Vitória de Sernache vs Varzim

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Vitória de Sernache and Varzim enter this one evenly matched on recent form, so we're leaning on 2 at odds of 1.75 (57% probability) to edge the Taça de Portugal clash.

Portugal: Taça de Portugal
Sat, 19th Sep, 2026 Round of 128
Vitória de Sernache

Vitória de Sernache

W
FT
2 - 1
Varzim

Varzim

W
16' Lucas Daniel
76' F. Silva
84' D. Tavares
84' D. Tavares
90+5' F. Silva
90' Henrique Cavalcante
Prediction: 2 (1.75 Odds) Lost
Away Win 57% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 8.00

Vitória de Sernache

3.00

3.00 – 5.00

Varzim

5.00

Vitória de Sernache

3.80

23% implied

Draw

3.50

26% implied

Varzim

1.75

51% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

1.5 Goals Won

+1.5

Odds 1.33 75%
Away Win Lost

2

Odds 1.75 57%

Recent form

Vitória de Sernache

5 W 0 D 5 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Atlético CP 0-1 L
A Lusitano Évora 1911 0-1 W
A União Santarém 2-1 L
A Brito 0-1 W
H Louletano 1-0 W
H Varzim 2-1 W
A Caldas 2-0 L
H CF Os Belenenses 1-3 L
A Nazarenos 0-3 W
A Oliveirense 3-2 L

Varzim

4 W 0 D 6 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Fafe 2-0 W
A Leça 2-0 L
H Guimaraes B 2-4 L
A São João Ver 2-1 L
A Vitória de Sernache 2-1 L
H Vianense 1-2 L
H Paredes 0-1 L
H Trofense 5-1 W
A Pacos Ferreira 1-4 W
H AD Marco 09 2-1 W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 8.00

Vitória de Sernache

3.00

xG

Match

3.00 – 5.00

Varzim

5.00

xG

Our tip model

19%
24%
57%

API-Football

35%
35%
30%

Bookmaker

23%
26%
51%
Vitória de Sernache Draw Varzim

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 0%
Over 2.5 goals 0%
Over 3.5 goals 0%
Both teams to score 0%

Team comparison

Vitória de Sernache Varzim
50% Recent form 50%
38% Attack 63%
100% Defence 0%
44% Overall 57%

Combo Double chance : Vitória de Sernache or draw and +1.5 goals

Season numbers

When the goals come

0
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
1
0
46-60'
1
0
61-75'
0
0
76-90'
1
0
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
0
0
76-90'
0

Side by side

Vitória de Sernache Varzim
1 Played 1
1 Won 1
0 Drawn 0
0 Lost 0
3 Goals for 5
0 Goals against 1
1 Clean sheets 0
0 Failed to score 0

What comes next

Vitória de Sernache

Lusitânia Lourosa (H) 22 Nov MID
Mafra (H) 29 Nov MID
SC Covilha (A) 06 Dec MID
Oliveirense (H) 13 Dec MID

Varzim

Trofense (H) 28 Nov MID
AD Marco 09 (A) 04 Dec MID
Pacos Ferreira (H) 13 Dec MID
Paredes (A) 20 Dec MID

Vitória de Sernache vs Varzim: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Away Win: 2 (1.75 odds).

Vitória de Sernache are rated 19% by our tip model, with the draw at 24% and Varzim at 57%.

Combo Double chance : Vitória de Sernache or draw and +1.5 goals

Vitória de Sernache vs Varzim FAQs

What is the best prediction for Vitória de Sernache vs Varzim?

Our top tip is Away Win: 2 (1.75 odds).

Who will win Vitória de Sernache vs Varzim?

Model lean: Vitória de Sernache 19%, draw 24%, Varzim 57%.

When is Vitória de Sernache vs Varzim?

Saturday, 19th September 2026 at 14:00 UTC .

M

Written by

Matoski

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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