Vasco DA Gama vs Palmeiras

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Vasco DA Gama and Palmeiras enter this one evenly matched on recent form, so we're leaning on 2 at odds of 2.70 (37% probability) to edge the Copa Do Brasil clash.

Brazil: Copa Do Brasil
Sun, 8th Nov, 2026 Semi-finals
Vasco DA Gama

Vasco DA Gama

D W W W L
PEN
2 - 1
Palmeiras

Palmeiras

W L W D W
16' Facundo Colidio
20' Gabriel Pereira
25' Thiago Mendes
45+1' Maurício Magalhães Prado
45+5' Daniel Fuzato
45+6' Jhon Arias
55' Joaquín Piquerez
60' Marcelo Lomba
76' Jose Luis Rodriguez
82' Andrés Gómez
84' Alexander Barboza
88' Marlon Freitas
Prediction: 2 (2.70 Odds)
Away Win 37% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.50

Vasco DA Gama

1.15

1.15 – 1.35

Palmeiras

1.35

São Januário, Rio de Janeiro B. Machado

Vasco DA Gama

2.60

36% implied

Draw

3.25

29% implied

Palmeiras

2.70

35% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

Away Win Free

2

Odds 2.70 37%

Match statistics

Match Statistics

Vasco DA Gama vs Palmeiras

53%   Possession   47%

3   Shots on Target   3

0   Pass Accuracy   0

2   Corner Kicks   9

12   Fouls   12

0 5 1
0 5 0

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9 games

1

Vasco DA Gama wins

1

Draws

7

Palmeiras wins

2.3

Goals / game

33%

Both scored

44%

Over 2.5

01 Nov 2026
Palmeiras
1-0
Vasco DA Gama
23 Aug 2026
Palmeiras
4-1
Vasco DA Gama
12 Mar 2026
Vasco DA Gama
2-1
Palmeiras
01 Oct 2025
Palmeiras
3-0
Vasco DA Gama
04 May 2025
Vasco DA Gama
0-1
Palmeiras
22 Sep 2024
Vasco DA Gama
0-1
Palmeiras
14 Jun 2024
Palmeiras
2-0
Vasco DA Gama
27 Aug 2023
Palmeiras
1-0
Vasco DA Gama
23 Apr 2023
Vasco DA Gama
2-2
Palmeiras

Top scorers

Copa Do Brasil
# Player Team Goals
1
Carlos Vinícius
Gremio
5
2
J. López
Palmeiras
4
3
A. Bernabéi
Internacional
3
4
Rene
Vitoria
3
5
Renan Lodi
Atletico-MG
3
6
J. Rodríguez
Vasco DA Gama
3
7
Maurício
Palmeiras
3
8
Erick
Vitoria
3
9
Kaio Jorge
Cruzeiro
3
10
F. Amuzu
Gremio
2

Recent form

Vasco DA Gama

5 W 1 D 4 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Atletico Paranaense 1-3 W
A Palmeiras 1-0 L
H Flamengo 1-4 L
H Corinthians 3-2 W
H Boca Juniors 1-3 L
A Sao Paulo 1-0 L
A Boca Juniors 0-1 W
H Remo 0-0 D
A Botafogo 1-2 W
H Coritiba 5-0 W

Palmeiras

8 W 2 D 0 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Remo 6-1 W
H Vasco DA Gama 1-0 W
A Santos 0-0 D
H RB Bragantino 2-0 W
A Atletico Paranaense 0-2 W
A Fluminense 1-2 W
H Corinthians 4-1 W
H Bahia 1-0 W
A Gremio 0-0 D
H Sao Paulo 2-0 W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.50

Vasco DA Gama

1.15

xG

Match

1.15 – 1.35

Palmeiras

1.35

xG

Our tip model

28%
35%
37%

API-Football

10%
45%
45%

Bookmaker

36%
29%
35%
Vasco DA Gama Draw Palmeiras

Most likely scores

1:1

16.7%

1:0

13.3%

0:1

11.8%

0:0

11.1%

2:1

10.5%

1:2

9.1%

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 74%
Over 2.5 goals 48%
Over 3.5 goals 27%
Both teams to score 56%

Team comparison

Vasco DA Gama Palmeiras
50% Recent form 50%
40% Attack 60%
60% Defence 40%
42% Poisson 58%
20% Head-to-head 80%
23% Goals 77%
39% Overall 61%

Double chance : draw or Palmeiras

Season numbers

When the goals come

0
0-15'
1
0
16-30'
2
3
31-45'
5
4
46-60'
3
1
61-75'
3
3
76-90'
1
0
0-15'
0
1
16-30'
1
1
31-45'
2
0
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
0
1
76-90'
2

Side by side

Vasco DA Gama Palmeiras
7 Played 7
4 Won 5
2 Drawn 1
1 Lost 1
10 Goals for 16
4 Goals against 4
4 Clean sheets 5
2 Failed to score 1

What comes next

Vasco DA Gama

Chapecoense-sc (A) 14 Nov MID
Internacional (H) 19 Nov MID
RB Bragantino (A) 22 Nov MID
Atletico-MG (A) 29 Nov MID

Palmeiras

Cruzeiro (A) 18 Nov MID
Flamengo (H) 21 Nov MID
Chapecoense-sc (A) 24 Nov MID
Estudiantes L.P. (H) 28 Nov MID

Betting markets

Odds · implied %
Over 1.5 1.36
74% implied
Under 1.5 3.00
33% implied
Over 2.5 2.10
48% implied
Under 2.5 1.70
59% implied
Over 3.5 3.75
27% implied
Under 3.5 1.25
80% implied
Over 0.5 1.07
93% implied
Under 0.5 9.00
11% implied
Over 4.5 8.00
13% implied
Under 4.5 1.08
93% implied
Over 5.5 19.00
5% implied
Under 5.5 1.02
98% implied
Over 6.5 41.00
2% implied
Under 6.5 1.00
Yes 1.80
56% implied
No 1.95
51% implied
Home/Draw 1.44
69% implied
Home/Away 1.33
75% implied
Draw/Away 1.50
67% implied
1:0 7.50
13% implied
2:0 13.00
8% implied
2:1 9.50
11% implied
3:0 29.00
3% implied
3:1 23.00
4% implied
3:2 29.00
3% implied
4:0 51.00
2% implied
4:1 51.00
2% implied
0:0 9.00
11% implied
1:1 6.00
17% implied
2:2 15.00
7% implied
0:1 8.50
12% implied
0:2 13.00
8% implied
0:3 26.00
4% implied
1:2 11.00
9% implied
1:3 23.00
4% implied
2:3 34.00
3% implied
3:3 51.00
2% implied
0:4 51.00
2% implied
1:4 51.00
2% implied
2:4 67.00
1% implied
4:2 67.00
1% implied
0:5 151.00
1% implied
0:6 501.00
Home/Draw 15.00
7% implied
Home/Away 29.00
3% implied
Draw/Away 6.00
17% implied
Draw/Draw 5.00
20% implied
Home/Home 4.33
23% implied
Draw/Home 6.00
17% implied
Away/Home 26.00
4% implied
Away/Draw 15.00
7% implied
Away/Away 4.33
23% implied
Home -1.25 5.50
18% implied
Away -1.25 1.15
87% implied
Home -1 4.65
22% implied
Away -1 1.18
85% implied
Home -0.75 3.30
30% implied
Away -0.75 1.32
76% implied
Home -0.5 2.50
40% implied
Away -0.5 1.50
67% implied
Home -0.25 2.20
45% implied
Away -0.25 1.65
61% implied
Home +0 1.85
54% implied
Away +0 1.95
51% implied
Home +0.25 1.60
63% implied
Away +0.25 2.30
43% implied
Home +0.5 1.45
69% implied
Away +0.5 2.68
37% implied
Home +0.75 1.32
76% implied
Away +0.75 3.30
30% implied
Home +1 1.19
84% implied
Away +1 4.50
22% implied
Home -1.5 5.90
17% implied
Away -1.5 1.13
88% implied
Home +1.25 1.16
86% implied
Away +1.25 5.25
19% implied
Over 9.5 1.73
58% implied
Under 9.5 2.00
50% implied
Over 10 1.95
51% implied
Under 10 1.85
54% implied

Vasco DA Gama vs Palmeiras: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Away Win: 2 (2.70 odds).

Vasco DA Gama are rated 28% by our tip model, with the draw at 35% and Palmeiras at 37%.

In the last 9 meetings they averaged 2.3 goals per game, with BTTS in 33% and over 2.5 in 44%.

Double chance : draw or Palmeiras

Vasco DA Gama vs Palmeiras FAQs

What is the best prediction for Vasco DA Gama vs Palmeiras?

Our top tip is Away Win: 2 (2.70 odds).

Who will win Vasco DA Gama vs Palmeiras?

Model lean: Vasco DA Gama 28%, draw 35%, Palmeiras 37%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 33% of the last 9 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 2.3 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 44% of the time.

When is Vasco DA Gama vs Palmeiras?

Sunday, 8th November 2026 at 20:00 UTC , São Januário.

S

Written by

Sam M

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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