FC Midtjylland vs Ajax

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

FC Midtjylland arrive in strong form (WWWDL) and are well-fancied to back X2 against Ajax at MCH Arena, with our model giving this a 69% probability at odds of 1.44.

World: UEFA Europa Conference League
Thu, 5th Nov, 2026 League Stage - 3
FC Midtjylland

FC Midtjylland

W W W D L
FT
1 - 6
Ajax

Ajax

D W W L W
9' T. Arokodare
28' F. Etim
35' Kjell Wätjen
43' Kjell Wätjen
43' Kjell Wätjen
45+1' Denil Castillo
52' T. Arokodare
59' O. Wijndal
67' D. Klaassen
74' O. Gloukh
82' Marcos Leonardo
Prediction: X2 (1.44 Odds) Won
Double Chance 69% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 3.65

FC Midtjylland

1.75

1.75 – 1.90

Ajax

1.90

MCH Arena, Herning Paweł Raczkowski, Poland

FC Midtjylland

2.62

36% implied

Draw

3.70

25% implied

Ajax

2.45

39% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

Double Chance Won

X2

Odds 1.44 69%

Match statistics

Match Statistics

FC Midtjylland vs Ajax

29%   Possession   71%

4   Shots on Target   11

75%   Pass Accuracy   92%

1   Corner Kicks   8

10   Fouls   8

1 3 1
0 0 0

Head to head

Last 2 meetings
2 games

0

FC Midtjylland wins

0

Draws

2

Ajax wins

3.5

Goals / game

100%

Both scored

100%

Over 2.5

25 Nov 2020
Ajax
3-1
FC Midtjylland
03 Nov 2020
FC Midtjylland
1-2
Ajax

Top scorers

UEFA Europa Conference League
# Player Team Goals
1
K. Behrens
FC Lugano
7
2
Winsley Boteli Mokango
FC Sion
7
3
T. Arokodare
Ajax
6
4
D. Klaassen
Ajax
6
5
C. Dessers
Panathinaikos
6
6
O. Gloukh
Ajax
5
7
A. Cornelius
FC Copenhagen
5
8
Franculino Djú
Trabzonspor
5
9
M. Elyounoussi
FC Copenhagen
5
10
Robert
FC Copenhagen
4

Recent form

FC Midtjylland

5 W 3 D 2 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Sonderjyske 2-2 D
H Ajax 1-6 L
A FC Nordsjaelland 2-3 W
H Odense 2-1 W
H Lyngby 3-2 W
H St. Truiden 0-1 L
A Viborg 1-2 W
A Egnatia Rrogozhinë 1-1 D
H FC Copenhagen 2-1 W
A Odense 1-1 D

Ajax

6 W 3 D 1 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Twente 2-2 D
A FC Midtjylland 1-6 W
H AZ Alkmaar 1-0 W
A Sparta Rotterdam 1-2 W
H Atalanta 2-0 W
A Groningen 2-5 W
A HNK Hajduk Split 2-1 L
H NEC Nijmegen 1-1 D
H Excelsior 2-2 D
H Willem II 5-1 W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 3.65

FC Midtjylland

1.75

xG

Match

1.75 – 1.90

Ajax

1.90

xG

Our tip model

14%
17%
69%

API-Football

10%
45%
45%

Bookmaker

36%
25%
39%
FC Midtjylland Draw Ajax

Most likely scores

1:1

12.5%

1:2

10.5%

2:2

10%

2:1

8.3%

0:1

7.7%

0:2

6.7%

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 90%
Over 2.5 goals 69%
Over 3.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 71%

Team comparison

FC Midtjylland Ajax
50% Recent form 50%
42% Attack 58%
64% Defence 36%
45% Poisson 55%
0% Head-to-head 100%
29% Goals 71%
46% Overall 54%

Combo Double chance : draw or Ajax and +1.5 goals

Season numbers

When the goals come

0
0-15'
3
4
16-30'
2
1
31-45'
5
4
46-60'
9
0
61-75'
2
3
76-90'
4
1
0-15'
0
1
16-30'
3
1
31-45'
4
1
46-60'
1
1
61-75'
1
1
76-90'
4

Side by side

FC Midtjylland Ajax
6 Played 8
4 Won 6
1 Drawn 1
1 Lost 1
12 Goals for 25
5 Goals against 12
2 Clean sheets 1
1 Failed to score 0

