Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Bayer Leverkusen arrive in strong form (WWW) and are well-fancied to back 1 against Marseille at BayArena, with our model giving this a 74% probability at odds of 1.36.

World: UEFA Europa League
Thu, 5th Nov, 2026 League Stage - 4
Bayer Leverkusen

Bayer Leverkusen

3rd in table

W W W
NS
VS
Marseille

Marseille

34th in table

L L L
Prediction: 1 (1.36 Odds)
Home Win 74% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.55

Bayer Leverkusen

2.25

2.25 – 0.30

Marseille

0.30

BayArena, Bayer Leverkusen Orel Grinfeld

Bayer Leverkusen

1.36

69% implied

Draw

5.50

17% implied

Marseille

7.00

13% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

Win Either Half Free

HWEH

Odds 1.19 84%
Home Win Free

1

Odds 1.36 74%
Free Tip Free

1

Odds 1.40 71%
Free 2 Odds Free

1

Odds 1.40 71%
2.5 Goals Free

+2.5

Odds 1.44 69%

Head to head

Last 1 meetings
1 games

1

Bayer Leverkusen wins

0

Draws

0

Marseille wins

3

Goals / game

100%

Both scored

100%

Over 2.5

02 Aug 2023
Marseille
1-2
Bayer Leverkusen

UEFA Europa League table

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1
Olympiakos Piraeus
4 3 1 0 4:1 3 10
2
Benfica
3 3 0 0 10:2 8 9
3
Bayer Leverkusen
3 3 0 0 8:0 8 9
4
Bournemouth
3 3 0 0 8:1 7 9
5
Ferencvarosi TC
3 3 0 0 9:3 6 9
6
Union St. Gilloise
3 2 1 0 8:1 7 7
7
Juventus
3 2 1 0 9:3 6 7
8
Beşiktaş
3 2 1 0 9:5 4 7
9
Sunderland
3 2 1 0 4:2 2 7
10
AZ Alkmaar
3 2 0 1 6:2 4 6
11
Omonia Nicosia
3 2 0 1 5:4 1 6
12
Rennes
4 1 3 0 4:3 1 6
13
Lyon
3 2 0 1 5:6 -1 6
14
Real Sociedad
3 1 1 1 8:3 5 4
15
Crystal Palace
3 1 1 1 8:5 3 4
16
Sparta Praha
3 1 1 1 5:3 2 4
17
Levski Sofia
3 1 1 1 3:3 0 4
18
Dinamo Zagreb
3 1 1 1 3:4 -1 4
19
Sturm Graz
3 1 1 1 1:3 -2 4
20
NEC Nijmegen
3 1 1 1 5:8 -3 4
21
Red Bull Salzburg
3 1 1 1 3:6 -3 4
22
Anderlecht
3 1 0 2 4:3 1 3
23
1899 Hoffenheim
3 1 0 2 5:5 0 3
24
AC Milan
3 1 0 2 4:5 -1 3
25
Celta Vigo
3 1 0 2 3:4 -1 3
26
OFI
3 1 0 2 3:4 -1 3
27
Jagiellonia
3 1 0 2 4:6 -2 3
28
Torreense
3 1 0 2 4:7 -3 3
29
Celje
3 0 1 2 2:7 -5 1
30
Hapoel Beer Sheva
3 0 1 2 1:6 -5 1
31
Lillestrom
3 0 1 2 2:9 -7 1
32
Lech Poznan
3 0 1 2 1:9 -8 1
33
Plzen
3 0 0 3 2:7 -5 0
34
Marseille
3 0 0 3 1:6 -5 0
35
Celtic
3 0 0 3 3:9 -6 0
36
Ararat-Armenia
3 0 0 3 2:11 -9 0

Top scorers

UEFA Europa League
# Player Team Goals
1
L. Diony
Omonia Nicosia
4
2
A. Cissè
AC Milan
3
3
Yeremy Pino
Crystal Palace
3
4
T. Chery
NEC Nijmegen
3
5
Sergio Gómez
Real Sociedad
3
6
K. Zachariassen
Ferencvarosi TC
3
7
D. Beljo
Dinamo Zagreb
3
8
N. Woltemade
Juventus
3
9
B. Yusuf
Ferencvarosi TC
2
10
Oh Hyeon-Gyu
Beşiktaş
2

Recent form

Bayer Leverkusen

7 W 1 D 2 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H VfB Stuttgart 2-4 L
H 1. FC Nürnberg 5-2 W
A 1899 Hoffenheim 3-0 L
A OFI 0-2 W
H SC Freiburg 2-1 W
A Lech Poznan 0-4 W
A FSV Mainz 05 3-4 W
H RB Leipzig 2-0 W
H Celje 2-0 W
A FC Augsburg 2-2 D

Marseille

4 W 0 D 6 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Toulouse 2-0 W
H Le Havre 4-3 W
A Sturm Graz 1-0 L
A Angers 2-5 W
H Olympiakos Piraeus 0-1 L
A Estac Troyes 0-2 W
H Paris Saint Germain 1-2 L
A Beşiktaş 4-1 L
A Rennes 1-0 L
H Paris FC 2-3 L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.55

Bayer Leverkusen

2.25

xG

Match

2.25 – 0.30

Marseille

0.30

xG

Our tip model

74%
14%
12%

API-Football

50%
50%

Bookmaker

69%
17%
13%
Bayer Leverkusen Draw Marseille

Most likely scores

2:0

11.8%

2:1

11.1%

3:0

10.5%

3:1

10%

1:0

9.1%

1:1

8.3%

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 90%
Over 2.5 goals 74%
Over 3.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 60%

