

Mercedes are rated 64% by our tip model, with the draw at 20% and Leones de Rosario at 16%.

Combo Double chance : Mercedes or draw and -3.5 goals

Mercedes vs Leones de Rosario FAQs

What is the best prediction for Mercedes vs Leones de Rosario?

Our top tip is Double Chance: 1X (1.57 odds).

Who will win Mercedes vs Leones de Rosario?

Model lean: Mercedes 64%, draw 20%, Leones de Rosario 16%.

When is Mercedes vs Leones de Rosario?

Saturday, 17th October 2026 at 19:30 UTC .

M

Written by

Matoski

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

Quick Links