Navalcarnero vs Real Murcia

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Navalcarnero and Real Murcia enter this one evenly matched on recent form, so we're leaning on 1X at odds of 1.73 (58% probability) to edge the Copa Federacion clash.

Spain: Copa Federacion
Wed, 30th Sep, 2026 Quarter-finals
Navalcarnero

Navalcarnero

W W
FT
3 - 1
Real Murcia

Real Murcia

W W
48' A. Bustos
51' M. Jimenez
52' A. Meca
55' Alvarito
65' Alvarito
89' O. Gil
Prediction: 1X (1.73 Odds) Won
Double Chance 58% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.05

Navalcarnero

0.50

0.50 – 1.55

Real Murcia

1.55

Estadio Mariano Gonzalez, Madrid

Navalcarnero

3.40

26% implied

Draw

3.40

26% implied

Real Murcia

1.91

47% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

Double Chance Won

1X

Odds 1.73 58%

Recent form

Navalcarnero

5 W 4 D 1 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Guadalajara 2-2 D
H Atlético Paso 3-1 W
A Numancia 2-3 W
A Salamanca UDS 1-1 D
H A Madrid III 1-1 D
A RSD Alcalá 1-3 W
H Real Murcia 3-1 W
H Conquense 1-3 L
A Saguntino 0-4 W
A Atlético Tordesillas 2-2 D

Real Murcia

4 W 2 D 4 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Algeciras 1-1 D
A Antequera 0-1 W
A Juventud Torremolinos 1-0 L
H Zaragoza 0-0 D
A Rayo Majadahonda 0-1 W
A FC Cartagena 1-0 L
H Gimnastic 2-0 W
A Navalcarnero 3-1 L
H Europa Fc 2-1 W
A Atlético Madrid II 4-0 L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.05

Navalcarnero

0.50

xG

Match

0.50 – 1.55

Real Murcia

1.55

xG

Our tip model

58%
23%
19%

API-Football

45%
45%
10%

Bookmaker

26%
26%
47%
Navalcarnero Draw Real Murcia

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 0%
Over 2.5 goals 0%
Over 3.5 goals 0%
Both teams to score 0%

Team comparison

Navalcarnero Real Murcia
50% Recent form 50%
50% Attack 50%
100% Defence 0%
50% Overall 50%

Double chance : Navalcarnero or draw

Season numbers

When the goals come

0
0-15'
0
1
16-30'
0
1
31-45'
0
1
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
0
1
76-90'
2
0
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
1
0
31-45'
1
0
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
0
0
76-90'
0

Side by side

Navalcarnero Real Murcia
2 Played 2
2 Won 2
0 Drawn 0
0 Lost 0
6 Goals for 6
0 Goals against 2
2 Clean sheets 0
0 Failed to score 0

What comes next

Navalcarnero

Real Betis (H) 12 Nov MID
Getafe II (H) 15 Nov MID
Gimnástica Segoviana (H) 22 Nov MID
SS Reyes (A) 29 Nov MID

Real Murcia

Alcorcon (H) 15 Nov MID
Real Madrid II (A) 20 Nov MID
Sant Andreu (H) 29 Nov MID
Huesca (A) 06 Dec MID

Navalcarnero vs Real Murcia: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Double Chance: 1X (1.73 odds).

Navalcarnero are rated 58% by our tip model, with the draw at 23% and Real Murcia at 19%.

Double chance : Navalcarnero or draw

Navalcarnero vs Real Murcia FAQs

What is the best prediction for Navalcarnero vs Real Murcia?

Our top tip is Double Chance: 1X (1.73 odds).

Who will win Navalcarnero vs Real Murcia?

Model lean: Navalcarnero 58%, draw 23%, Real Murcia 19%.

When is Navalcarnero vs Real Murcia?

Wednesday, 30th September 2026 at 18:00 UTC .

S

Written by

Sam M

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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