Sturm Graz vs Celje

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Our expert prediction for Sturm Graz vs Celje is 1, at odds of 1.55 with a 65% probability rating.

World: UEFA Europa League
Thu, 5th Nov, 2026 League Stage - 4
Sturm Graz

Sturm Graz

19th in table

D L W
NS
VS
Celje

Celje

29th in table

L L D
Prediction: 1 (1.55 Odds)
Free Tip 65% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 1.30

Sturm Graz

1.25

1.25 – 0.05

Celje

0.05

Stadion Graz-Liebenau, Graz Giorgi Kruashvili

Sturm Graz

1.58

61% implied

Draw

4.56

21% implied

Celje

5.57

17% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

Win Either Half Free

HWEH

Odds 1.27 79%
Free Tip Free

1

Odds 1.55 65%

UEFA Europa League table

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1
Olympiakos Piraeus
4 3 1 0 4:1 3 10
2
Benfica
3 3 0 0 10:2 8 9
3
Bayer Leverkusen
3 3 0 0 8:0 8 9
4
Bournemouth
3 3 0 0 8:1 7 9
5
Ferencvarosi TC
3 3 0 0 9:3 6 9
6
Union St. Gilloise
3 2 1 0 8:1 7 7
7
Juventus
3 2 1 0 9:3 6 7
8
Beşiktaş
3 2 1 0 9:5 4 7
9
Sunderland
3 2 1 0 4:2 2 7
10
AZ Alkmaar
3 2 0 1 6:2 4 6
11
Omonia Nicosia
3 2 0 1 5:4 1 6
12
Rennes
4 1 3 0 4:3 1 6
13
Lyon
3 2 0 1 5:6 -1 6
14
Real Sociedad
3 1 1 1 8:3 5 4
15
Crystal Palace
3 1 1 1 8:5 3 4
16
Sparta Praha
3 1 1 1 5:3 2 4
17
Levski Sofia
3 1 1 1 3:3 0 4
18
Dinamo Zagreb
3 1 1 1 3:4 -1 4
19
Sturm Graz
3 1 1 1 1:3 -2 4
20
NEC Nijmegen
3 1 1 1 5:8 -3 4
21
Red Bull Salzburg
3 1 1 1 3:6 -3 4
22
Anderlecht
3 1 0 2 4:3 1 3
23
1899 Hoffenheim
3 1 0 2 5:5 0 3
24
AC Milan
3 1 0 2 4:5 -1 3
25
Celta Vigo
3 1 0 2 3:4 -1 3
26
OFI
3 1 0 2 3:4 -1 3
27
Jagiellonia
3 1 0 2 4:6 -2 3
28
Torreense
3 1 0 2 4:7 -3 3
29
Celje
3 0 1 2 2:7 -5 1
30
Hapoel Beer Sheva
3 0 1 2 1:6 -5 1
31
Lillestrom
3 0 1 2 2:9 -7 1
32
Lech Poznan
3 0 1 2 1:9 -8 1
33
Plzen
3 0 0 3 2:7 -5 0
34
Marseille
3 0 0 3 1:6 -5 0
35
Celtic
3 0 0 3 3:9 -6 0
36
Ararat-Armenia
3 0 0 3 2:11 -9 0

Top scorers

UEFA Europa League
# Player Team Goals
1
L. Diony
Omonia Nicosia
4
2
A. Cissè
AC Milan
3
3
Yeremy Pino
Crystal Palace
3
4
T. Chery
NEC Nijmegen
3
5
Sergio Gómez
Real Sociedad
3
6
K. Zachariassen
Ferencvarosi TC
3
7
D. Beljo
Dinamo Zagreb
3
8
N. Woltemade
Juventus
3
9
B. Yusuf
Ferencvarosi TC
2
10
Oh Hyeon-Gyu
Beşiktaş
2

Recent form

Sturm Graz

4 W 3 D 3 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Wolfsberger AC 1-1 D
A Austria Lustenau 3-2 L
H Ried 2-2 D
H Marseille 1-0 W
H Grazer AK 6-1 W
A Bournemouth 3-0 L
A Austria Vienna 0-2 W
H Floridsdorfer AC 3-1 W
A Red Bull Salzburg 3-0 L
H Rennes 0-0 D

Celje

3 W 4 D 3 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Nafta 4-0 W
A Olimpija Ljubljana 1-1 D
A Korotan Prevalje 0-2 W
H Red Bull Salzburg 2-2 D
A Maribor 0-0 D
H Omonia Nicosia 0-3 L
H Aluminij 1-0 W
A Mura 0-0 D
A Bayer Leverkusen 2-0 L
A Bravo 2-1 L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 1.30

Sturm Graz

1.25

xG

Match

1.25 – 0.05

Celje

0.05

xG

Our tip model

65%
19%
16%

API-Football

45%
45%
10%

Bookmaker

61%
21%
17%
Sturm Graz Draw Celje

Most likely scores

2:0

11.8%

2:1

11.8%

1:1

11.8%

1:0

10.5%

3:1

9.1%

3:0

8.3%

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 85%
Over 2.5 goals 64%
Over 3.5 goals 42%
Both teams to score 60%

Team comparison

Sturm Graz Celje
80% Recent form 20%
33% Attack 67%
70% Defence 30%
100% Poisson 0%
61% Overall 39%

