Atletico-MG vs Gremio

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Atletico-MG and Gremio enter this one evenly matched on recent form, so we're leaning on no at odds of 1.80 (56% probability) to edge the Copa Do Brasil clash.

Brazil: Copa Do Brasil

Sat, 7th Nov, 2026 | | Semi-finals

Atletico-MG

D W D W L

1 - 1

Gremio

D W D W W

21' Bernard Anício Caldeira Duarte

26' Renan Lodi

35' José Enamorado

36' Kevin Castaño

38' Carlos Vinícius

68' Gabriel Grando

87' Vitor Fernandes Chaves Teixeira

Prediction: no (1.80 Odds)

BTTS/GG 56% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 1.80

Atletico-MG

0.80

0.80 – 1.00

Gremio

1.00

MRV Arena, Belo Horizonte R. Abatti

Atletico-MG

1.62

57% implied

Draw

4.10

23% implied

Gremio

4.50

21% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

BTTS/GG Free

Odds 1.80 56%

2.5 Goals Free

-2.5

Odds 1.90 53%

Away Win Free

Odds 4.50 22%

Match statistics

Match Statistics

Atletico-MG vs Gremio

76% Possession 24%

8 Shots on Target 1

0 Pass Accuracy 0

7 Corner Kicks 2

11 Fouls 11

1 2 1

0 2 0

Head to head

Last 9 meetings

9 games

Atletico-MG wins

Draws

Gremio wins

Goals / game

56%

Both scored

78%

Over 2.5

01 Nov 2026

Gremio

2-0

Atletico-MG

16 Aug 2026

Atletico-MG

3-0

Gremio

26 Feb 2026

Gremio

2-1

Atletico-MG

17 Aug 2025

Atletico-MG

1-3

Gremio

29 Mar 2025

Gremio

2-1

Atletico-MG

09 Oct 2024

Atletico-MG

2-1

Gremio

01 Sep 2024

Gremio

2-3

Atletico-MG

26 Nov 2023

Atletico-MG

3-0

Gremio

23 Jul 2023

Gremio

1-0

Atletico-MG

Top scorers

Copa Do Brasil

#	Player	Team	Goals	Assists
1	Carlos Vinícius	Gremio	5	0
2	J. López	Palmeiras	4	0
3	A. Bernabéi	Internacional	3	1
4	Rene	Vitoria	3	0
5	Renan Lodi	Atletico-MG	3	0
6	J. Rodríguez	Vasco DA Gama	3	0
7	Maurício	Palmeiras	3	0
8	Erick	Vitoria	3	0
9	Kaio Jorge	Cruzeiro	3	0
10	F. Amuzu	Gremio	2	2

Recent form

Atletico-MG

3 W 2 D 5 L in the last 10

Scored Conceded

H Gremio 1-1 D

A Botafogo 1-0 L

A Gremio 2-0 L

H Cruzeiro 0-1 L

A Flamengo 3-2 L

A Atletico Torque 2-0 L

H Coritiba 1-0 W

H Atletico Torque 3-0 W

H Santos 2-1 W

A Atletico Paranaense 2-2 D

Gremio

3 W 4 D 3 L in the last 10

Scored Conceded

A Atletico-MG 1-1 D

A Flamengo 3-1 L

H Atletico-MG 2-0 W

H Atletico Paranaense 2-0 W

A Coritiba 0-1 W

H Cruzeiro 2-4 L

H Internacional 1-1 D

A Remo 1-1 D

H Palmeiras 0-0 D

A Botafogo 3-2 L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 1.80

Atletico-MG

0.80

Match

0.80 – 1.00

Gremio

1.00

Our tip model

10%

45%

API-Football

10%

45%

Bookmaker

57%

23%

21%

Atletico-MG Draw Gremio

Most likely scores

2:0

15.4%

1:0

14.3%

1:1

12.5%

2:1

11.8%

3:0

9.1%

0:0

9.1%

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 80%

Over 2.5 goals 54%

Over 3.5 goals 33%

Both teams to score 51%

Team comparison

Atletico-MG Gremio

42% Recent form 58%

36% Attack 64%

33% Defence 67%

27% Poisson 73%

20% Head-to-head 80%

40% Goals 60%

33% Overall 67%

Combo Double chance : draw or Gremio and -3.5 goals

Season numbers

When the goals come

0-15'

16-30'

31-45'

46-60'

61-75'

76-90'

0-15'

16-30'

31-45'

46-60'

61-75'

76-90'

Side by side

Atletico-MG Gremio

7 Played 7

3 Won 5

3 Drawn 2

1 Lost 0

8 Goals for 12

7 Goals against 2

2 Clean sheets 5

2 Failed to score 1

What comes next

Atletico-MG

Mirassol (A) 14 Nov MID

Boca Juniors (H) 21 Nov MID

Corinthians (H) 25 Nov MID

Vasco DA Gama (H) 29 Nov MID

Gremio

Bahia (H) 19 Nov MID

Santos (A) 24 Nov MID

Corinthians (A) 29 Nov MID

Mirassol (H) 03 Dec MID

Betting markets

Odds · implied %

Over 1.5 1.25

80% implied

Under 1.5 3.75

27% implied

Over 2.5 1.85

54% implied

Under 2.5 1.95

51% implied

Over 3.5 3.00

33% implied

Under 3.5 1.36

74% implied

Over 0.5 1.05

95% implied

Under 0.5 11.00

9% implied

Over 4.5 6.00

17% implied

Under 4.5 1.12

89% implied

Over 7.5 51.00

2% implied

Under 7.5 1.00

Over 5.5 13.00

8% implied

Under 5.5 1.04

96% implied

Over 6.5 26.00

4% implied

Under 6.5 1.01

99% implied

Yes 1.95

51% implied

No 1.80

56% implied Our tip

Home/Draw 1.14

88% implied

Home/Away 1.22

82% implied

Draw/Away 2.38

42% implied

1:0 7.00

14% implied

2:0 6.50

15% implied

2:1 8.50

12% implied

3:0 11.00

9% implied

3:1 12.00

8% implied

3:2 26.00

4% implied

4:0 21.00

5% implied

4:1 23.00

4% implied

0:0 11.00

9% implied

1:1 8.00

13% implied

2:2 17.00

6% implied

0:1 15.00

7% implied

0:2 34.00

3% implied

0:3 67.00

1% implied

1:2 19.00

5% implied

1:3 41.00

2% implied

2:3 51.00

2% implied

3:3 51.00

2% implied

0:4 201.00

1:4 126.00

1% implied

2:4 126.00

1% implied

4:2 41.00

2% implied

1:5 501.00

2:5 501.00

Home/Draw 15.00

7% implied

Home/Away 41.00

2% implied

Draw/Away 11.00

9% implied

Draw/Draw 6.00

17% implied

Home/Home 2.50

40% implied

Draw/Home 4.33

23% implied

Away/Home 21.00

5% implied

Away/Draw 17.00

6% implied

Away/Away 9.00

11% implied

Home -1.25 2.15

47% implied

Away -1.25 1.68

60% implied

Home -1 1.78

56% implied

Away -1 2.02

50% implied

Home -0.75 1.68

60% implied

Away -0.75 2.15

47% implied

Home -0.5 1.52

66% implied

Away -0.5 2.42

41% implied

Home -0.25 1.35

74% implied

Away -0.25 3.10

32% implied

Home +0 1.20

83% implied

Away +0 4.40

23% implied

Home +0.25 1.16

86% implied

Away +0.25 5.25

19% implied

Home +0.5 1.14

88% implied

Away +0.5 5.75

17% implied

Home +0.75 1.10

91% implied

Away +0.75 7.00

14% implied

Home -2 4.15

24% implied

Away -2 1.22

82% implied

Home -1.75 3.00

33% implied

Away -1.75 1.38

72% implied

Home -1.5 2.42

41% implied

Away -1.5 1.52

66% implied

Over 10.5 1.80

56% implied

Under 10.5 1.91

52% implied

Over 11.5 2.10

48% implied

Under 11.5 1.67

60% implied

Atletico-MG vs Gremio: preview and prediction

Our top tip is BTTS/GG: no (1.80 odds).

Atletico-MG are rated 10% by our tip model, with the draw at 45% and Gremio at 45%.

In the last 9 meetings they averaged 3 goals per game, with BTTS in 56% and over 2.5 in 78%.

Combo Double chance : draw or Gremio and -3.5 goals

Atletico-MG vs Gremio FAQs

What is the best prediction for Atletico-MG vs Gremio?

Our top tip is BTTS/GG: no (1.80 odds).

Who will win Atletico-MG vs Gremio?

Model lean: Atletico-MG 10%, draw 45%, Gremio 45%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 56% of the last 9 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 3 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 78% of the time.

When is Atletico-MG vs Gremio?

Saturday, 7th November 2026 at 21:00 UTC , Arena MRV.

Match Preview

Atletico-MG and Gremio enter this one evenly matched on recent form, so we're leaning on no at odds of 1.80 (56% probability) to edge the Copa Do Brasil clash.

Match Info Summary

Teams: Atletico-MG vs Gremio

Date: Sat, Nov 7, 2026

Time: 21:00 UTC

Venue: MRV Arena, Belo Horizonte

Check our prediction page now to see the complete Atletico-MG vs Gremio prediction, analysis, and odds for today.

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2.5 Goals

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Written by

Joshua J

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

Atletico-MG vs Gremio

All our tips for this match

Match statistics

Match Statistics

Head to head

Top scorers

Recent form

Atletico-MG

Gremio

Who wins? Three ways to read it

Expected Goals (xG)

Most likely scores

Goal lines

Team comparison

Season numbers

When the goals come

Side by side

What comes next

Betting markets

Atletico-MG vs Gremio: preview and prediction

Atletico-MG vs Gremio FAQs

Match Preview

Match Info Summary

Quick Links