Team comparison

Bayer Leverkusen Marseille
100% Recent form 0%
89% Attack 11%
100% Defence 0%
100% Poisson 0%
100% Head-to-head 0%
67% Goals 33%
78% Overall 22%

Winner : Bayer Leverkusen

Season numbers

When the goals come

0
0-15'
0
1
16-30'
1
4
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
0
1
61-75'
0
1
76-90'
0
1
0-15'
2
0
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
1
0
46-60'
2
0
61-75'
0
0
76-90'
1

Side by side

Bayer Leverkusen Marseille
3 Played 3
3 Won 0
0 Drawn 0
0 Lost 3
8 Goals for 1
0 Goals against 6
3 Clean sheets 0
0 Failed to score 2

What comes next

Bayer Leverkusen

Marseille (H) 05 Nov EASY
1. FC Köln (A) 08 Nov MID
SC Paderborn 07 (H) 21 Nov MID
Dinamo Zagreb (A) 26 Nov MID

Marseille

Bayer Leverkusen (A) 05 Nov HARD
Lens (A) 08 Nov MID
Le Mans (H) 22 Nov MID
Levski Sofia (H) 26 Nov MID

Betting markets

Odds · implied %
Over 1.5 1.11
90% implied
Under 1.5 6.50
15% implied
Over 2.5 1.36
74% implied
Under 2.5 3.20
31% implied
Over 3.5 1.91
52% implied
Under 3.5 1.91
52% implied
Over 0.5 1.01
99% implied
Under 0.5 21.00
5% implied
Over 8.5 34.00
3% implied
Under 8.5 1.00
Over 4.5 3.20
31% implied
Under 4.5 1.36
74% implied
Over 7.5 19.00
5% implied
Under 7.5 1.02
98% implied
Over 5.5 5.00
20% implied
Under 5.5 1.17
85% implied
Over 6.5 10.00
10% implied
Under 6.5 1.06
94% implied
Yes 1.67
60% implied
No 2.10
48% implied
Home/Draw 1.08
93% implied
Home/Away 1.12
89% implied
Draw/Away 3.40
29% implied
1:0 11.00
9% implied
2:0 8.50
12% implied
2:1 9.00
11% implied
3:0 9.50
11% implied
3:1 10.00
10% implied
3:2 21.00
5% implied
4:0 13.00
8% implied
4:1 15.00
7% implied
0:0 23.00
4% implied
1:1 12.00
8% implied
2:2 19.00
5% implied
0:1 29.00
3% implied
0:2 41.00
2% implied
0:3 101.00
1% implied
1:2 23.00
4% implied
1:3 51.00
2% implied
2:3 41.00
2% implied
3:3 41.00
2% implied
0:4 301.00
1:4 126.00
1% implied
2:4 101.00
1% implied
4:2 29.00
3% implied
2:5 351.00
3:4 126.00
1% implied
Home/Draw 17.00
6% implied
Home/Away 41.00
2% implied
Draw/Away 19.00
5% implied
Draw/Draw 9.50
11% implied
Home/Home 1.80
56% implied
Draw/Home 4.33
23% implied
Away/Home 15.00
7% implied
Away/Draw 21.00
5% implied
Away/Away 15.00
7% implied
Home -1.25 1.60
63% implied
Away -1.25 2.30
43% implied
Home -1 1.42
70% implied
Away -1 2.75
36% implied
Home -0.75 1.35
74% implied
Away -0.75 3.10
32% implied
Home -0.5 1.30
77% implied
Away -0.5 3.45
29% implied
Home -0.25 1.20
83% implied
Away -0.25 4.40
23% implied
Home +0 1.11
90% implied
Away +0 6.60
15% implied
Home +0.25 1.10
91% implied
Away +0.25 7.00
14% implied
Home +0.5 1.10
91% implied
Away +0.5 6.80
15% implied
Home -3 4.25
24% implied
Away -3 1.21
83% implied
Home -2 2.30
43% implied
Away -2 1.60
63% implied
Home -1.75 2.02
50% implied
Away -1.75 1.82
55% implied
Home -1.5 1.80
56% implied
Away -1.5 2.00
50% implied
Over 9 1.80
56% implied
Under 9 2.00
50% implied
Over 9.5 2.00
50% implied
Under 9.5 1.73
58% implied

Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Home Win: 1 (1.36 odds).

Bayer Leverkusen are rated 74% by our tip model, with the draw at 14% and Marseille at 12%.

In the last 1 meetings they averaged 3 goals per game, with BTTS in 100% and over 2.5 in 100%.

Winner : Bayer Leverkusen

Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille FAQs

What is the best prediction for Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille?

Our top tip is Home Win: 1 (1.36 odds).

Who will win Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille?

Model lean: Bayer Leverkusen 74%, draw 14%, Marseille 12%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 100% of the last 1 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 3 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 100% of the time.

When is Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille?

Thursday, 5th November 2026 at 20:00 UTC , BayArena.

More UEFA Europa League predictions

Injury & Suspension Report

Bayer Leverkusen

E. Ben Seghir
Muscle Injury
V. Boniface
Off the roster
M. Diaby
Hamstring Injury
G. Doue
Calf Injury
K. Eichhorn
Illness
C. Kofane
Muscle Injury
T. Oermann
Off the roster
M. Terrier
Muscle Injury
L. Bade
Head Injury
N. Tella
Muscle Injury

Marseille

D. Cornelius
Hip Injury
Emerson
Knee Injury
J

Written by

Joshua J

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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