Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict
Macara arrive in strong form (WLWWW) and are well-fancied to back X2 against Independiente del Valle at Estadio Bellavista, with our model giving this a 74% probability at odds of 1.36.
Ecuador: Liga Pro
Macara
3rd in table
Independiente del Valle
1st in table
Expected Goals (xG)
Total 3.05
Macara
1.35
1.35 – 1.70
Independiente del Valle
1.70
Macara
3.2029% implied
Draw
3.2528% implied
Independiente del Valle
2.1543% implied
1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)
X2
Macara vs Independiente del Valle
40% Possession 60%
5 Shots on Target 4
83% Pass Accuracy 86%
4 Corner Kicks 6
13 Fouls 12
0
Macara wins
1
Draws
8
Independiente del Valle wins
2.9
Goals / game
33%
Both scored
56%
Over 2.5
Macara
Independiente del Valle
Independiente del Valle
Macara
Macara
Independiente del Valle
Macara
Independiente del Valle
Macara
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Independiente del Valle
|
30 | 24 | 2 | 4 | 73:33 | 40 | 74 |
| 2 |
Universidad Catolica
|
30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 51:27 | 24 | 51 |
| 3 |
Macara
|
30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 41:33 | 8 | 51 |
| 4 |
Aucas
|
30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 33:28 | 5 | 50 |
| 5 |
LDU de Quito
|
30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 31:24 | 7 | 46 |
| 6 |
Barcelona SC
|
30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 32:25 | 7 | 44 |
| 7 |
Libertad
|
30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 33:34 | -1 | 41 |
| 8 |
Leones del Norte
|
30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 31:32 | -1 | 39 |
| 9 |
Guayaquil City FC
|
30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 33:36 | -3 | 39 |
| 10 |
Emelec
|
30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 25:34 | -9 | 39 |
| 11 |
Mushuc Runa SC
|
30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 35:38 | -3 | 38 |
| 12 |
Deportivo Cuenca
|
30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 25:37 | -12 | 36 |
| 13 |
Orense SC
|
30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 36:47 | -11 | 33 |
| 14 |
Tecnico Universitario
|
30 | 10 | 2 | 18 | 28:42 | -14 | 32 |
| 15 |
Delfin SC
|
30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 19:31 | -12 | 28 |
| 16 |
Manta FC
|
30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 17:42 | -25 | 21 |
| # | Player | Team | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
F. Posse
|
Macara
|
17 |
| 2 |
E. Mero
|
Guayaquil City FC
|
13 |
| 3 |
Vilinton Germán Branda Merlín
|
Libertad
|
13 |
| 4 |
R. Carrillo
|
Emelec
|
13 |
| 5 |
J. Fajardo
|
Universidad Catolica
|
13 |
| 6 |
A. Campana
|
Macara
|
12 |
| 7 |
A. Herrera
|
Orense SC
|
12 |
| 8 |
C. González
|
Independiente del Valle
|
11 |
| 9 |
Juan Luis Anangonó León
|
Leones del Norte
|
11 |
| 10 |
F. Ayunta
|
Delfin SC
|
11 |
Macara
1.35
xG
Match
1.35 – 1.70
Independiente del Valle
1.70
xG
Our tip model
API-Football
Bookmaker
Macara
Independiente del Valle
Double chance : draw or Independiente del Valle
Macara
Independiente del Valle
Macara
Independiente del Valle
(A)
22 Nov
HARD
LDU de Quito
(H)
29 Nov
HARD
Barcelona SC
(A)
06 Dec
MID
Aucas
(H)
13 Dec
HARD
Independiente del Valle
Macara
(H)
22 Nov
HARD
Barcelona SC
(A)
25 Nov
MID
Universidad Catolica
(A)
29 Nov
HARD
Universidad Catolica
(A)
02 Dec
HARD
Our top tip is Double Chance: X2 (1.36 odds).
Macara are rated 12% by our tip model, with the draw at 14% and Independiente del Valle at 74%.
In the last 9 meetings they averaged 2.9 goals per game, with BTTS in 33% and over 2.5 in 56%.
Double chance : draw or Independiente del Valle
Our top tip is Double Chance: X2 (1.36 odds).
Model lean: Macara 12%, draw 14%, Independiente del Valle 74%.
Both teams scored in 33% of the last 9 meetings.
Recent H2H averaged 2.9 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 56% of the time.
Saturday, 17th October 2026 at 19:00 UTC , Estadio Bellavista.
Macara arrive in strong form (WLWWW) and are well-fancied to back X2 against Independiente del Valle at Estadio Bellavista, with our model giving this a 74% probability at odds of 1.36.
Teams: Macara vs Independiente del Valle
Date: Sat, Oct 17, 2026
Time: 19:00 UTC
Venue: Estadio Bellavista, Ambato
Check our prediction page now to see the complete Macara vs Independiente del Valle prediction, analysis, and odds for today.
Networks:
Trusted football Prediction WebsiteWritten by
Joshua J
Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict