South Melbourne vs Lions

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

South Melbourne and Lions enter this one evenly matched on recent form, so we're leaning on 2 at odds of 5.25 (19% probability) to edge the Australia Cup clash.

Australia: Australia Cup
Tue, 15th Sep, 2026 Semi-finals
South Melbourne

South Melbourne

W D W
FT
3 - 1
Lions

Lions

D W W
23' J. Hart-Phillips
48' L. Ponting
53' B. Juach
60' B. Juach
83' B. Juach
Prediction: 2 (5.25 Odds) Lost
Away Win 19% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.30

South Melbourne

1.30

1.30 – 1.00

Lions

1.00

Lakeside Stadium, Melbourne R. Fisher

South Melbourne

1.57

60% implied

Draw

4.20

22% implied

Lions

5.25

18% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

3 5 Goals Lost

-3.5

Odds 1.53 65%
2.5 Goals Won

+2.5

Odds 1.57 64%
Away Win Lost

2

Odds 5.25 19%

Top scorers

Australia Cup
# Player Team Goals
1
J. Davidson
Melbourne Victory
0

Recent form

South Melbourne

7 W 0 D 3 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Canberra FC 0-2 W
A Sutherland Sharks 0-1 W
H Lions 3-1 W
A Oakleigh Cannons 2-1 L
H Heidelberg United 2-1 W
A Sunshine Georgies 1-0 L
A Preston Lions 1-2 W
H Heidelberg United 1-2 L
A Melbourne City II 0-3 W
H St. Albans Saints 2-0 W

Lions

8 W 0 D 2 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A South Hobart 2-4 W
A Wollongong Wolves 1-3 W
H Preston Lions 2-1 W
H South Hobart 1-2 L
A South Melbourne 3-1 L
H Peninsula Power 1-0 W
H Peninsula Power 4-1 W
H North Sunshine Eagles 4-0 W
A Moreton City Excelsior 0-2 W
H Melbourne City 2-0 W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.30

South Melbourne

1.30

xG

Match

1.30 – 1.00

Lions

1.00

xG

Our tip model

36%
45%
19%

API-Football

10%
45%
45%

Bookmaker

60%
22%
18%
South Melbourne Draw Lions

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 0%
Over 2.5 goals 0%
Over 3.5 goals 0%
Both teams to score 0%

Team comparison

South Melbourne Lions
50% Recent form 50%
50% Attack 50%
17% Defence 83%
39% Overall 61%

Double chance : draw or Lions

Season numbers

When the goals come

1
0-15'
1
1
16-30'
0
1
31-45'
3
1
46-60'
0
2
61-75'
1
1
76-90'
0
1
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
1
2
31-45'
0
2
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
0
0
76-90'
0

Side by side

South Melbourne Lions
3 Played 3
2 Won 2
1 Drawn 1
0 Lost 0
7 Goals for 7
5 Goals against 1
0 Clean sheets 2
0 Failed to score 0

What comes next

South Melbourne

Sydney United (A) 14 Nov MID
Canberra FC (H) 20 Nov MID
Auckland (H) 22 Jan MID
Solomon Kings (H) 25 Jan MID

Lions

Preston Lions (A) 13 Nov MID
Wollongong Wolves (H) 19 Nov MID

South Melbourne vs Lions: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Away Win: 2 (5.25 odds).

South Melbourne are rated 36% by our tip model, with the draw at 45% and Lions at 19%.

Double chance : draw or Lions

South Melbourne vs Lions FAQs

What is the best prediction for South Melbourne vs Lions?

Our top tip is Away Win: 2 (5.25 odds).

Who will win South Melbourne vs Lions?

Model lean: South Melbourne 36%, draw 45%, Lions 19%.

When is South Melbourne vs Lions?

Tuesday, 15th September 2026 at 09:30 UTC , Lakeside Stadium.

M

Written by

Matoski

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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