What comes next

FC Midtjylland

Brondby (A) 23 Nov MID
Pafos (A) 26 Nov MID
FC Copenhagen (A) 29 Nov MID
FC Copenhagen (A) 02 Dec MID

Ajax

ADO Den Haag (H) 22 Nov MID
FC Thun (H) 26 Nov MID
Feyenoord (A) 29 Nov MID
Den Bosch (H) 03 Dec MID

Betting markets

Odds · implied %
Over 1.5 1.11
90% implied
Under 1.5 6.50
15% implied
Over 2.5 1.44
69% implied
Under 2.5 2.70
37% implied
Over 3.5 2.00
50% implied
Under 3.5 1.73
58% implied
Over 0.5 1.02
98% implied
Under 0.5 19.00
5% implied
Over 8.5 51.00
2% implied
Under 8.5 1.00
Over 4.5 3.40
29% implied
Under 4.5 1.30
77% implied
Over 7.5 23.00
4% implied
Under 7.5 1.01
99% implied
Over 5.5 6.00
17% implied
Under 5.5 1.12
89% implied
Over 6.5 13.00
8% implied
Under 6.5 1.04
96% implied
Yes 1.40
71% implied
No 2.75
36% implied
Home/Draw 1.67
60% implied
Home/Away 1.25
80% implied
Draw/Away 1.40
71% implied
1:0 17.00
6% implied
2:0 21.00
5% implied
2:1 12.00
8% implied
3:0 34.00
3% implied
3:1 21.00
5% implied
3:2 21.00
5% implied
4:0 51.00
2% implied
4:1 41.00
2% implied
0:0 21.00
5% implied
1:1 8.00
13% implied
2:2 10.00
10% implied
0:1 13.00
8% implied
0:2 15.00
7% implied
0:3 21.00
5% implied
1:2 9.50
11% implied
1:3 15.00
7% implied
2:3 19.00
5% implied
3:3 26.00
4% implied
0:4 41.00
2% implied
1:4 29.00
3% implied
2:4 34.00
3% implied
4:2 41.00
2% implied
0:5 67.00
1% implied
0:6 151.00
1% implied
Home/Draw 13.00
8% implied
Home/Away 19.00
5% implied
Draw/Away 6.00
17% implied
Draw/Draw 7.00
14% implied
Home/Home 4.75
21% implied
Draw/Home 7.50
13% implied
Away/Home 23.00
4% implied
Away/Draw 13.00
8% implied
Away/Away 3.40
29% implied
Home -1.25 5.25
19% implied
Away -1.25 1.16
86% implied
Home -1 4.65
22% implied
Away -1 1.18
85% implied
Home -0.75 3.55
28% implied
Away -0.75 1.27
79% implied
Home -0.5 3.00
33% implied
Away -0.5 1.38
72% implied
Home -0.25 2.60
38% implied
Away -0.25 1.48
68% implied
Home +0 2.25
44% implied
Away +0 1.62
62% implied
Home +0.25 2.00
50% implied
Away +0.25 1.80
56% implied
Home +0.5 1.68
60% implied
Away +0.5 2.15
47% implied
Home +0.75 1.52
66% implied
Away +0.75 2.42
41% implied
Home +1 1.38
72% implied
Away +1 3.00
33% implied
Home +2 1.11
90% implied
Away +2 6.60
15% implied
Home -1.75 6.80
15% implied
Away -1.75 1.10
91% implied
Over 9.5 1.92
52% implied
Under 9.5 1.88
53% implied

FC Midtjylland vs Ajax: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Double Chance: X2 (1.44 odds).

FC Midtjylland are rated 14% by our tip model, with the draw at 17% and Ajax at 69%.

In the last 2 meetings they averaged 3.5 goals per game, with BTTS in 100% and over 2.5 in 100%.

Combo Double chance : draw or Ajax and +1.5 goals

FC Midtjylland vs Ajax FAQs

What is the best prediction for FC Midtjylland vs Ajax?

Our top tip is Double Chance: X2 (1.44 odds).

Who will win FC Midtjylland vs Ajax?

Model lean: FC Midtjylland 14%, draw 17%, Ajax 69%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 100% of the last 2 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 3.5 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 100% of the time.

When is FC Midtjylland vs Ajax?

Thursday, 5th November 2026 at 17:45 UTC , MCH Arena.

M

Written by

Matoski

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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