Chaves vs Os Marialvas

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Chaves and Os Marialvas enter this one evenly matched on recent form, so we're leaning on X2 at odds of 3.75 (27% probability) to edge the Taça de Portugal clash.

Portugal: Taça de Portugal
Fri, 16th Oct, 2026 Round of 64
Chaves

Chaves

W
FT
2 - 1
Os Marialvas

Os Marialvas

W W
8' Yellow Card
12' Yellow Card
14' Roberto
25' Yellow Card
25' Yellow Card
51' Yellow Card
53' Y. Sonhi
70' G. Garcia
77' Yellow Card
90+3' Yellow Card
Prediction: X2 (3.75 Odds) Lost
Double Chance 27% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 1.35

Chaves

0.05

0.05 – 1.30

Os Marialvas

1.30

Estadio Municipal de Chaves, Chaves

Chaves

1.33

66% implied

Draw

4.33

20% implied

Os Marialvas

6.50

14% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

Double Chance Lost

X2

Odds 3.75 27%

Recent form

Chaves

4 W 1 D 5 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Penafiel 2-3 L
A Benfica B 3-1 L
H Vizela 2-1 W
H Os Marialvas 2-1 W
A Lusitânia Lourosa 1-1 D
A Farense 4-0 L
H Vitória SC 0-1 L
A Guarda 2-3 W
H Feirense 1-0 W
A Felgueiras 1932 2-1 L

Os Marialvas

7 W 1 D 2 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Benfica Castelo Branco 0-3 W
H UD da Serra 2-1 W
A Fazendense 1-2 W
A Chaves 2-1 L
H Sertanense 0-0 D
A Ovarense 0-1 W
A Nazarenos 0-3 W
H Fátima 3-0 W
A AD Fornos Algodres 0-4 W
H Oliveira Hospital 1-2 L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 1.35

Chaves

0.05

xG

Match

0.05 – 1.30

Os Marialvas

1.30

xG

Our tip model

33%
40%
27%

API-Football

50%
50%

Bookmaker

66%
20%
14%
Chaves Draw Os Marialvas

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 0%
Over 2.5 goals 0%
Over 3.5 goals 0%
Both teams to score 0%

Team comparison

Chaves Os Marialvas
33% Recent form 67%
38% Attack 63%
0% Defence 100%
36% Overall 65%

Combo Double chance : draw or Os Marialvas and +1.5 goals

Season numbers

When the goals come

2
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
1
1
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
0
0
76-90'
0
0
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
0
2
61-75'
0
0
76-90'
0

Side by side

Chaves Os Marialvas
1 Played 2
1 Won 2
0 Drawn 0
0 Lost 0
3 Goals for 5
2 Goals against 0
0 Clean sheets 2
0 Failed to score 0

What comes next

Chaves

Leixoes (A) 15 Nov MID
Maritimo (A) 21 Nov MID
Tondela (H) 28 Nov MID
União de Leiria (A) 07 Dec MID

Os Marialvas

Naval 1893 (H) 28 Nov MID
FC Alverca II (A) 06 Dec MID
AD Nogueirense (H) 13 Dec MID
Mortágua (A) 20 Dec MID

Chaves vs Os Marialvas: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Double Chance: X2 (3.75 odds).

Chaves are rated 33% by our tip model, with the draw at 40% and Os Marialvas at 27%.

Combo Double chance : draw or Os Marialvas and +1.5 goals

Chaves vs Os Marialvas FAQs

What is the best prediction for Chaves vs Os Marialvas?

Our top tip is Double Chance: X2 (3.75 odds).

Who will win Chaves vs Os Marialvas?

Model lean: Chaves 33%, draw 40%, Os Marialvas 27%.

When is Chaves vs Os Marialvas?

Friday, 16th October 2026 at 19:00 UTC , Estadio Municipal de Chaves.

S

Written by

Sam M

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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