FC Porto vs Napoli

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Our expert prediction for FC Porto vs Napoli is X2, at odds of 1.80 with a 56% probability rating.

World: UEFA Champions League
Wed, 4th Nov, 2026 League Stage - 4
FC Porto

FC Porto

L L L
FT
4 - 1
Napoli

Napoli

L L W
1' Antonio Vergara
11' J. Bednarek
21' Frank Anguissa
35' Amir Rrahmani
36' Scott McTominay
43' S. McTominay
45+2' Gabri Veiga
71' G. Veiga
80' J. Kiwior
88' Rafa Marín
89' Samu
Prediction: X2 (1.80 Odds) Lost
Double Chance 56% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.75

FC Porto

1.50

1.50 – 1.25

Napoli

1.25

Estádio do Dragão, Porto M. Oliver

FC Porto

1.95

49% implied

Draw

3.60

26% implied

Napoli

3.75

25% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

Double Chance Lost

X2

Odds 1.80 56%

Match statistics

Match Statistics

FC Porto vs Napoli

51%   Possession   49%

8   Shots on Target   6

86%   Pass Accuracy   83%

5   Corner Kicks   5

8   Fouls   11

0 1 4
3 4 1

Top scorers

UEFA Champions League
# Player Team Goals
1
T. Douvikas
Como
6
2
E. Haaland
Manchester City
5
3
N. Tresoldi
Club Brugge KV
5
4
M. Greenwood
Fenerbahçe
4
5
J. Mickels
Sabah FA
4
6
Fabián Ruiz
Paris Saint Germain
4
7
Kylian Mbappé
Real Madrid
4
8
E. Demirović
VfB Stuttgart
4
9
A. Batrakov
Galatasaray
4
10
Raphinha
Barcelona
4

Recent form

FC Porto

8 W 0 D 2 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Vitória SC 1-2 W
H Napoli 4-1 W
H Estoril 4-0 W
H Academico Viseu 1-0 W
A GIL Vicente 0-1 W
H PSV Eindhoven 0-1 L
A Real Betis 3-2 L
A Maritimo 1-2 W
A Deportivo La Coruna 1-3 W
H Benfica 3-1 W

Napoli

3 W 3 D 4 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Lazio 1-1 D
A FC Porto 4-1 L
A Juventus 2-0 L
A Monza 1-4 W
H AS Roma 3-3 D
H Bodo/Glimt 4-3 W
A Venezia 1-0 L
A Villarreal 3-1 L
H Frosinone 3-0 W
A Fiorentina 1-1 D

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.75

FC Porto

1.50

xG

Match

1.50 – 1.25

Napoli

1.25

xG

Our tip model

20%
24%
56%

API-Football

10%
45%
45%

Bookmaker

49%
26%
25%
FC Porto Draw Napoli

Most likely scores

1:1

14.3%

1:0

13.3%

2:1

11.8%

2:0

11.1%

0:0

8.3%

0:1

7.7%

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 80%
Over 2.5 goals 56%
Over 3.5 goals 31%
Both teams to score 57%

Team comparison

FC Porto Napoli
0% Recent form 100%
29% Attack 71%
54% Defence 46%
0% Poisson 100%
42% Overall 59%

Double chance : draw or Napoli

Season numbers

When the goals come

0
0-15'
2
0
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
1
1
46-60'
0
1
61-75'
1
0
76-90'
0
0
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
3
0
31-45'
0
3
46-60'
0
1
61-75'
2
2
76-90'
3

Side by side

FC Porto Napoli
3 Played 3
0 Won 1
0 Drawn 0
3 Lost 2
2 Goals for 5
6 Goals against 7
0 Clean sheets 0
2 Failed to score 1

What comes next

FC Porto

Paredes (H) 20 Nov MID
Feyenoord (A) 24 Nov MID
Sporting CP (H) 29 Nov MID
Santa Clara (A) 06 Dec MID

Napoli

Torino (H) 21 Nov MID
Manchester City (A) 24 Nov MID
Sassuolo (A) 29 Nov MID
Lecce (H) 06 Dec MID

Betting markets

Odds · implied %
Over 1.5 1.25
80% implied
Under 1.5 4.00
25% implied
Over 2.5 1.80
56% implied
Under 2.5 2.00
50% implied
Over 3.5 3.20
31% implied
Under 3.5 1.36
74% implied
Over 0.5 1.04
96% implied
Under 0.5 12.00
8% implied
Over 4.5 5.50
18% implied
Under 4.5 1.14
88% implied
Over 7.5 51.00
2% implied
Under 7.5 1.00
Over 5.5 11.00
9% implied
Under 5.5 1.05
95% implied
Over 6.5 23.00
4% implied
Under 6.5 1.01
99% implied
Yes 1.75
57% implied
No 2.00
50% implied
Home/Draw 1.20
83% implied
Home/Away 1.25
80% implied
Draw/Away 1.95
51% implied
1:0 7.50
13% implied
2:0 9.00
11% implied
2:1 8.50
12% implied
3:0 15.00
7% implied
3:1 15.00
7% implied
3:2 23.00
4% implied
4:0 29.00
3% implied
4:1 29.00
3% implied
0:0 12.00
8% implied
1:1 7.00
14% implied
2:2 15.00
7% implied
0:1 13.00
8% implied
0:2 21.00
5% implied
0:3 41.00
2% implied
1:2 13.00
8% implied
1:3 34.00
3% implied
2:3 41.00
2% implied
3:3 41.00
2% implied
0:4 101.00
1% implied
1:4 67.00
1% implied
2:4 81.00
1% implied
4:2 41.00
2% implied
0:5 351.00
1:5 201.00
Home/Draw 13.00
8% implied
Home/Away 34.00
3% implied
Draw/Away 9.00
11% implied
Draw/Draw 5.50
18% implied
Home/Home 2.88
35% implied
Draw/Home 4.75
21% implied
Away/Home 21.00
5% implied
Away/Draw 15.00
7% implied
Away/Away 7.00
14% implied
Home -1.25 2.85
35% implied
Away -1.25 1.40
71% implied
Home -1 2.50
40% implied
Away -1 1.50
67% implied
Home -0.75 2.10
48% implied
Away -0.75 1.70
59% implied
Home -0.5 1.98
51% implied
Away -0.5 1.88
53% implied
Home -0.25 1.62
62% implied
Away -0.25 2.25
44% implied
Home +0 1.40
71% implied
Away +0 2.85
35% implied
Home +0.25 1.30
77% implied
Away +0.25 3.45
29% implied
Home +0.5 1.25
80% implied
Away +0.5 3.80
26% implied
Home +0.75 1.17
85% implied
Away +0.75 5.00
20% implied
Home -2 5.90
17% implied
Away -2 1.13
88% implied
Home +1 1.10
91% implied
Away +1 6.80
15% implied
Home -1.75 4.10
24% implied
Away -1.75 1.23
81% implied
Over 9 1.82
55% implied
Under 9 1.98
51% implied
Over 9.5 2.00
50% implied
Under 9.5 1.73
58% implied

FC Porto vs Napoli: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Double Chance: X2 (1.80 odds).

FC Porto are rated 20% by our tip model, with the draw at 24% and Napoli at 56%.

Double chance : draw or Napoli

FC Porto vs Napoli FAQs

What is the best prediction for FC Porto vs Napoli?

Our top tip is Double Chance: X2 (1.80 odds).

Who will win FC Porto vs Napoli?

Model lean: FC Porto 20%, draw 24%, Napoli 56%.

When is FC Porto vs Napoli?

Wednesday, 4th November 2026 at 20:00 UTC , Estádio do Dragão.

Injury & Suspension Report

FC Porto

Gabriel Mec
Off the roster
D. Prpic
Off the roster
C. Smalling
Knee Injury
V. Sousa
Leg Injury
William Gomes
Ankle Injury
O. Pietuszewski
Muscle Injury

Napoli

Alisson Santos
Muscle Injury
B. Badiashile
Injury
A. Buongiorno
Knee Injury
David Neres
Thigh Injury
G. Di Lorenzo
Muscle Injury
C. Favasuli
Thigh Injury
S. Lobotka
Ankle Injury
L. Marianucci
Off the roster
M. Olivera
Muscle Injury
L. Spinazzola
Thigh Injury
K. De Bruyne
Ankle Injury
J

Written by

Joshua J

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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