Penafiel vs Leça

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Penafiel and Leça enter this one evenly matched on recent form, so we're leaning on X2 at odds of 2.00 (50% probability) to edge the Taça de Portugal clash.

Portugal: Taça de Portugal

Sat, 17th Oct, 2026 | | Round of 64

Penafiel

0 - 1

Leça

28' Yellow Card

39' David Rebelo

73' Yellow Card

86' Yellow Card

90+1' Yellow Card

Prediction: X2 (2.00 Odds) Won

Double Chance 50% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 1.10

Penafiel

0.05

0.05 – 1.05

Leça

1.05

Estadio Municipal 25 de Abril, Penafiel

Penafiel

1.67

54% implied

Draw

3.75

24% implied

Leça

4.00

22% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

2.5 Goals Lost

+2.5

Odds 1.75 57%

Double Chance Won

Odds 2.00 50%

Recent form

Penafiel

7 W 1 D 2 L in the last 10

Scored Conceded

A Chaves 2-3 W

H Feirense 1-0 W

A Farense 1-4 W

H Leça 0-1 L

H AVS 1-2 L

H Deportivo La Coruna 2-2 D

A Oliveirense 1-2 W

A Felgueiras 1932 1-2 W

H Academica 4-1 W

A FC Porto B 0-3 W

Leça

6 W 1 D 3 L in the last 10

Scored Conceded

A Vianense 0-0 D

H Varzim 2-0 W

A Pacos Ferreira 1-0 L

A Penafiel 0-1 W

H AD Marco 09 2-0 W

A Mortágua 0-2 W

A Trofense 1-4 W

H Fafe 0-3 L

A Paredes 1-2 W

A Guimaraes B 2-0 L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 1.10

Penafiel

0.05

Match

0.05 – 1.05

Leça

1.05

Our tip model

22%

28%

50%

API-Football

10%

45%

Bookmaker

54%

24%

22%

Penafiel Draw Leça

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 0%

Over 2.5 goals 0%

Over 3.5 goals 0%

Both teams to score 0%

Team comparison

Penafiel Leça

50% Recent form 50%

50% Attack 50%

0% Defence 100%

50% Overall 50%

Double chance : draw or Leça

Season numbers

When the goals come

0-15'

16-30'

31-45'

46-60'

61-75'

76-90'

0-15'

16-30'

31-45'

46-60'

61-75'

76-90'

Side by side

Penafiel Leça

1 Played 1

1 Won 1

0 Drawn 0

0 Lost 0

2 Goals for 2

1 Goals against 0

0 Clean sheets 1

0 Failed to score 0

What comes next

Penafiel

Lusitânia Lourosa (H) 15 Nov MID

Benfica B (H) 29 Nov MID

Tondela (A) 05 Dec MID

Leixoes (H) 12 Dec MID

Leça

União de Leiria (A) 22 Nov MID

São João Ver (A) 29 Nov MID

Guimaraes B (H) 06 Dec MID

Paredes (H) 12 Dec MID

Penafiel vs Leça: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Double Chance: X2 (2.00 odds).

Penafiel are rated 22% by our tip model, with the draw at 28% and Leça at 50%.

Double chance : draw or Leça

Penafiel vs Leça FAQs

What is the best prediction for Penafiel vs Leça?

Our top tip is Double Chance: X2 (2.00 odds).

Who will win Penafiel vs Leça?

Model lean: Penafiel 22%, draw 28%, Leça 50%.

When is Penafiel vs Leça?

Saturday, 17th October 2026 at 19:00 UTC , Estadio Municipal 25 de Abril.

Match Preview

Penafiel and Leça enter this one evenly matched on recent form, so we're leaning on X2 at odds of 2.00 (50% probability) to edge the Taça de Portugal clash.

Match Info Summary

Teams: Penafiel vs Leça

Date: Sat, Oct 17, 2026

Time: 19:00 UTC

Venue: Estadio Municipal 25 de Abril, Penafiel

Check our prediction page now to see the complete Penafiel vs Leça prediction, analysis, and odds for today.

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Written by

Sam M

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

Penafiel vs Leça

All our tips for this match

Recent form

Penafiel

Leça

Who wins? Three ways to read it

Expected Goals (xG)

Goal lines

Team comparison

Season numbers

When the goals come

Side by side

What comes next

Penafiel vs Leça: preview and prediction

Penafiel vs Leça FAQs

Match Preview

Match Info Summary

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