Derry City vs Waterford

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Derry City and Waterford enter this one evenly matched on recent form, so we're leaning on X2 at odds of 1.83 (55% probability) to edge the FAI Cup clash.

Ireland: FAI Cup
Sun, 8th Nov, 2026 Final
Derry City

Derry City

W W W W
FT
1 - 0
Waterford

Waterford

W W W W
50' K. Long
69' D. Burns
80' E. Chapman
86' C. Dummigan
90+2' N. Mawene
Prediction: X2 (1.83 Odds) Lost
Double Chance 55% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 3.30

Derry City

1.80

1.80 – 1.50

Waterford

1.50

Aviva Stadium, Dublin

Derry City

1.85

48% implied

Draw

3.30

27% implied

Waterford

3.50

25% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

3 5 Goals Won

-3.5

Odds 1.40 71%
Double Chance Lost

X2

Odds 1.83 55%

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9 games

4

Derry City wins

2

Draws

3

Waterford wins

4.3

Goals / game

89%

Both scored

89%

Over 2.5

14 Sep 2026
Waterford
2-2
Derry City
03 Jul 2026
Derry City
2-4
Waterford
15 May 2026
Waterford
2-2
Derry City
27 Feb 2026
Derry City
4-2
Waterford
17 Oct 2025
Waterford
1-2
Derry City
04 Jul 2025
Derry City
7-2
Waterford
25 Apr 2025
Waterford
2-1
Derry City
28 Feb 2025
Derry City
1-2
Waterford
23 Aug 2024
Waterford
0-1
Derry City

Recent form

Derry City

7 W 2 D 1 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Waterford 1-0 W
A Sligo Rovers 2-2 D
H Dundalk 2-1 W
H St Patrick's Athl. 1-0 W
A Drogheda United 2-0 L
A Galway United 0-2 W
H Galway United 1-0 W
A Waterford 2-2 D
A Shelbourne 0-1 W
H Dundalk 4-2 W

Waterford

5 W 2 D 3 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Derry City 1-0 L
A Shelbourne 2-3 W
H Drogheda United 3-1 W
H Galway United 3-2 W
A Bohemians 2-1 L
A Bohemians 0-2 W
A Shamrock Rovers 3-2 L
H Derry City 2-2 D
H Dundalk 1-1 D
H Sligo Rovers 3-0 W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 3.30

Derry City

1.80

xG

Match

1.80 – 1.50

Waterford

1.50

xG

Our tip model

20%
25%
55%

API-Football

10%
45%
45%

Bookmaker

48%
27%
25%
Derry City Draw Waterford

Most likely scores

1:1

14.3%

2:1

11.1%

1:0

10.5%

2:0

9.1%

1:2

8.3%

0:0

7.7%

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 82%
Over 2.5 goals 59%
Over 3.5 goals 38%
Both teams to score 62%

Team comparison

Derry City Waterford
50% Recent form 50%
55% Attack 45%
40% Defence 60%
0% Poisson 100%
62% Head-to-head 38%
52% Goals 48%
52% Overall 48%

Double chance : draw or Waterford

Season numbers

When the goals come

1
0-15'
1
3
16-30'
1
2
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
4
1
61-75'
0
3
76-90'
2
1
0-15'
1
1
16-30'
1
0
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
1
0
61-75'
0
2
76-90'
0

Side by side

Derry City Waterford
4 Played 4
4 Won 4
0 Drawn 0
0 Lost 0
11 Goals for 9
3 Goals against 2
2 Clean sheets 2
0 Failed to score 0

Betting markets

Odds · implied %
Over 1.5 1.22
82% implied
Under 1.5 4.00
25% implied
Over 2.5 1.70
59% implied
Under 2.5 2.10
48% implied
Over 3.5 2.62
38% implied
Under 3.5 1.44
69% implied
Over 0.5 1.04
96% implied
Under 0.5 9.00
11% implied
Over 4.5 4.50
22% implied
Under 4.5 1.17
85% implied
Over 7.5 17.00
6% implied
Under 7.5 1.00
Over 5.5 8.00
13% implied
Under 5.5 1.06
94% implied
Over 6.5 12.00
8% implied
Under 6.5 1.01
99% implied
Yes 1.62
62% implied
No 2.20
45% implied
Home/Draw 1.28
78% implied
Home/Away 1.25
80% implied
Draw/Away 1.67
60% implied
1:0 9.50
11% implied
2:0 11.00
9% implied
2:1 9.00
11% implied
3:0 19.00
5% implied
3:1 15.00
7% implied
3:2 23.00
4% implied
4:0 34.00
3% implied
4:1 34.00
3% implied
0:0 13.00
8% implied
1:1 7.00
14% implied
2:2 13.00
8% implied
0:1 13.00
8% implied
0:2 19.00
5% implied
0:3 34.00
3% implied
1:2 12.00
8% implied
1:3 23.00
4% implied
2:3 29.00
3% implied
3:3 41.00
2% implied
0:4 67.00
1% implied
1:4 51.00
2% implied
2:4 51.00
2% implied
4:2 41.00
2% implied
0:5 151.00
1% implied
2:5 151.00
1% implied
Home/Draw 13.00
8% implied
Home/Away 34.00
3% implied
Draw/Away 8.00
13% implied
Draw/Draw 6.00
17% implied
Home/Home 3.10
32% implied
Draw/Home 5.50
18% implied
Away/Home 23.00
4% implied
Away/Draw 15.00
7% implied
Away/Away 5.50
18% implied
Home -1.25 3.30
30% implied
Away -1.25 1.32
76% implied
Home -1 3.00
33% implied
Away -1 1.38
72% implied
Home -0.75 2.38
42% implied
Away -0.75 1.55
65% implied
Home -0.5 2.05
49% implied
Away -0.5 1.62
62% implied
Home -0.25 1.78
56% implied
Away -0.25 2.02
50% implied
Home +0 1.52
66% implied
Away +0 2.42
41% implied
Home +0.25 1.40
71% implied
Away +0.25 2.85
35% implied
Home +0.5 1.30
77% implied
Away +0.5 3.00
33% implied
Home +0.75 1.23
81% implied
Away +0.75 4.00
25% implied
Home -2 6.80
15% implied
Away -2 1.10
91% implied
Home +1 1.13
88% implied
Away +1 5.90
17% implied
Home -1.75 4.50
22% implied
Away -1.75 1.19
84% implied
Over 10 1.82
55% implied
Under 10 1.98
51% implied

Derry City vs Waterford: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Double Chance: X2 (1.83 odds).

Derry City are rated 20% by our tip model, with the draw at 25% and Waterford at 55%.

In the last 9 meetings they averaged 4.3 goals per game, with BTTS in 89% and over 2.5 in 89%.

Double chance : draw or Waterford

Derry City vs Waterford FAQs

What is the best prediction for Derry City vs Waterford?

Our top tip is Double Chance: X2 (1.83 odds).

Who will win Derry City vs Waterford?

Model lean: Derry City 20%, draw 25%, Waterford 55%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 89% of the last 9 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 4.3 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 89% of the time.

When is Derry City vs Waterford?

Sunday, 8th November 2026 at 15:00 UTC , Aviva Stadium.

M

Written by

Matoski

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

Quick Links