Boca Juniors vs Vasco DA Gama

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Boca Juniors arrive in strong form (DWWWD) and are well-fancied to back 1X against Vasco DA Gama at Alberto J. Armando, with our model giving this a 85% probability at odds of 1.18.

World: CONMEBOL Sudamericana
Wed, 14th Oct, 2026 Semi-finals
Boca Juniors

Boca Juniors

D W W W D
FT
0 - 1
Vasco DA Gama

Vasco DA Gama

W D W D W
8' Milton Delgado
25' Adson
44' Adson
51' Santiago Sosa
63' Andrés Gómez
64' Andrés Gómez
Prediction: 1X (1.18 Odds) Lost
Double Chance 85% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.35

Boca Juniors

1.45

1.45 – 0.90

Vasco DA Gama

0.90

Estadio Alberto J. Armando, Buenos Aires P. Maza

Boca Juniors

1.91

49% implied

Draw

3.20

30% implied

Vasco DA Gama

4.50

21% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

Double Chance Lost

1X

Odds 1.18 85%
1.5 Goals Lost

+1.5

Odds 1.53 65%

Match statistics

Match Statistics

Boca Juniors vs Vasco DA Gama

60%   Possession   40%

2   Shots on Target   2

0   Pass Accuracy   0

9   Corner Kicks   1

8   Fouls   11

0 1 1
1 2 1

CONMEBOL Sudamericana table

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1
Macara
6 2 4 0 6:3 3 10
2
Tigre
6 2 3 1 8:5 3 9
3
America de Cali
6 2 3 1 6:5 1 9
4
Alianza Atletico
6 0 2 4 2:9 -7 2

Top scorers

CONMEBOL Sudamericana
# Player Team Goals
1
S. Rodríguez
Atletico Torque
7
2
Gabriel Barbosa
Santos
6
3
Adson
Vasco DA Gama
5
4
Bernard
Atletico-MG
5
5
R. Contreras
Millonarios
5
6
C. Garcés
Cienciano
4
7
M. Merentiel
Boca Juniors
4
8
T. Cuello
Atletico-MG
3
9
F. González
O'Higgins
3
10
A. Hohberg
Cienciano
3

Recent form

Boca Juniors

8 W 1 D 1 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Defensa Y Justicia 1-0 W
H River Plate 1-0 W
A Independiente 0-1 W
A Vasco DA Gama 1-3 W
H Talleres Cordoba 2-1 W
H Vasco DA Gama 0-1 L
A Instituto Cordoba 2-2 D
H Union Santa Fe 3-0 W
A Racing Club 2-3 W
A San Lorenzo 0-2 W

Vasco DA Gama

5 W 1 D 4 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Atletico Paranaense 1-3 W
A Palmeiras 1-0 L
H Flamengo 1-4 L
H Corinthians 3-2 W
H Boca Juniors 1-3 L
A Sao Paulo 1-0 L
A Boca Juniors 0-1 W
H Remo 0-0 D
A Botafogo 1-2 W
H Coritiba 5-0 W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.35

Boca Juniors

1.45

xG

Match

1.45 – 0.90

Vasco DA Gama

0.90

xG

Our tip model

85%
8%
7%

API-Football

45%
45%
10%

Bookmaker

49%
30%
21%
Boca Juniors Draw Vasco DA Gama

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 0%
Over 2.5 goals 0%
Over 3.5 goals 0%
Both teams to score 0%

Team comparison

Boca Juniors Vasco DA Gama
50% Recent form 50%
59% Attack 41%
25% Defence 75%
73% Poisson 27%
52% Overall 48%

Double chance : Boca Juniors or draw

Season numbers

When the goals come

0
0-15'
1
1
16-30'
1
2
31-45'
7
5
46-60'
3
1
61-75'
4
1
76-90'
3
1
0-15'
1
0
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
1
0
46-60'
1
1
61-75'
3
1
76-90'
3

Side by side

Boca Juniors Vasco DA Gama
6 Played 12
4 Won 6
2 Drawn 4
0 Lost 2
11 Goals for 19
3 Goals against 9
3 Clean sheets 7
0 Failed to score 3

What comes next

Boca Juniors

Banfield (A) 14 Nov MID
Atletico-MG (A) 21 Nov MID
Independ. Rivadavia (H) 22 Nov MID

Vasco DA Gama

Chapecoense-sc (A) 14 Nov MID
Internacional (H) 19 Nov MID
RB Bragantino (A) 22 Nov MID
Atletico-MG (A) 29 Nov MID

Boca Juniors vs Vasco DA Gama: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Double Chance: 1X (1.18 odds).

Boca Juniors are rated 85% by our tip model, with the draw at 8% and Vasco DA Gama at 7%.

Double chance : Boca Juniors or draw

Boca Juniors vs Vasco DA Gama FAQs

What is the best prediction for Boca Juniors vs Vasco DA Gama?

Our top tip is Double Chance: 1X (1.18 odds).

Who will win Boca Juniors vs Vasco DA Gama?

Model lean: Boca Juniors 85%, draw 8%, Vasco DA Gama 7%.

When is Boca Juniors vs Vasco DA Gama?

Wednesday, 14th October 2026 at 00:30 UTC , Alberto J. Armando.

S

Written by

Sam M

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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