FC Lugano vs Kauno Žalgiris

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

FC Lugano arrive in strong form (DWDWW) and are well-fancied to back 1 against Kauno Žalgiris at AIL Arena, with our model giving this a 83% probability at odds of 1.20.

World: UEFA Europa Conference League
Thu, 5th Nov, 2026 League Stage - 3
FC Lugano

FC Lugano

2nd in table

D W D W W
NS
VS
Kauno Žalgiris

Kauno Žalgiris

36th in table

L L
Prediction: 1 (1.20 Odds)
Home Win 83% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 3.40

FC Lugano

3.00

3.00 – 0.40

Kauno Žalgiris

0.40

AIL Arena, Lugano I. Frid

FC Lugano

1.20

78% implied

Draw

6.50

14% implied

Kauno Žalgiris

13.00

7% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

Home Win Free

1

Odds 1.20 83%
Free Tip Free

1

Odds 1.20 83%
3 5 Goals Free

+3.5

Odds 1.83 55%

UEFA Europa Conference League table

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1
Panathinaikos
2 2 0 0 7:2 5 6
2
FC Lugano
2 2 0 0 8:4 4 6
3
Brann
2 2 0 0 6:2 4 6
4
Trabzonspor
2 2 0 0 6:2 4 6
5
Twente
2 2 0 0 5:1 4 6
6
Monaco
2 2 0 0 5:1 4 6
7
St. Truiden
2 2 0 0 3:0 3 6
8
HNK Hajduk Split
2 2 0 0 3:1 2 6
9
Brighton
2 1 1 0 4:0 4 4
10
FC Copenhagen
2 1 1 0 5:2 3 4
11
Universitatea Craiova
2 1 1 0 4:2 2 4
12
Mjallby AIF
2 1 1 0 3:1 2 4
13
Ajax
2 1 0 1 3:2 1 3
14
Borac Banja Luka
2 1 0 1 3:2 1 3
15
Atalanta
2 1 0 1 3:3 0 3
16
SC Braga
2 1 0 1 2:3 -1 3
17
Gent
2 1 0 1 1:2 -1 3
18
SC Freiburg
2 1 0 1 3:5 -2 3
19
FC Nordsjaelland
2 0 2 0 3:3 0 2
20
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
2 0 2 0 2:2 0 2
21
Riga
2 0 2 0 2:2 0 2
22
FK Crvena Zvezda
2 0 1 1 4:5 -1 1
23
CSKA Sofia
2 0 1 1 3:4 -1 1
24
FK Jablonec
2 0 1 1 2:3 -1 1
25
FC Midtjylland
2 0 1 1 1:2 -1 1
26
Aarhus
2 0 1 1 1:2 -1 1
27
Pafos
2 0 1 1 2:4 -2 1
28
Heart Of Midlothian
2 0 1 1 1:3 -2 1
29
FC Iberia 1999
2 0 1 1 1:3 -2 1
30
Getafe
2 0 1 1 3:6 -3 1
31
Kairat Almaty
2 0 1 1 2:6 -4 1
32
FC Thun
2 0 0 2 0:2 -2 0
33
Lincoln Red Imps FC
2 0 0 2 2:6 -4 0
34
KuPS
2 0 0 2 2:6 -4 0
35
Inter Club d'Escaldes
2 0 0 2 1:5 -4 0
36
Kauno Žalgiris
2 0 0 2 1:8 -7 0

Top scorers

UEFA Europa Conference League
# Player Team Goals
1
K. Behrens
FC Lugano
7
2
Winsley Boteli Mokango
FC Sion
7
3
C. Dessers
Panathinaikos
6
4
A. Cornelius
FC Copenhagen
5
5
D. Klaassen
Ajax
5
6
Franculino Djú
Trabzonspor
5
7
T. Arokodare
Ajax
4
8
Robert
FC Copenhagen
4
9
M. Pjaca
Twente
4
10
Paris Josua Brunner
Monaco
4

Recent form

FC Lugano

8 W 1 D 1 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H FC Basel 1893 2-1 W
A FC Thun 2-3 W
A Getafe 2-5 W
A Pully Football 0-4 W
H FK Crvena Zvezda 3-2 W
H FC Luzern 4-0 W
H Hellas Verona 1-3 L
A Lausanne 0-4 W
H FC ST. Gallen 4-1 W
H BSC Young Boys 2-2 D

Kauno Žalgiris

6 W 1 D 3 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Hegelmann Litauen 1-4 W
H FK Zalgiris Vilnius 0-0 D
H Brann 1-4 L
A Suduva Marijampole 0-1 W
A Brighton 4-0 L
A Minija 0-3 W
A Šiauliai 0-2 W
A FK Zalgiris Vilnius 3-2 L
A Panevėžys 0-1 W
H Suduva Marijampole 5-1 W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 3.40

FC Lugano

3.00

xG

Match

3.00 – 0.40

Kauno Žalgiris

0.40

xG

Our tip model

83%
9%
8%

API-Football

45%
45%
10%

Bookmaker

78%
14%
7%
FC Lugano Draw Kauno Žalgiris

Most likely scores

2:0

13.3%

3:0

13.3%

2:1

10%

4:0

10%

1:0

9.1%

3:1

9.1%

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 91%
Over 2.5 goals 74%
Over 3.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 52%

