Vasco DA Gama vs Boca Juniors

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Vasco DA Gama arrive in strong form (DWDWW) and are well-fancied to back 1X against Boca Juniors at Estádio do Maracanã, with our model giving this a 71% probability at odds of 1.40.

World: CONMEBOL Sudamericana
Wed, 21st Oct, 2026 Semi-finals
Vasco DA Gama

Vasco DA Gama

D W D W W
FT
1 - 3
Boca Juniors

Boca Juniors

W W W D L
4' Lautaro Di Lollo
34' Miguel Merentiel
37' Leandro Paredes
40' Thiago Mendes
66' Jose Luis Rodriguez
88' Leandro Paredes
90+2' Alan Velasco
Prediction: 1X (1.40 Odds) Lost
Double Chance 71% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.35

Vasco DA Gama

1.20

1.20 – 1.15

Boca Juniors

1.15

Estádio do Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro Jesus Valenzuela

Vasco DA Gama

2.45

38% implied

Draw

3.30

28% implied

Boca Juniors

2.80

33% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

Double Chance Lost

1X

Odds 1.40 71%

Match statistics

Match Statistics

Vasco DA Gama vs Boca Juniors

59%   Possession   41%

2   Shots on Target   3

0   Pass Accuracy   0

5   Corner Kicks   5

8   Fouls   14

0 1 0
2 2 0

Head to head

Last 1 meetings
1 games

1

Vasco DA Gama wins

0

Draws

0

Boca Juniors wins

1

Goals / game

0%

Both scored

0%

Over 2.5

14 Oct 2026
Boca Juniors
0-1
Vasco DA Gama

CONMEBOL Sudamericana table

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1
Macara
6 2 4 0 6:3 3 10
2
Tigre
6 2 3 1 8:5 3 9
3
America de Cali
6 2 3 1 6:5 1 9
4
Alianza Atletico
6 0 2 4 2:9 -7 2

Top scorers

CONMEBOL Sudamericana
# Player Team Goals
1
S. Rodríguez
Atletico Torque
7
2
Gabriel Barbosa
Santos
6
3
Adson
Vasco DA Gama
5
4
Bernard
Atletico-MG
5
5
R. Contreras
Millonarios
5
6
C. Garcés
Cienciano
4
7
M. Merentiel
Boca Juniors
4
8
T. Cuello
Atletico-MG
3
9
F. González
O'Higgins
3
10
A. Hohberg
Cienciano
3

Recent form

Vasco DA Gama

5 W 1 D 4 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Atletico Paranaense 1-3 W
A Palmeiras 1-0 L
H Flamengo 1-4 L
H Corinthians 3-2 W
H Boca Juniors 1-3 L
A Sao Paulo 1-0 L
A Boca Juniors 0-1 W
H Remo 0-0 D
A Botafogo 1-2 W
H Coritiba 5-0 W

Boca Juniors

8 W 1 D 1 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Defensa Y Justicia 1-0 W
H River Plate 1-0 W
A Independiente 0-1 W
A Vasco DA Gama 1-3 W
H Talleres Cordoba 2-1 W
H Vasco DA Gama 0-1 L
A Instituto Cordoba 2-2 D
H Union Santa Fe 3-0 W
A Racing Club 2-3 W
A San Lorenzo 0-2 W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.35

Vasco DA Gama

1.20

xG

Match

1.20 – 1.15

Boca Juniors

1.15

xG

Our tip model

71%
16%
13%

API-Football

45%
45%
10%

Bookmaker

38%
28%
33%
Vasco DA Gama Draw Boca Juniors

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 0%
Over 2.5 goals 0%
Over 3.5 goals 0%
Both teams to score 0%

Team comparison

Vasco DA Gama Boca Juniors
52% Recent form 48%
44% Attack 56%
75% Defence 25%
54% Poisson 46%
100% Head-to-head 0%
100% Goals 0%
56% Overall 44%

Combo Double chance : Vasco DA Gama or draw and -3.5 goals

Season numbers

When the goals come

1
0-15'
0
2
16-30'
1
7
31-45'
2
3
46-60'
5
4
61-75'
1
3
76-90'
1
1
0-15'
1
0
16-30'
1
1
31-45'
0
1
46-60'
0
3
61-75'
1
3
76-90'
1

Side by side

Vasco DA Gama Boca Juniors
13 Played 7
7 Won 4
4 Drawn 2
2 Lost 1
20 Goals for 11
9 Goals against 4
8 Clean sheets 3
3 Failed to score 1

What comes next

Vasco DA Gama

Chapecoense-sc (A) 14 Nov MID
Internacional (H) 19 Nov MID
RB Bragantino (A) 22 Nov MID
Atletico-MG (A) 29 Nov MID

Boca Juniors

Banfield (A) 14 Nov MID
Atletico-MG (A) 21 Nov MID
Independ. Rivadavia (H) 22 Nov MID

Vasco DA Gama vs Boca Juniors: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Double Chance: 1X (1.40 odds).

Vasco DA Gama are rated 71% by our tip model, with the draw at 16% and Boca Juniors at 13%.

In the last 1 meetings they averaged 1 goals per game, with BTTS in 0% and over 2.5 in 0%.

Combo Double chance : Vasco DA Gama or draw and -3.5 goals

Vasco DA Gama vs Boca Juniors FAQs

What is the best prediction for Vasco DA Gama vs Boca Juniors?

Our top tip is Double Chance: 1X (1.40 odds).

Who will win Vasco DA Gama vs Boca Juniors?

Model lean: Vasco DA Gama 71%, draw 16%, Boca Juniors 13%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 0% of the last 1 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 1 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 0% of the time.

When is Vasco DA Gama vs Boca Juniors?

Wednesday, 21st October 2026 at 00:30 UTC , Estádio do Maracanã.

S

Written by

Sam M

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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