Palmeiras vs Fluminense

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Palmeiras and Fluminense enter this one evenly matched on recent form, so we're leaning on 1 at odds of 1.91 (52% probability) to edge the CONMEBOL Libertadores clash.

World: CONMEBOL Libertadores
Thu, 22nd Oct, 2026 Semi-finals
Palmeiras

Palmeiras

D W W D W
PEN
0 - 1
Fluminense

Fluminense

D W W L L
49' Alexander Barboza
56' Hércules Pereira do Nascimento
76' Jhon Arias
82' Hércules Pereira do Nascimento
91' Maurício Magalhães Prado
92' Thiago Silva
93' Gustavo Gómez
94' Hércules Pereira do Nascimento
95' Ramon Sosa
96' Guilherme Arana
96' Joaquín Piquerez
97' Gustavo Nonato Santana
Prediction: 1 (1.91 Odds) Lost
Home Win 52% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.20

Palmeiras

1.40

1.40 – 0.80

Fluminense

0.80

Nubank Parque, Sao Paulo E. Ostojich

Palmeiras

1.91

49% implied

Draw

3.40

28% implied

Fluminense

4.10

23% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

Home Win Lost

1

Odds 1.91 52%

Match statistics

Match Statistics

Palmeiras vs Fluminense

54%   Possession   46%

1   Shots on Target   2

0   Pass Accuracy   0

2   Corner Kicks   4

11   Fouls   13

0 2 2
0 1 0

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9 games

4

Palmeiras wins

1

Draws

4

Fluminense wins

2.2

Goals / game

56%

Both scored

56%

Over 2.5

15 Oct 2026
Fluminense
1-2
Palmeiras
15 Aug 2026
Fluminense
3-2
Palmeiras
26 Feb 2026
Palmeiras
2-1
Fluminense
23 Nov 2025
Palmeiras
0-0
Fluminense
23 Jul 2025
Fluminense
1-2
Palmeiras
08 Dec 2024
Palmeiras
0-1
Fluminense
25 Jul 2024
Fluminense
1-0
Palmeiras
03 Dec 2023
Palmeiras
1-0
Fluminense
06 Aug 2023
Fluminense
2-1
Palmeiras

CONMEBOL Libertadores table

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1
Flamengo
6 5 1 0 14:2 12 16
2
Estudiantes L.P.
6 2 3 1 6:5 1 9
3
Independiente Medellin
6 2 1 3 6:11 -5 7
4
Cusco
6 0 1 5 4:12 -8 1

Top scorers

CONMEBOL Libertadores
# Player Team Goals
1
A. Arce
Independ. Rivadavia
9
2
C. González
Independiente del Valle
7
3
Bruno Henrique
Flamengo
5
4
F. Fydriszewski
Independiente Medellin
4
5
G. de Arrascaeta
Flamengo
4
6
F. Zampedri
U. Catolica
4
7
J. López
Palmeiras
4
8
Matheus Pereira
Cruzeiro
4
9
L. Melgarejo
Libertad Asuncion
4
10
J. Arias
Palmeiras
3

Recent form

Palmeiras

8 W 2 D 0 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Remo 6-1 W
H Vasco DA Gama 1-0 W
A Santos 0-0 D
H RB Bragantino 2-0 W
A Atletico Paranaense 0-2 W
A Fluminense 1-2 W
H Corinthians 4-1 W
H Bahia 1-0 W
A Gremio 0-0 D
H Sao Paulo 2-0 W

Fluminense

4 W 0 D 6 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Vitoria 0-3 W
H Internacional 2-1 W
A Chapecoense-sc 2-1 L
H Santos 1-2 L
H Palmeiras 1-2 L
A Flamengo 1-0 L
H Coritiba 4-0 W
A Corinthians 1-3 W
A Platense 2-1 L
A Atletico-MG 3-1 L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.20

Palmeiras

1.40

xG

Match

1.40 – 0.80

Fluminense

0.80

xG

Our tip model

52%
26%
22%

API-Football

45%
45%
10%

Bookmaker

49%
28%
23%
Palmeiras Draw Fluminense

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 0%
Over 2.5 goals 0%
Over 3.5 goals 0%
Both teams to score 0%

Team comparison

Palmeiras Fluminense
61% Recent form 39%
57% Attack 43%
50% Defence 50%
67% Poisson 33%
71% Head-to-head 29%
57% Goals 43%
61% Overall 40%

Double chance : Palmeiras or draw

Season numbers

When the goals come

2
0-15'
3
2
16-30'
2
6
31-45'
1
3
46-60'
1
2
61-75'
3
4
76-90'
1
2
0-15'
2
0
16-30'
2
2
31-45'
2
1
46-60'
2
0
61-75'
2
1
76-90'
2

Side by side

Palmeiras Fluminense
11 Played 11
6 Won 4
4 Drawn 3
1 Lost 4
18 Goals for 13
10 Goals against 12
3 Clean sheets 3
1 Failed to score 3

What comes next

Palmeiras

Cruzeiro (A) 18 Nov MID
Flamengo (H) 21 Nov HARD
Chapecoense-sc (A) 24 Nov MID
Estudiantes L.P. (H) 28 Nov MID

Fluminense

Sao Paulo (A) 20 Nov MID
Mirassol (H) 22 Nov MID
Cruzeiro (H) 27 Nov MID
RB Bragantino (A) 03 Dec MID

Palmeiras vs Fluminense: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Home Win: 1 (1.91 odds).

Palmeiras are rated 52% by our tip model, with the draw at 26% and Fluminense at 22%.

In the last 9 meetings they averaged 2.2 goals per game, with BTTS in 56% and over 2.5 in 56%.

Double chance : Palmeiras or draw

Palmeiras vs Fluminense FAQs

What is the best prediction for Palmeiras vs Fluminense?

Our top tip is Home Win: 1 (1.91 odds).

Who will win Palmeiras vs Fluminense?

Model lean: Palmeiras 52%, draw 26%, Fluminense 22%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 56% of the last 9 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 2.2 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 56% of the time.

When is Palmeiras vs Fluminense?

Thursday, 22nd October 2026 at 00:30 UTC , Nubank Parque.

M

Written by

Matoski

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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