Team comparison

FC Lugano Kauno Žalgiris
100% Recent form 0%
93% Attack 7%
50% Defence 50%
100% Poisson 0%
72% Overall 29%

Combo Winner : FC Lugano and +1.5 goals

Season numbers

When the goals come

5
0-15'
1
2
16-30'
0
3
31-45'
0
3
46-60'
0
1
61-75'
0
6
76-90'
0
2
0-15'
1
1
16-30'
1
1
31-45'
3
2
46-60'
1
4
61-75'
1
0
76-90'
1

Side by side

FC Lugano Kauno Žalgiris
8 Played 2
6 Won 0
2 Drawn 0
0 Lost 2
21 Goals for 1
9 Goals against 8
2 Clean sheets 0
0 Failed to score 1

What comes next

FC Lugano

Kauno Žalgiris (H) 05 Nov EASY
FC ST. Gallen (A) 08 Nov MID
Grasshoppers (H) 21 Nov MID
FK Jablonec (A) 26 Nov EASY

Kauno Žalgiris

FC Lugano (A) 05 Nov HARD
TransINVEST Vilnius (A) 08 Nov MID
Riga (H) 26 Nov MID
Egnatia Rrogozhinë (A) 10 Dec MID

Betting markets

Odds · implied %
Over 1.5 1.10
91% implied
Under 1.5 7.00
14% implied
Over 2.5 1.36
74% implied
Under 2.5 3.10
32% implied
Over 3.5 1.83
55% implied
Under 3.5 1.83
55% implied
Over 0.5 1.01
99% implied
Under 0.5 23.00
4% implied
Over 8.5 41.00
2% implied
Under 8.5 1.00
Over 4.5 3.00
33% implied
Under 4.5 1.36
74% implied
Over 7.5 19.00
5% implied
Under 7.5 1.02
98% implied
Over 5.5 5.50
18% implied
Under 5.5 1.14
88% implied
Over 6.5 10.00
10% implied
Under 6.5 1.06
94% implied
Yes 1.91
52% implied
No 1.80
56% implied
Home/Draw 1.03
97% implied
Home/Away 1.10
91% implied
Draw/Away 5.00
20% implied
1:0 11.00
9% implied
2:0 7.50
13% implied
2:1 10.00
10% implied
3:0 7.50
13% implied
3:1 11.00
9% implied
3:2 26.00
4% implied
4:0 10.00
10% implied
4:1 13.00
8% implied
0:0 23.00
4% implied
1:1 13.00
8% implied
2:2 23.00
4% implied
0:1 41.00
2% implied
0:2 81.00
1% implied
0:3 201.00
1:2 41.00
2% implied
1:3 101.00
1% implied
2:3 67.00
1% implied
3:3 51.00
2% implied
1:4 351.00
2:4 251.00
4:2 34.00
3% implied
3:4 251.00
5:0 15.00
7% implied
5:1 21.00
5% implied
Home/Draw 21.00
5% implied
Home/Away 67.00
1% implied
Draw/Away 34.00
3% implied
Draw/Draw 12.00
8% implied
Home/Home 1.53
65% implied
Draw/Home 4.00
25% implied
Away/Home 17.00
6% implied
Away/Draw 26.00
4% implied
Away/Away 26.00
4% implied
Home -1.25 1.35
74% implied
Away -1.25 3.10
32% implied
Home -1 1.23
81% implied
Away -1 4.10
24% implied
Home -0.75 1.20
83% implied
Away -0.75 4.40
23% implied
Home -0.5 1.17
85% implied
Away -0.5 5.00
20% implied
Home -0.25 1.10
91% implied
Away -0.25 6.80
15% implied
Home -3 3.00
33% implied
Away -3 1.38
72% implied
Home -2 1.72
58% implied
Away -2 2.08
48% implied
Home -1.75 1.58
63% implied
Away -1.75 2.35
43% implied
Home -1.5 1.48
68% implied
Away -1.5 2.60
38% implied
Home -4 5.90
17% implied
Away -4 1.13
88% implied
Home -2.5 2.15
47% implied
Away -2.5 1.68
60% implied
Home -2.25 1.95
51% implied
Away -2.25 1.85
54% implied
Over 9.5 1.83
55% implied
Under 9.5 1.83
55% implied

FC Lugano vs Kauno Žalgiris: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Home Win: 1 (1.20 odds).

FC Lugano are rated 83% by our tip model, with the draw at 9% and Kauno Žalgiris at 8%.

Combo Winner : FC Lugano and +1.5 goals

FC Lugano vs Kauno Žalgiris FAQs

What is the best prediction for FC Lugano vs Kauno Žalgiris?

Our top tip is Home Win: 1 (1.20 odds).

Who will win FC Lugano vs Kauno Žalgiris?

Model lean: FC Lugano 83%, draw 9%, Kauno Žalgiris 8%.

When is FC Lugano vs Kauno Žalgiris?

Thursday, 5th November 2026 at 20:00 UTC , AIL Arena.

More UEFA Europa Conference League predictions

J

Written by

Joshua J

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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