Paredes vs Maria da Fonte

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Paredes arrive in strong form (W) and are well-fancied to back 1 against Maria da Fonte, with our model giving this a 85% probability at odds of 1.18.

Portugal: Taça de Portugal
Sun, 20th Sep, 2026 Round of 128
Paredes

Paredes

W
FT
5 - 1
Maria da Fonte

Maria da Fonte

W
5' J. Yuk
9' Vasco Rocha
37' M. Lima
44' J. Yuk
64' F. Canario
74' F. Almara
Prediction: 1 (1.18 Odds) Won
Home Win 85% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 4.00

Paredes

3.00

3.00 – 1.00

Maria da Fonte

1.00

Paredes

1.18

77% implied

Draw

5.25

17% implied

Maria da Fonte

15.00

6% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

Home Win Won

1

Odds 1.18 85%

Recent form

Paredes

8 W 1 D 1 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A AD Marco 09 1-3 W
H São João Ver 2-1 W
H Trofense 4-0 W
H Famalicao 1-0 W
A Vianense 3-3 D
H Maria da Fonte 5-1 W
H Fafe 2-1 W
A Varzim 0-1 W
A Ermesinde 1-3 W
H Leça 1-2 L

Maria da Fonte

3 W 1 D 6 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Ponte da Barca 3-1 W
A Montalegre 2-0 L
H Bragança 1-2 L
A Maia Lidador 1-1 D
A Paredes 5-1 L
H SC Braga B 0-4 L
A Brito 2-1 L
H Uniao Nogueirense 1-0 W
H Celoricense 0-1 L
A Vinhais 0-1 W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 4.00

Paredes

3.00

xG

Match

3.00 – 1.00

Maria da Fonte

1.00

xG

Our tip model

85%
8%
7%

API-Football

35%
35%
30%

Bookmaker

77%
17%
6%
Paredes Draw Maria da Fonte

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 0%
Over 2.5 goals 0%
Over 3.5 goals 0%
Both teams to score 0%

Team comparison

Paredes Maria da Fonte
50% Recent form 50%
75% Attack 25%
0% Defence 100%
63% Overall 38%

Winner : Paredes

Season numbers

When the goals come

0
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
0
0
76-90'
0
0
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
0
0
76-90'
0

Side by side

Paredes Maria da Fonte
1 Played 1
1 Won 1
0 Drawn 0
0 Lost 0
3 Goals for 1
1 Goals against 0
0 Clean sheets 1
0 Failed to score 0

What comes next

Paredes

FC Porto (A) 20 Nov MID
Guimaraes B (A) 29 Nov MID
Pacos Ferreira (H) 05 Dec MID
Leça (A) 12 Dec MID

Maria da Fonte

Tirsense (H) 28 Nov MID
Chaves II (A) 06 Dec MID
Vila Meã (H) 13 Dec MID
Os Limianos (A) 20 Dec MID

Paredes vs Maria da Fonte: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Home Win: 1 (1.18 odds).

Paredes are rated 85% by our tip model, with the draw at 8% and Maria da Fonte at 7%.

Winner : Paredes

Paredes vs Maria da Fonte FAQs

What is the best prediction for Paredes vs Maria da Fonte?

Our top tip is Home Win: 1 (1.18 odds).

Who will win Paredes vs Maria da Fonte?

Model lean: Paredes 85%, draw 8%, Maria da Fonte 7%.

When is Paredes vs Maria da Fonte?

Sunday, 20th September 2026 at 15:00 UTC .

M

Written by

Matoski

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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