Combo Double chance : Sturm Graz or draw and -3.5 goals

Season numbers

When the goals come

1
0-15'
1
0
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
1
0
61-75'
0
0
76-90'
1
0
0-15'
1
0
16-30'
1
1
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
2
0
61-75'
1
1
76-90'
1

Side by side

Sturm Graz Celje
3 Played 3
1 Won 0
1 Drawn 1
1 Lost 2
1 Goals for 2
3 Goals against 7
2 Clean sheets 0
2 Failed to score 2

What comes next

Sturm Graz

Celje (H) 05 Nov EASY
Red Bull Salzburg (H) 08 Nov MID
SCR Altach (A) 22 Nov MID
1899 Hoffenheim (A) 26 Nov MID

Celje

Sturm Graz (A) 05 Nov MID
Radomlje (A) 08 Nov MID
Beltinci (A) 19 Nov MID
Brinje-Grosuplje (H) 22 Nov MID

Betting markets

Odds · implied %
Over 1.5 1.17
85% implied
Under 1.5 5.00
20% implied
Over 2.5 1.57
64% implied
Under 2.5 2.38
42% implied
Over 3.5 2.38
42% implied
Under 3.5 1.57
64% implied
Over 0.5 1.03
97% implied
Under 0.5 15.00
7% implied
Over 4.5 4.33
23% implied
Under 4.5 1.22
82% implied
Over 7.5 29.00
3% implied
Under 7.5 1.01
99% implied
Over 5.5 8.00
13% implied
Under 5.5 1.08
93% implied
Over 6.5 15.00
7% implied
Under 6.5 1.03
97% implied
Yes 1.67
60% implied
No 2.10
48% implied
Home/Draw 1.12
89% implied
Home/Away 1.20
83% implied
Draw/Away 2.50
40% implied
1:0 9.50
11% implied
2:0 8.50
12% implied
2:1 8.50
12% implied
3:0 12.00
8% implied
3:1 11.00
9% implied
3:2 21.00
5% implied
4:0 19.00
5% implied
4:1 19.00
5% implied
0:0 17.00
6% implied
1:1 8.50
12% implied
2:2 15.00
7% implied
0:1 21.00
5% implied
0:2 34.00
3% implied
0:3 67.00
1% implied
1:2 19.00
5% implied
1:3 41.00
2% implied
2:3 41.00
2% implied
3:3 41.00
2% implied
0:4 151.00
1% implied
1:4 81.00
1% implied
2:4 81.00
1% implied
4:2 34.00
3% implied
1:5 301.00
2:5 301.00
Home/Draw 15.00
7% implied
Home/Away 34.00
3% implied
Draw/Away 13.00
8% implied
Draw/Draw 7.00
14% implied
Home/Home 2.25
44% implied
Draw/Home 4.50
22% implied
Away/Home 19.00
5% implied
Away/Draw 17.00
6% implied
Away/Away 9.50
11% implied
Home -1.25 2.05
49% implied
Away -1.25 1.75
57% implied
Home -1 1.82
55% implied
Away -1 2.02
50% implied
Home -0.75 1.60
63% implied
Away -0.75 2.30
43% implied
Home -0.5 1.48
68% implied
Away -0.5 2.60
38% implied
Home -0.25 1.32
76% implied
Away -0.25 3.30
30% implied
Home +0 1.18
85% implied
Away +0 4.65
22% implied
Home +0.25 1.16
86% implied
Away +0.25 5.25
19% implied
Home +0.5 1.13
88% implied
Away +0.5 5.90
17% implied
Home +0.75 1.10
91% implied
Away +0.75 7.00
14% implied
Home -2 3.45
29% implied
Away -2 1.30
77% implied
Home -1.75 2.68
37% implied
Away -1.75 1.45
69% implied
Home -1.5 2.30
43% implied
Away -1.5 1.60
63% implied
Over 9.5 1.88
53% implied
Under 9.5 1.92
52% implied

Sturm Graz vs Celje: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Free Tip: 1 (1.55 odds).

Sturm Graz are rated 65% by our tip model, with the draw at 19% and Celje at 16%.

Combo Double chance : Sturm Graz or draw and -3.5 goals

Sturm Graz vs Celje FAQs

What is the best prediction for Sturm Graz vs Celje?

Our top tip is Free Tip: 1 (1.55 odds).

Who will win Sturm Graz vs Celje?

Model lean: Sturm Graz 65%, draw 19%, Celje 16%.

When is Sturm Graz vs Celje?

Thursday, 5th November 2026 at 20:00 UTC , Stadion Graz-Liebenau.

More UEFA Europa League predictions

Injury & Suspension Report

Sturm Graz

N. Geyrhofer
Off the roster
L. Grgic
Knee Injury
S. Jatta
Shoulder Injury
D. Khudyakov
Leg Injury
O. Kiteishvili
Calf Injury
G. Mamageishvili
Injury
F. Rozga
Muscle Injury
E. Soglo
Muscle Injury
N. Weiper
Injury
S. Wlodarczyk
Off the roster

Celje

I. Calusic
Off the roster
J. Pisek
Off the roster
R. Pozeg
Off the roster
Z. L. Sega
Off the roster
S. Sluga
Off the roster
D. Vuklisevic
Off the roster
S

Written by

Sam M

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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