Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict
Benfica arrive in strong form (WWWWW) and are well-fancied to back 1 against Lech Poznan at Estádio da Luz, with our model giving this a 85% probability at odds of 1.18.
World: UEFA Europa League
Benfica
2nd in table
Lech Poznan
32nd in table
Expected Goals (xG)
Total 4.80
Benfica
3.25
3.25 – 1.55
Lech Poznan
1.55
Benfica
1.1783% implied
Draw
8.6511% implied
Lech Poznan
17.006% implied
1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)
1
2
Benfica wins
0
Draws
0
Lech Poznan wins
5
Goals / game
50%
Both scored
100%
Over 2.5
Lech Poznan
Benfica
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Olympiakos Piraeus
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 10 |
| 2 |
Benfica
|
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:2 | 8 | 9 |
| 3 |
Bayer Leverkusen
|
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:0 | 8 | 9 |
| 4 |
Bournemouth
|
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:1 | 7 | 9 |
| 5 |
Ferencvarosi TC
|
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9:3 | 6 | 9 |
| 6 |
Union St. Gilloise
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8:1 | 7 | 7 |
| 7 |
Juventus
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9:3 | 6 | 7 |
| 8 |
Beşiktaş
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9:5 | 4 | 7 |
| 9 |
Sunderland
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 7 |
| 10 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:2 | 4 | 6 |
| 11 |
Omonia Nicosia
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 6 |
| 12 |
Rennes
|
4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 6 |
| 13 |
Lyon
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 6 |
| 14 |
Real Sociedad
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8:3 | 5 | 4 |
| 15 |
Crystal Palace
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 4 |
| 16 |
Sparta Praha
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 4 |
| 17 |
Levski Sofia
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
| 18 |
Dinamo Zagreb
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 19 |
Sturm Graz
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 4 |
| 20 |
NEC Nijmegen
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:8 | -3 | 4 |
| 21 |
Red Bull Salzburg
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:6 | -3 | 4 |
| 22 |
Anderlecht
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:3 | 1 | 3 |
| 23 |
1899 Hoffenheim
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 3 |
| 24 |
AC Milan
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 3 |
| 25 |
Celta Vigo
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
| 26 |
OFI
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
| 27 |
Jagiellonia
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 3 |
| 28 |
Torreense
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 3 |
| 29 |
Celje
|
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:7 | -5 | 1 |
| 30 |
Hapoel Beer Sheva
|
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:6 | -5 | 1 |
| 31 |
Lillestrom
|
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:9 | -7 | 1 |
| 32 |
Lech Poznan
|
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:9 | -8 | 1 |
| 33 |
Plzen
|
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:7 | -5 | 0 |
| 34 |
Marseille
|
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:6 | -5 | 0 |
| 35 |
Celtic
|
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:9 | -6 | 0 |
| 36 |
Ararat-Armenia
|
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:11 | -9 | 0 |
| # | Player | Team | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
L. Diony
|
Omonia Nicosia
|
4 |
| 2 |
A. Cissè
|
AC Milan
|
3 |
| 3 |
Yeremy Pino
|
Crystal Palace
|
3 |
| 4 |
T. Chery
|
NEC Nijmegen
|
3 |
| 5 |
Sergio Gómez
|
Real Sociedad
|
3 |
| 6 |
K. Zachariassen
|
Ferencvarosi TC
|
3 |
| 7 |
D. Beljo
|
Dinamo Zagreb
|
3 |
| 8 |
N. Woltemade
|
Juventus
|
3 |
| 9 |
B. Yusuf
|
Ferencvarosi TC
|
2 |
| 10 |
Oh Hyeon-Gyu
|
Beşiktaş
|
2 |
Benfica
3.25
xG
Match
3.25 – 1.55
Lech Poznan
1.55
xG
Our tip model
API-Football
Bookmaker
3:0
13.3%
2:0
12.5%
4:0
11.1%
2:1
9.1%
3:1
9.1%
1:0
8.3%
Benfica
Lech Poznan
Combo Winner : Benfica and +2.5 goals
Benfica
Lech Poznan
Benfica
Lech Poznan
(H)
05 Nov
EASY
Estrela
(A)
08 Nov
MID
Torreense
(A)
21 Nov
EASY
Plzen
(A)
26 Nov
EASY
Lech Poznan
Benfica
(A)
05 Nov
HARD
Zaglebie Lubin
(H)
08 Nov
MID
GKS Katowice
(A)
22 Nov
MID
Union St. Gilloise
(A)
26 Nov
HARD
Our top tip is Free Tip: 1 (1.18 odds).
Benfica are rated 85% by our tip model, with the draw at 8% and Lech Poznan at 7%.
In the last 2 meetings they averaged 5 goals per game, with BTTS in 50% and over 2.5 in 100%.
Combo Winner : Benfica and +2.5 goals
Our top tip is Free Tip: 1 (1.18 odds).
Model lean: Benfica 85%, draw 8%, Lech Poznan 7%.
Both teams scored in 50% of the last 2 meetings.
Recent H2H averaged 5 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 100% of the time.
Thursday, 5th November 2026 at 20:00 UTC , Estádio da Luz.
Wed, Nov 4 · 15:30 UTC
Rennes vs Olympiakos Piraeus
Wed, Nov 4 · 15:30 UTC
Rennes vs Olympiakos Piraeus
Thu, Nov 5 · 17:45 UTC
AC Milan vs Ferencvarosi TC
Thu, Nov 5 · 17:45 UTC
AC Milan vs Ferencvarosi TC
Thu, Nov 5 · 17:45 UTC
Anderlecht vs Red Bull Salzburg
Thu, Nov 5 · 17:45 UTC
Anderlecht vs Red Bull Salzburg
Benfica
L. Barreiro
E. Barrenechea
D. Lukebakio
Lech Poznan
A. Douglas
A. Gholizadeh
M. Ishak
W. Monka
J. Moutinho
A. Sayyadmanesh
Benfica arrive in strong form (WWWWW) and are well-fancied to back 1 against Lech Poznan at Estádio da Luz, with our model giving this a 85% probability at odds of 1.18.
Teams: Benfica vs Lech Poznan
Date: Thu, Nov 5, 2026
Time: 20:00 UTC
Venue: Estádio da Luz, Lisbon
Check our prediction page now to see the complete Benfica vs Lech Poznan prediction, analysis, and odds for today.
Written by
Sam M
Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict